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Apr 1 12 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
A new era of global polarization...

From BRICS' new currency plans to trade in the Chinese Yuan... let’s take a look at recent events that have significantly propelled this trend.

A 🧵👇 (1/10)
2/10: The biggest recent catalyst are the sanctions imposed on Russia...

Sanctions have forced Moscow to look for other ways to get paid for their #oil, LNG, wheat, etc. This has led to more international trade using the Russian ruble, the Chinese yuan, and other currencies.
3/10: Russian parliamentarian Alexander Babakov, recently revealed that the BRICS countries are working on the development of a new form of currency.

The nations involved will pitch ideas related to the objective during its upcoming summit in South Africa in August.
4/10: The IMF has also acknowledged the US dollar's declining dominance in global central bank reserves.

Contributing factors include the diversification of central banks' holdings, the rise of alternative currencies, and even cryptocurrencies.
5/10: Another recent event has been France deciding to settle some of its LNG trade with China in Chinese yuan.

This reflects the yuan's growing role in international trade and France's desire to strengthen economic ties with China.
6/10: Saudi Aramco also just signed 2 big refinery deals with Chinese companies.

During his visit to Saudi Arabia, Xi Jinping advocated for oil trade in yuan, which could undermine the US dollar's global trade dominance and its status as the world's reserve currency.
7/10: In addition, China just brokered a historic truce between Saudi Arabia and Iran...

It seems as though China's growing influence in the Middle East has the potential to upend long-standing dynamics and power balances.
8/10: All of these recent geopolitical events are contributing to the formation of regional currencies and trading blocs...

This will likely lead to a more polarized world between East and West, where global economic cooperation may prove difficult.
9/10: The rise of regional blocs and the decline of US dollar hegemony likely lead to:
1. Geopolitical instability
2. Reduced US influence
3. Shifts in global trade patterns
4. Increased exchange rate volatility
5. Less global economic cooperation

Just to name a few...
9.5/10: Sorry to interrupt, but...

If you want to stay updated with this type of content, check out The Real Vision Daily Briefing newsletter.

It's totally FREE 👇
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10/10: The ongoing trend of de-dollarization represents a significant shift in the global economic landscape.

It could be beneficial to individual blocs, but it will likely harm most international relations and global trade. In other words, highly inflationary...
Is the US dollar’s dominance coming to an end?

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More from @RealVision

Mar 30
Elon Musk calls for a 6-month pause on the development of #AI more powerful than ChatGPT-4.

Here's why...

A 🧵👇 (1/8) Image
2/8: Elon Musk and more than 1,000 AI experts and business leaders have signed an open letter asking for a six-month break in the development of advanced AI systems.

They say that these systems could pose "serious risks to society" if they are not stopped.
3/8: The concerns follow the release of OpenAI's GPT-4.

The signatories expressed concerns about an "out-of-control race" in AI development, leading to digital minds that no one can understand, predict, or control. Image
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A 🧵👇 (1/11)
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Some of the bigger banks may still be around, but the future of smaller and medium-sized banks is still very uncertain.
3/11: A run on deposits has caused SVB and Silvergate to collapse and pushed other banks like Credit Suisse to the brink of insolvency.

Each of the institutions has its own issues, but the common denominator centers around one thing...

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Mar 10
We're wrapping up the 1st week of our How to Unf*ck Your Future series...

We've discussed how f*cked we are (and today's market news proves it).

So, let's recap:

A short 🧵👇(1/7)
2/7: Day 1: How do you outperform the robots?

@RaoulGMI tells us that if we can't beat them, join them (or invest in them)👇
3/7: Day 2: We are in the early stages of a new macro regime.

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Mar 10
Silicon Valley Bank, $SIVB, CEO told investors to "stay calm and don't panic," yesterday.

One month ago, Jim Cramer urged investors to buy the stock, saying it was "still cheap and has room to run."

The stock was down 60% yesterday... twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
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Update 2: $SIVB has been shut down by regulators.
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Mar 9
The White House's 2024 budget proposal projects $6.88 trillion in total spending, $5.04 trillion in revenues.

Yes, a $1.84 trillion deficit...

Here are just a few HUGE changes they want to implement:

🧵👇 (1/7)
2/7: A 5.25% pay raise to government workers.
3/7: A quadrupling of tax on stock buybacks, from 1% to 4%.
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