🧵 THREAD: Crypto-X is flipping bearish again, predicting a 2021 double top.

I see influencers saying "I sold all my #Bitcoin today" everywhere.

The narrative is getting loud. But what's really behind it?

I took a deep dive watching some important indicators👇 2/ "That RSI-divergence on the weekly looks like the double top in 2021"

Divergences look scary on charts. But I actually went back and checked every single weekly RSI divergence in Bitcoin's history.

Want to know what I found? This thing has been dead wrong most of the time.
2015: "Divergence means top!" - BTC went up 10x 2017: "This divergence is different!" - BTC kept pumping for months
2019: "Finally confirmed!" - Another 4x move incoming
The only time it actually worked was 2021. That's 1 out of 5.
So we're supposed to sell everything based on an indicator that's failed 80% of the time?

We need more data.

#Altcoins are surging. I can see fomo buys all over the place.

And while we are still near bottom levels, this is not the day to buy.

Here are my 7 golden rules to survive the brutal pump-and-dump altcoin cycles.

Let's go!

Note: This is a condensed version of the latest newsletter issue. For more info, check it out in our free discord group Rule 1

Know when to buy (and when not to). Most traders have it backwards—they chase green candles.

I'm hunting for 80-95% drawdowns, weekly RSI <30, and prices well below 200 day MA.

Higher timeframes tell the real story. Bottom fishing isn't guessing, it's patience.

#Bitcoin

🚨🚨 EMERGENCY UPDATE🚨🚨

Bitcoin and #Altcoins have been dumping in the past 10 hours.

There is much more to it than just Deepseek - We will take a deep dive on what's behind the current dump and what the implications are for the next weeks and months.

A thread. 1. The reasons behind the current drop

A)🌐 DeepSeek shakes markets!
China-based AI firm DeepSeek unveiled an open-source model outperforming OpenAI—built for just $6M. Its low-cost, high-efficiency approach raises concerns about U.S. tech valuations.

Futures in U.S. tech markets dropped on the news, dragging Bitcoin below $99K as crypto (Crypto is strongly linked to tech sentiment), followed the slide. Many "fear" the AI game just changed.

Conclusion: While sentiment has taken a hit, this is nothing that fundamentally changes anything about bitcoin. FUD.

#Bitcoin

BTC is about to go nuts big time soon. Many are still in doubt and even more think we might have already seen the top.

Here's a mini-thread about why we believe the contrary is the case and that we will see a massive run in late Q3 / early Q4 this year. 1/3

Besides the mere pattern that we now see, there is a strong logic behind the fact that the charts from the past 3 cycles are so similar.

1. Halving: Halving is a sell-the-news event, retail is expecting the big run, whales that have been accumulating start to distribute
2. Post-halving correction and redistribution: Retail adresses have bought the top and start to sell for a loss, while smart money is rebuying. You can see this when looking at these strong support levels in each of the cycles (in this case 53 - 56k)

There is an overwhelming number of #Altcoins in this cycle!

Not every coin will pump with so many new coins and scams flooding the market. A lot of advice isn't useful ("Buy AI. Buy RWA").

5 Trends of the current cycle - A 🧵 1/x

Before we start, some basics:

One reason why many coins haven't really pumped while others reached new ATHs is the fact that the money in the markets is flowing into a much higher number of cryptos than some years ago.

This makes it harder to get the big pumps right.

#Bitcoin

Halving is done and yet, Bitcoin continues printing red candles. Is this it for this cycle?

A lot of folks are insecure, especially in light of the geopolitical and macroeconomic situation

Let's take a look at some charts and indicators.

A 🧵 1/x
The short answer at the beginning: no, we are not at the end of the bull market.

We believe what we see is a correction which could send us back to the 50ks.

Call it triple top, call it wyckoff distribution. Bitcoin is in correction mode, but...

As promised, we are now providing a detailed, unbiased analysis (as unbiased as it can be) on #Bitcoin.

A lot of people are confused right now.

"WWIII - we go to zero?"
"But halving, we go to moon?"
"New ATH usually means rally?"
"But interest rate hikes? Zero?"

A 🧵 1/12

IMPORTANT: PLEASE READ FIRST BEFORE PROCEEDING.

We will look at TA, macroeconomics, sentiment, ETFs, and geopolitical tensions.

#Bitcoin

10 facts you need to know about the #Bitcoin ETF hype.

This is not a thread🧵by Stockmoney Lizards🦎 1⃣ What are ETF´s

An Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is a fund with tradable shares on an exchange. Bitcoin ETFs, specifically, simplify access to Bitcoin in investment portfolios. These funds hold Bitcoin, offering a straightforward way for investors to participate the crypto hype without need of buying real #Bitcoin over a crypto exchange.

