In this short series of threads, I'll look at the military history of Crimea to find lessons about the challenges that Ukraine will face if it wants to recover the peninsula by force. The first part is here:
2/ What is Crimea's value? Until the mid-20th century, agriculture was marginal due to lack of water. Crimea lacks on-shore natural resources. Tourism only really took off after the Second World War, while industry still only accounts for a small percentage of Crimea's economy.
3/ Crimea's main value has always been its geographical position. This allows it to be used as a location for projecting power into the Black Sea and the nearby lands. Control over Crimea enables control of the northern Black Sea from ports on the southern Crimean coast.
4/ The peninsula also acts as a natural chokepoint for the Dnipro estuary and the sea lanes from Odesa and the Sea of Azov – all of which are of great economic importance. From Crimea, one can threaten southern Ukraine and Russia from behind a highly defensible position.
5/ For centuries, the Muslim Tatar rulers of the Crimean Khanate used their base in Crimea to mount raids deep into what is now Russia, Ukraine, Poland and Moldova. They reached as far as Moscow, burning the city in 1571 and killing as many as 80,000 people in the attack.
6/ Slavery was Crimea's economic lifeblood, as it had no other natural resources. The Tatars regularly raided the Slavic lands for slaves. They seized an estimated 2 million people over 300 years and sold them to the Ottoman Empire, with which the Khanate was allied.
7/ This brought them into conflict with the Russians and the semi-nomadic Cossacks – a coalition of Orthodox Christian Slavic groups including Ukrainians and fugitive serfs from Poland and Russia. The Cossacks and Tatars frequently fought and raided each other's territories.
8/ In 1675, the Cossack military leader Ivan Sirko launched a raid into Crimea with 10,000 men. He bypassed the strongly fortified Perekop Isthmus in Crimea's northwest corner and probably forded the Syvash, the vast area of salt lagoons and marshes north of Crimea.
9/ Sirko's army marched as far as the Tatar capital, Bakhchysarai, burning and looting as they went. They 'liberated' around 7,000 Slavs who had been enslaved by the Tatars. But around 3,000 didn't want to leave – they had converted to Islam and in some cases had married Tatars.
10/ Sirko massacred them as traitors. "It is better for you to sleep until the Day of Judgement than to settle in the Crimea and beget children and be damned to all eternity", he is said to have declared. He returned to Zaporizhia with the other 4,000 and a huge haul of loot.
11/ In 1687 and 1689, Russia's Prince Vasily Golitsyn raised huge armies – around 100,000 men each time – to invade Crimea. However, it was a disaster on both occasions. The Tatars burned the steppe to deny grass to the horses and there was no water to drink.
12/ The Russians reached the fortifications at Perekop and found that they couldn't get their artillery over the ditch the Tatars had dug across the isthmus. They gave up and went home without a battle, but still managed to lose about 70,000 men, mostly from disease.
13/ Russia invaded again in May 1736 as part of the ongoing Russian-Turkish War of 1735-39. The German-born Field Marshal Burkhard Christoph von Münnich led a Russian army of 30,000 to Perekop, where he launched a frontal attack on the fortifications.
14/ On paper, Perekop's defences were formidable – a wall 8.5 m (28 ft) high overlooking a ditch 6.4 m (21 ft) deep, with 5 cannon batteries along its length and a fort at the eastern end. But it had fallen into disrepair and was manned by only 4,000 Tatars and Turks.
15/ Münnich's forces captured it easily on 21 May 1736, losing only 31 men while the Tatar/Turkish force lost around 3,500 as casualties and prisoners. Münnich advanced to Bakhchysarai and burned it, but was forced to retreat to Russia after an outbreak of disease in his army.
16/ In May 1737, Crimea was re-invaded by Count Peter Lacy, an Irish-born Russian general, to divert Tatar forces from Münnich's siege of the Tatar-held mainland port of Okhachiv. In a bold and risky move, he marched an army of 40,000 men down the narrow and exposed Arabat Spit.
17/ There was no bridge at that time between the spit and the (Russian-held) Ukrainian mainland, so he improvised a pontoon bridge from empty water barrels and wooden chevaux-de-frise (obstacles) for his army to cross the short Henichesk Strait.
18/ From there, they marched down the spit for about 55 km (35 mi) until they reached a point where the Crimean mainland is only about 2 km (1.3 mi) away across the Syvash. They crossed it on improvised rafts, landing near the mouth of the Salgir River.
19/ Lacy's army defeated the Tatars in battle and marched on to the town of Karasubazar (modern Bilohirsk). They burned it before turning back to Russia, as by this time they were facing a Tatar counter-attack, shortages of food and water, and an outbreak of disease.
20/ Having looted 30,000 cattle and 100,000 sheep from the Tatars, the Russians returned via the Chonhar Peninsula, where once again they built a pontoon bridge to cross the narrow strait. They crossed successfully between 2-4 August 1737 despite Tatar attacks.
21/ All of the invasions of Crimea had so far been aimed at raiding the peninsula rather than conquering it. In June 1771, however, the Russians returned aiming for conquest, during the 1768-74 Russian-Turkish War. Prince Vasily Dolgorukov brought 38,000 men to Perekop.
22/ The Tatars and Turks were better prepared this time, with an army of 50,000 Tatars and 7,000 Turks on the fortifications at Perekop. However, they were quickly swept aside by the Russians, who carried out a successful multi-pronged attack on the night of 13-14 June 1771.
23/ It began with an artillery bombardment at the Syvash end of the fortifications. After 90 minutes of shelling, 9 battalions of grenadiers and 2 battalions of jaegers under Major General Musin-Pushkin stormed the ramparts at the other end using scaling ladders.
