Most people think learning swing trading takes 10,000 hours,but it's not true. Here's what you'll get out of this🧵
✅Understand what swing trading is
✅Know the benefits and risks
✅Learn how to develop a strategy
✅Understand importance of discipline and emotional control
👉 #1: Understand what swing trading is.
Swing trading involves buying and holding a stock or other financial instrument for a short period of time, typically a few days to a few weeks. The goal is to profit from the price movements that occur during this time.
👉#2: Know the benefits and risks of swing trading.
The benefits of swing trading include the potential for high returns in a short period of time, the ability to profit from both upward and downward price movements...
... and the ability to use technical analysis to identify trading opportunities. However, the risks include the potential for significant losses, the need for disciplined risk management, and the need to be able to make quick decisions.
👉 #3: Learn how to develop a swing trading strategy.
A swing trading strategy should include a plan for identifying trading opportunities, a plan for entering and exiting trades, and a plan for managing risk. You should use technical analysis.
Another tip is to use a trailing stop. This is a type of stop-loss order that follows the stock's price movements, allowing you to lock in profits as the stock rises.
One of the key aspects of swing trading is managing risk. You should only risk a small percentage of their trading account on any one trade, typically no more than 2% to 3%. You should also use stop-loss orders to limit losses and protect profits. Less is more.
Technical analysis is an important tool for swing traders. This involves analyzing charts and using technical indicators to identify trading opportunities. Some popular technical indicators include moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands.
Fundamental analysis is also important for swing trading. This involves analyzing a company's financial statements, management team, and competitive landscape to identify potential trading opportunities. This is even more important, when selection screening possible sh*itcoins😘
To be successful at swing trading, traders need to be disciplined and have a solid understanding of technical and fundamental analysis. They should also stay up to date on market news and events that could impact their trades.
Keeping a trading journal is also important for swing traders. This can help them track their trades and learn from their successes and failures, which can help refine their trading strategy over time.
Remember that swing trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme. It requires patience, discipline, and a willingness to learn. Start small and gradually increase your trades as you gain experience.
Don't forget to also pay attention to market news and events that could impact the crypto or stocks you're trading. Stay up-to-date.
In conclusion, swing trading can be a profitable trading strategy, but its needs time and effort to learn. Use technical analysis, risk management techniques, and stay informed to make informed trading decisions.
And join our crypto newsletter, to stay up-to-date for #Bitcoin and Co. You will get background information on current market situation and we will present you on a weekly basis the "coin of the week".
🧵 THREAD: Crypto-X is flipping bearish again, predicting a 2021 double top.
I see influencers saying "I sold all my #Bitcoin today" everywhere.
The narrative is getting loud. But what's really behind it?
I took a deep dive watching some important indicators👇
2/ "That RSI-divergence on the weekly looks like the double top in 2021"
Divergences look scary on charts. But I actually went back and checked every single weekly RSI divergence in Bitcoin's history.
Want to know what I found? This thing has been dead wrong most of the time.
2015: "Divergence means top!" - BTC went up 10x 2017: "This divergence is different!" - BTC kept pumping for months
2019: "Finally confirmed!" - Another 4x move incoming
The only time it actually worked was 2021. That's 1 out of 5.
So we're supposed to sell everything based on an indicator that's failed 80% of the time?
We need more data.
3/ But here's what really matters: Active addresses
This is the metric nobody talks about but should be watching closely.
Active addresses show you who's actually using Bitcoin - not just trading it, but moving it, holding it, believing in it.
Look at what happened during REAL bear markets:
2018: Active addresses absolutely collapsed. People gave up.
2021: Same thing. Mass exodus from Bitcoin.
Right now, we see an increase in active address rather than a decline.
#Altcoins are surging. I can see fomo buys all over the place.
And while we are still near bottom levels, this is not the day to buy.
Here are my 7 golden rules to survive the brutal pump-and-dump altcoin cycles.
Let's go!
