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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Apr 4, 2023 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
Alright, it is time for another adventure in "logistical enablers" in the latest US arms shipment to Ukraine.

Specifically look at this line:

"Eight heavy fuel trucks and 105 fuel trailers."

1/8 Image
The heavy fuel truck could only be the US Army's M978 heavy tactical fuel truck.

2/8 Image
I've talked about these logistical enablers of heavy mechanized offensives previously on Twitter.

3/8
The "105 fuel trailers" offer several possibilities.

This 7,500-gallon petroleum tank semitrailer behind an M1088 FMTV semi-tractor is one possibility. (See the global security link)

@battle_order featured it in a recent tweet thread of his.

globalsecurity.org/military/libra…
4/8 Image
The modular fuel system on a PLS truck-trailer tank rack module mounted on a M1076 PLS trailer is another.

5/8
 army.mil/article/239935… ImageImage
The lowest end of possibility is this dismountable tank and pump unit used in the US Army FMTV trailer fleet.

6/8 Image
I think the 7,500-gallon petroleum tank semitrailer is the most likely for that military aid line as semi-tractor connections are universal and Ukraine has access to Semi-tractors in the European Union militaries & economy to pull them.

The next several weeks will tell

7/8
...which we will see lines of them in the Ukrainian counter attack logistical trains.

Ukraine's 'big cats' will prowl on megatons of diesel fuel delivered by these trailers.


8/8 End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 20
This map of 124 Russian railway electric traction stations and the 40K OWA drone fired in 2025 demonstrates the political-military leadership failure of the Zelinskyy government.

Like Stalin's failed winter 1941-1942 counter offensives against Nazi Army Group Center,

🚅🧵
1/
...Ukraine is penny packing OWA drones everywhere to no great effect based on which military "Union" faction was last in the room with President Zelenskyy before a decision

Even Ukraine's vaunted oil offensive is a bare plurality of total drone strikes
2/
The latest @RyanO_ChosenCoy thread detailing the bureaucratic issues of Ukraine's military in targeting Russian logistics makes clear Ukraine's military has inter-service and intra-service union/factional disputes that are positively American in scale.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 19
Untrue⬇️

If the target of a US "rapid strike" was either the Kharg Island oil export facility or Iran's banking/financial system with a combination of explosives and non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse munitions, the Mullahs will fall.

COA🧵 Image
This post is typical of analytical thinking regarding strikes on Iran.

Note the complete lack of either Kharg island or the Iranian financial system on the list.

Regime Security Force as a distinct target set that needs a payroll is missing.

2/
There are two real courses of action (COA) for an American air campaign if Regime Change is the goal.

The Schwerpunkt - political center of gravity - of the Mullah regime is its ability to pay for the use Regime Security Forces & foreign hired mercenaries.

3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 18
This is one of the 3 major strategic mistakes of the Zelenskyy Government.⬇️

Putin has shown better, more consistent, and more effective leadership in the strategic bombing of Ukrainian electrical infrastructure than Zelinskyy has in striking Russia's railways.

1/
Russia remains uniquely vulnerable to a focused drone strike campaign on it's electrical railway traction step down transformers.

Zelenskyy's leadership not only ignored hitting that unique Russian vulnerability since Feb. 2022.

See the figure below⬇️

2/ Image
To give you an idea of the abject political-military failure of the Zelenskyy government in this regard one has to look at the industrial supply chain for those traction substations.

The Soviet Union had two major transformer factories: Tolyatti and Zaporozhye.

3/
Read 8 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 16
This is a useful survey as far as it goes...but it is missing the key factor in the Iranian Revolution.

That is, _Food_Insecurity_.

Food insecurity is as much a cause of the Iranian Revolution as Regime hatred.

Iranian Revolution Food Insecurity🧵
1/
The predominant effect of a 1.4 million rial to the dollar hyperinflation combined with Regime Security Force public lockdown is the Iranian lower class has been set up to starve.

The lower class cannot go to work to get money to buy food.


2/
Nor can Iran's lower class budget the money it has to plan what food it can buy week to week because of inflation.

Iran's hyperinflation has gone on long enough that the Iranian lower class has traded everything it can barter, already, for food.



3/ Image
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 14
We really need to talk about the huge opportunity that Mullah financial corruption has given the Trump Administration to crash Iran's financial system with E-bombs, AKA non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse.

Wiping the financial records of failing Mullah banks in a revolution...

1/ Image
Image
Image
...makes them very difficult to restore.

And surfacing those back up records makes them vulnerable to follow up E-bomb strikes.

Plus, how are the IRGC & Basij going to get paid?

2/
No one in their right mind thinks the IRGC & Basij will work for free, fighting a revolution without pay.

Mullah controlled bank electronics are needed to meet payroll.

The old USAF ALCM cruise missile was outfitted with the "CHAMP" E-Bomb for zorching enemy electronics.

3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 12
If you haven't read the substack article linked below, do so immediately and consider this:

When you stack secure & uninterrupted digital text communications to Mullah Regime corruption and currency hyperinflation...

...the Mullah Regime is doomed. It's a matter of when, not if.

1/
What jumped out for me about @shanaka86 substack article was the implications of secure digital text communications for the Maoist model of Revolutionary warfare.

See the @grok summary of Mao's 4-level revolutionary model below. ⬇️

2/ Image
Maoist Level 1 & 2 warfare has never had the secure digital text communications Starlink provides.

This means a whole heck of a lot and shoots decades of counter-insurgency doctrine about controlling/blocking guerilla communications in the head.

3/ Image
Read 14 tweets

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