24/ At the same time, cavalry commanded by Major General Prozorovsky bypassed the fortifications entirely by wading or swimming through the Syvash. They attacked the Tatars from the rear, forcing most to flee and the rest to take shelter in the fort of Or-Kapi.
25/ The fort's garrison surrendered on 15 June after more Russian shelling. The Turks and Tatars lost more than 1,200 men in the battle, but the Russians had fewer than 200 casualties and only 25 dead. They captured 178 cannons.
26/ At the same time, Prince Scherbatov carried out an amphibious landing on the southern Arabat Spit, with a Russian naval flotilla screening his men from Turkish naval forces. He quickly captured the old and poorly defended Ottoman fort at Arabat.
27/ The Russians advanced across Crimea, forcing the Khan to flee to Istanbul, the Ottoman capital. A new pro-Russian Khan was elected and signed a peace deal with the Empress Catherine the Great, recognising Russia as Crimea's new overlord.
28/ This arrangement didn't last long. Catherine eventually annexed Crimea outright in 1783 and built a new port-fortress at the Crimean village of Akhtiar, naming it Sevastopol. The Russians made little effort otherwise to develop Crimea, leaving it poor and neglected.
29/ The Crimean War of 1853-56 was a unique episode – the only amphibious invasion of Crimea in its modern history – which doesn't hold many relevant lessons for today's situation. The UK, France and Ottomans had naval supremacy but didn't seek to capture the whole of Crimea.
30/ Their main target was Sevastopol, which they besieged for nearly a year in 1854-55. They also captured Kerch to prevent Russia reinforcing Crimea by sea. Russia was hindered by its army's gross corruption, incompetence and inefficiency, which Tolstoy savagely condemned.
31/ Russia's land supply routes through Crimea were hobbled by appalling roads which reduced wagons to a speed of only 500 m (550 yards) an hour. Animals that had died of exhaustion lay by the side of the roads, which were often only as wide as a single cart.
32/ Ultimately, Russia lost Sevastopol and sued for peace, ending the Crimean War.
That brings us to the 20th century, which I'll cover in the next threads in this series. /end
69 years ago today, Hungary's revolution was entering its second day as the population revolted against the Communist government. This thread continues the day-by-day story of the revolution, as the Soviets became involved for the first time.
3/ In the early hours of 24 October 1956, Hungarian Communist leader Ernő Gerő appeals to Moscow to help suppress the "counter-revolutionary" uprising. At 02:00, Soviet defence minister Georgy Zhukov authorises the deployment of Red Army troops.
69 years ago today, Hungary rose up against a tyrannical Communist government backed by the Soviet Union. With Hungary currently under another pro-Russian leader, the story of the Hungarian Revolution is still strongly relevant.
2/ Immediately prior to the revolution, Hungary's Stalinist regime was deeply unpopular. Hungary's economy was struggling, Communist leader Mátyás Rákosi had been deposed by the Soviets over destalinisation, and the many past abuses of the regime were becoming public knowledge.
3/ A student protest sparked the revolution, followed by the Hungarian Writers' Union declaring its support for anti-communist reformers in Poland and laying a symbolic wreath at the statue of General Józef Zachariasz Bem, a hero of the Hungarian Revolution of 1848.
1/ A Russian soldier says that every man in his unit has been ordered to shoot his comrades if they try to flee, or face being shot themselves as a punishment. He describes an atmosphere of paranoia amidst huge losses, which he puts at 95% of men going into assaults. ⬇️
2/ The man says that he is from Altai Krai, where he was made to sign a contract to avoid going to trial for an unspecified offence for which he faced eight years' imprisonment. He has been serving in the army for six months and is currently a stormtrooper.
3/ He says that "every second person here drinks, to gain courage, to go somewhere [on a mission]." The reason why is understandable: "A hundred people would join a group [for a mission], take a position, and only five would come out."
1/ A Russian city is literally drowning in human waste due to the failure of its sewage system. It's worn out but hasn't been replaced or repaired due to a lack of funding. It's a vivid illustration of the costs imposed by Russia's money being redirected to the war in Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ Balakhna is an historic city of around 51,000 people, founded in 1474 on the banks of the Volga River about 32 kilometers (20 mi) north of Nizhny Novgorod. However, its underfunded sewage system has collapsed, with the result that "the city is literally flooded with shit".
3/ Balakhna native Alexander Kartavykh – a Russian warblogger – has been highlighting the city's problems in a series of posts on Telegram. He says that "the pumps aren't working, everything's broken, it's a complete and utter disaster."
1/ Russian forces are making extensive use of infiltration tactics in place of the notorious 'meat assaults', according to a new report by @jack_watling. However, a Russian warblogger says that this is costing 2 or 3 times as many cumulative casualties as massed assaults. ⬇️
2/ The DShRG Rusich Telegram channel has published a video taken by a Russian soldier on an infiltration mission. He follows a path along a treeline which was used by many other Russian soldiers on similar missions – dozens of whom can be seen lying dead along the way.
3/ The channel's author writes:
"The tactic of infiltrating small groups (2-3 people), unfortunately, often results in greater losses than a single massive assault. Yes, on video, it looks tragic from the enemy side, with several units of equipment being destroyed."
1/ A Russian colonel reportedly died of cardiac arrest after it was discovered during a rotation that he had been lying to his superiors about his division's control of territory in the Kherson region. ⬇️
2/ Colonel Alexey Vladlenovich Plisov, callsign 'Ryazan', was the commander of the Russian 70th Motor Rifle Division of the 18th Combined Arms Army. The division was located on the left bank of the Dnipro river.
3/ Plisov is said to have repeatedly reported to his superiors that most of the islands in the Kherson region were under Russian control. However, Ukrainian reports and independent assessments have consistently assigned the islands to the 'grey zone' controlled by neither side.