Steffen Murau Profile picture
Apr 3, 2023 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Hello world!

This week marks the kick-off for the #OBFA_TRANSFORM project, a new @dfg_public Emmy Noether research group to investigate the political economy of financing politically desired large-scale transformations

obfa-transform.eu

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In the next six years, we will use the monetary architecture framework to investigate the role of off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies (OBFAs) in war finance, reconstruction finance, and the Green Transition

bit.ly/30acOdw

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We will start with historical case studies of war finance & reconstruction finance in the 20th century

🔎 How was it possible to steer the monetary architectures at the time towards a politically desired purpose? 🔍

👉 We expect that OBFAs were crucial in this respect

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OBFAs played a pivotal role in financing military expenditure in North America & Europe throughout the 20th century

Setting up OBFAs not only enhanced credit money creation at an unprecedented scale but also transformed countries' monetary architectures for good

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OBFAs were commonly used to finance economic reconstruction after wars and major crises. We will look at the Great Depression period and the post-WWII era.

Some OBFAs were phased out, others remain part of countries' monetary architectures until today

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Then we apply our historical insights to the Green Transition—today’s politically desired large-scale transformation of capital stock to reach net-zero

🚨 How to steer our privatized & globalized monetary architecture towards this goal is presently an open question

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The Emmy Noether group will theorize on how OBFAs help govern monetary architectures beyond conventional understandings of monetary and fiscal policy

We also investigate if & how this technique is compatible with legitimate democratic governance

tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

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In the policy-oriented part, we will develop concrete proposals for how OBFAs can be used to support the financing of the Green Transition

We will communicate our framework & findings with an interactive online tool for visualizing interlocking balance sheets

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The project will be conducted at Global Climate Forum, Berlin with me as principal investigator, Armin Haas as senior researcher & @agutersandu as senior associate researcher

We'll open positions for PhDs & student assistants, and can bring in project affiliates

Stay tuned!

🔚

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More from @steffenmurau

May 4, 2021
New open access article w/ @agutersandu in @NPEjournal

How does the EU's new €672.5bn Recovery & Resilience Facility (RRF) change Eurozone fiscal governance?

👉 Next step in EU's mode of governing through off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies (OBFAs)

tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

1/
We argue that OBFAs like the RRF have emerged since the Eurocrisis to mitigate 4 rules of "neoliberal" fiscal governance in the Eurozone:
– keeping treasury budgets balanced
– reducing public indebtedness
– prohibiting monetary financing
- avoiding mutual treasury bailouts

2/ https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13563467.2021.1
OBFAs & treasuries form a Eurozone fiscal ecosystem, here shown as a web of interlocking balance sheets 🕸️

At EU level, it includes OBFAs such as EIF, EBRD & the new RRF. Nationally, it comprises eg development banks (KfW, BPI, CDP, etc) or national deposit insurance schemes

3/ https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13563467.2021.1
Read 11 tweets
Feb 8, 2021
New @GDP_Center study out, co-authored with @fpape_ and Tobias Pforr

How to conceptualize international monetary hierarchy in today's global financial architecture?

Ties in w/ recent insights on offshore USDs & transformations due to COVID crisis

bit.ly/3cQDwyt

1/ The Hierarchy of the Offshore US-Dollar System. On Swap Line
We built a macro-financial model of interlocking balance sheets

It shows the global financial architecture with the US monetary jurisdiction at apex & 3-layered periphery

International hierarchy results from mechanism to access emergency USD liquidity from @federalreserve

2/ The hierarchy of the global Offshore US-Dollar System, https
The international monetary system is shaped by payment flows btw private actors. In today's configuration, we call it 'Offshore USD System' (cf bit.ly/3jthPpo) as it is based on using & creating USD-denominated credit money instruments ‘offshore’, ie outside the US

3/
Read 13 tweets
Jul 31, 2020
First milestone in my @dfg_public project on Eurozone as credit money system

How to conceptualize monetary architecture? What is Eurozone architecture today?

Ties in w/ recent insights on offshore money, shadow banking & EU’s new fiscal design

bit.ly/30acOdw

1/
Core of GEGI Study (@GDPC_BU) is a macro-financial model of interlocking balance sheets. It depicts the interconnections of the US and the Eurozone 'monetary jurisdictions'

The study is organized around explaining the theory of the model & its content

2/
I make four conceptual choices:

a) Portray Eurozone architecture as web of interlocking balance sheets. That’s the core idea of Critical Macro-Finance & Money View

bit.ly/3fj5ArX

@danielagabor @pmehrling @adamtooze

3/
Read 14 tweets
May 11, 2020
What future for international monetary system & financial globalization post #COVID19?

@ArminHaas3 @JoeRini6 & I developed 4 scenarios. Out now in JOIE

Factors: Will @federalreserve swap lines hold in crisis? Will G-20 states cooperate or compete?

cambridge.org/core/journals/…

1/n
Today’s IMS is “Offshore US-Dollar System”, composed of “monetary areas”. It is global & hierarchical. The USD monetary area is in apex. Monetary areas with unlimited USD swap lines are 1st layer periphery. More layers to follow below, here BRICS

2/n
Core features of Offshore USD System: offshore creation of key currencies (esp USD @i_aldasoro), shadow money creation in main areas (@danielagabor @morganricks)

We have developed a visual conceptual framework to go beyond triple coincidence
@StefanAvdjiev @HyungSongShin

3/n
Read 17 tweets

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