Here are my #Bitcoin catalyst for 2024

A short🧵 January - first ETF approval
(the first of several pending applications)

According to Bitwise, the estimated spot bitcoin ETFs could capture 1% of the $7.2 trillion U.S. ETF market within 5 years, or $72 billion in AUM. This is huge for #Bitcoin

This is why #Ethereum will outperform #Bitcoin till the end of 2025.

A thread by Stockmoney Lizazds🦎 1. Scarcity - Part I
Ethereum became deflationary following the merge/ triple halving in September 2022, marking a fundamental shift in ETH's supply. This deflationary change is new and has not been the case since its release in 2015. And not for the last bull runs 2017 + 2021.

Ten reasons why #Bitcoin will go into bull mode at the end of this cycle, as it has done in the past.

A thread by Stockmoney Lizards🦎 1: HODL - Scarcity Factor I

The total supply held by long-term investors has surged to a new all-time high,with nearly 15 million Bitcoin. As more long-term investors hold onto their Bitcoin, the available supply on the market diminishes,driving prices higher. Its that simple.

Why the next bull run of #Bitcoin could be epic.

This is not a 🧵 from Stockmoney Lizards🦎

1/ The big elephant in the room is crypto adoption. The real question is when there will be a use case (beside to the store of value) for the masses, rather than if there will be a use case.

X, alongside industry giants like Amazon and PayPal, is gearing up for crypto adoption

2/

How do I recognize if my beloved new "crypto project" is actually a shitcoin 🪙 that is doomed to fail?

Markets continue to be filled with either useless coins that just slowly dy out, scams etc.

Follow these 5 steps to find out if your favourite #Altcoins are any worth Step 1 - the "Shitcoin Pattern"
is a chart pattern with an initial peak, followed by a significant drop, a second peak (often lower than the first), and then a prolonged decline. This pattern is often associated with pump-and-dump schemes that lack value. See ALT for more info.

Most people think learning swing trading takes 10,000 hours,but it's not true. Here's what you'll get out of this🧵

✅Understand what swing trading is
✅Know the benefits and risks
✅Learn how to develop a strategy
✅Understand importance of discipline and emotional control 👉 #1: Understand what swing trading is.

Swing trading involves buying and holding a stock or other financial instrument for a short period of time, typically a few days to a few weeks. The goal is to profit from the price movements that occur during this time.

10 good reasons, why #Bitcoin is going to be parabolic in this cycle.

A 🧵 by Stockmoney Lizards🦎 1⃣ Crypto Adoption

Perhaps the strongest argument in the game. So far, the real use case for crypto for the masses is missing. But no one other than @elonmusk might bring the first crypto-based payment system with this app @X 💸

[click on ALT]

Most people struggle with choosing the right timeframe for crypto trading. Here's what you'll get out of this🧵

✅Understanding the importance of timeframe selection
✅Overcoming challenges of identifying the right timeframe
✅Practical tips for effective timeframe usage 👉 Unlocking Trading Success: The Art of Choosing the Perfect Timeframe

Your trading success hinges on selecting the right timeframe beside to other factors like #Bitcoin halving.

#Bitcoin has shown distinct patterns over the past 10 years, with clear evidence of bull and bear markets as well as accumulation phases. Where are we right now?

Let's delve into the data and examine where we are in the Bitcoin market cycle👉🧵

1/n Our investment cycle for Bitcoin consists of three distinct phases, each with its own characteristics. These phases define the trajectory of our investment strategy and help us when to buy, hold, or sell Bitcoin:
1. Bear market
2. Accumulation
3. Bull market

Most people think learning swing trading takes 10,000 hours,but it's not true. Here's what you'll get out of this🧵

✅Understand what swing trading is
✅Know the benefits and risks
✅Learn how to develop a strategy
✅Understand importance of discipline and emotional control 👉 #1: Understand what swing trading is.

Swing trading involves buying and holding a stock or other financial instrument for a short period of time, typically a few days to a few weeks. The goal is to profit from the price movements that occur during this time.

"The biggest bull trap I have ever seen"

The current price increase of over 55% in #Bitcoin has caused a lot of euphoria😍although there were also critical voices👺

Let's take a closer look and analyze the price increase🧵 The question that comes up is, has the 5th bull market of #Bitcoin started?

The typical sequence of the investment cycle in #Bitcoin is:

1. halving
2. bull run
3. bear market
4. accumulation

A 🧵about the famous Heikin-Ashi candles and why they are so useful.

[click on ALT]

#Bitcoin #Crypto Basically, Heikin-Ashi candles can be used to filter out a noisy chart and identify a clear up- and down trend

[note: you see here the exact same charts]

2022 was tough! #Stocks & #Crpytos were in a bear market and we entered a #Recession (=negative Growth of GDP in 2 consecutive Quarters)

What does all this mean for #Bitcoin and $SPX #SP500 and how is the outlook for 2023

Take a look at this Mini-Thread 🧵 First, we want to take a look at the most recent recession before: The Great Recession 2008/2009 that followed the financial crisis of 2007.