Bunch of stuff to take away from this map I made about a #Eurobarometer question on support for military aid to #Ukraine — but one is to be wary of anyone who holds forth about what "East-Europeans" think of the war in Ukraine.
(That massive north-south contrast should help deconstruct the once ubiquitous label "Central and Eastern Europe"!)
Here's the map on % agreement with military support to #Ukraine. Over 85% in the Nordic countries, Poland, Lithuania, and the Netherlands: datawrapper.de/_/ix0A0/
And here's the map on the % who disagree with military support to #Ukraine.
Just under a third in Germany, France, Spain; just under half in Austria, Czechia, Hungary; over 50% in Slovakia, Bulgaria, Greece: datawrapper.de/_/K4wNq/
Agreement has remained remarkably stable since 7 months previously - a lot more so than had been predicted, I think, or than you might have thought. Even in Germany it's down just 7% (and that's the shared second highest decrease).
One exception that stands out: Slovakia.
In comparison — although the Albania number is 🔥 of course 😁 — i don't love these data, and not just because I'm a tad more sceptical about NATO's data gathering on this vs the Eurobarometer's institutional heft. The question seems unhelpfully ambiguous. datawrapper.de/_/h5CmU/
It's also a stand-alone question, while the Eurobarometer asked several related questions (humanitarian and financial support, welcoming refugees).
Still an interesting addition though, because of the non-EU countries it includes (h/t @pauloCanning).
% support and oppose:
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Since my post about the frighteningly right-wing skew of younger voters in Portugal triggered one or two too many generalizations, a couple of brief examples of how wildly these trends vary across Europe.
In Germany, at least so far, the far right tends to do best with the middle age groups (federally but in most state elex too). The youngest voters skew left, but not by much; mostly they just pick different parties on each side (Greens, FDP vs SPD, CDU):
In France, the far right does best with the middle age groups. The left's electorate is strongly skewed towards younger voters. And the voters of Macron's party are old: it gets just 2% (!) of 18-24 year olds in this poll (via @ElElectoral)