Note: This is a condensed version of the latest newsletter issue. For more info, check it out in our free discord group
Rule 1
Know when to buy (and when not to). Most traders have it backwards—they chase green candles.
I'm hunting for 80-95% drawdowns, weekly RSI <30, and prices well below 200 day MA.
Higher timeframes tell the real story. Bottom fishing isn't guessing, it's patience.
Rule 2
Spot reversal signals. Look for seller exhaustion: bullish divergences on RSI/MACD, volume spikes after consecutive down legs, and higher lows forming.
Confirm on multiple timeframes. When smart money quietly accumulates, oscillators tell the truth when price is still lying.
Bitcoin and #Altcoins have been dumping in the past 10 hours.
There is much more to it than just Deepseek - We will take a deep dive on what's behind the current dump and what the implications are for the next weeks and months.
A thread.
1. The reasons behind the current drop
A)🌐 DeepSeek shakes markets!
China-based AI firm DeepSeek unveiled an open-source model outperforming OpenAI—built for just $6M. Its low-cost, high-efficiency approach raises concerns about U.S. tech valuations.
Futures in U.S. tech markets dropped on the news, dragging Bitcoin below $99K as crypto (Crypto is strongly linked to tech sentiment), followed the slide. Many "fear" the AI game just changed.
Conclusion: While sentiment has taken a hit, this is nothing that fundamentally changes anything about bitcoin. FUD.
B) Liquidity
As always when Bitcoin pumps, liquidity gets trapped in leveraged long positions that are in profit.
Market makers "need" to free this liquidity so prices can move again. This usually happens through sharp drops and/or peaks.
As you can see in the liquidity heatmap, there is a lot of downside liquidty until 95k. A drop to these levels would not be surprising.
BTC is about to go nuts big time soon. Many are still in doubt and even more think we might have already seen the top.
Here's a mini-thread about why we believe the contrary is the case and that we will see a massive run in late Q3 / early Q4 this year.
1/3
Besides the mere pattern that we now see, there is a strong logic behind the fact that the charts from the past 3 cycles are so similar.
1. Halving: Halving is a sell-the-news event, retail is expecting the big run, whales that have been accumulating start to distribute 2. Post-halving correction and redistribution: Retail adresses have bought the top and start to sell for a loss, while smart money is rebuying. You can see this when looking at these strong support levels in each of the cycles (in this case 53 - 56k)
2/3
What we describe as "short-squeeze zone" is the fact that a lot of liquidations are about to happen in this area. This will reverse many positions, induce a chartreak and turn bearish breakout traders bullish.
Important: Usually these events are preceded by a fakeout and subsequent drop before the actual rally starts.
There is an overwhelming number of #Altcoins in this cycle!
Not every coin will pump with so many new coins and scams flooding the market. A lot of advice isn't useful ("Buy AI. Buy RWA").
5 Trends of the current cycle - A 🧵
1/x
Before we start, some basics:
One reason why many coins haven't really pumped while others reached new ATHs is the fact that the money in the markets is flowing into a much higher number of cryptos than some years ago.
This makes it harder to get the big pumps right.
TREND 1: Age
We see that a lot of newer coins (ICO 2022 or newer) are amongst the massive winners.
INJ, SUI, RNDR, FET have outperformed older coins like MATIC, ATOM or LINK
Halving is done and yet, Bitcoin continues printing red candles. Is this it for this cycle?
A lot of folks are insecure, especially in light of the geopolitical and macroeconomic situation
Let's take a look at some charts and indicators.
A 🧵
1/x
The short answer at the beginning: no, we are not at the end of the bull market.
We believe what we see is a correction which could send us back to the 50ks.
Call it triple top, call it wyckoff distribution. Bitcoin is in correction mode, but...
2/x
... we still believe that this is temporary. In a thread on 2 April, we wrote "double top, decreasing RSI, no bullish divergence in sight. ➡️More downside"
This has been true and so far, BTC stays in this corrective channel