Thread by @JacobDCharles

#ICYMI Earlier this week, I wrote a post @DukeFirearmsLaw laying out some of my findings from an in-depth review of the 174 Second Amendment fed court decisions issued in the first 8 months after Bruen came down. It showed huge effects in the aftermath.

firearmslaw.duke.edu/2023/03/by-the…

I also made public the spreadsheet I used to categorize these cases, so folks could check my math & see the type & variety of claims coming down & how I classified each of them.

📶That spreadsheet is available here 👇

firearmslaw.duke.edu/wp-content/upl…

I disclosed the assumptions I made & people can quibble with details, but the full picture seems undeniable. Bruen's been monumental.

Here's what I found for the percent of cases in which at least one claim won:

✴️31.6% of civil cases
✴️6.6.% of crim cases
✴️12.1% all cases

For individual claims, the disparity b/t civil and criminal cases is even greater:

As for claim types, the least successful were:

◼️ felon ban (0/85)
◼️ commercial regs (0/14)
◼️ NFA, unlawful gun use, bail conditions & sentence enhancement (0/27)

The most successful were:

◼️ private prop default flip (5/5)
◼️ sensitive place (7/13)
◼️ licensing rules (3/3)