Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 4, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Alright, it is time for another adventure in "logistical enablers" in the latest US arms shipment to Ukraine.

Specifically look at this line:

"Eight heavy fuel trucks and 105 fuel trailers."

1/8 Image
The heavy fuel truck could only be the US Army's M978 heavy tactical fuel truck.

2/8 Image
I've talked about these logistical enablers of heavy mechanized offensives previously on Twitter.

3/8
The "105 fuel trailers" offer several possibilities.

This 7,500-gallon petroleum tank semitrailer behind an M1088 FMTV semi-tractor is one possibility. (See the global security link)

@battle_order featured it in a recent tweet thread of his.

globalsecurity.org/military/libra…
4/8 Image
The modular fuel system on a PLS truck-trailer tank rack module mounted on a M1076 PLS trailer is another.

5/8
army.mil/article/239935… ImageImage
The lowest end of possibility is this dismountable tank and pump unit used in the US Army FMTV trailer fleet.

6/8 Image
I think the 7,500-gallon petroleum tank semitrailer is the most likely for that military aid line as semi-tractor connections are universal and Ukraine has access to Semi-tractors in the European Union militaries & economy to pull them.

The next several weeks will tell

7/8
...which we will see lines of them in the Ukrainian counter attack logistical trains.

Ukraine's 'big cats' will prowl on megatons of diesel fuel delivered by these trailers.


8/8 End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Jun 27
Yes, I've been looking for Russian train derailments that could be attributed to lack of foreign roller bearing for a while.

Now there may be one where I expected they would show up first.
1/
Something I've been expecting to see since September 2022 in fact.

See that post below:

2/
Is there reason to think about roller bearing failures now?

Yes there is.

Look at the map below.

3/

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Read 9 tweets
Jun 23
I can't begin to tell you how scary/spooky reading this @AndrewPerpetua post is a historian of WW2 Pacific combat.

His list is literally the WW2 Imperial Japanese adaptation to US air & artillery firepower.

1/
Compare the photo clip to this:

"1: Digging deep. At least 2 meters, minimum. If not 3 or 4. The problem becomes the slope of the trench. It is better to dig into a hill if possible to reduce the slope."

2/ Image
Compare IJA Okinawa cave cover text & mortar position photo clips to this observation:

"2: Overhead cover. You must protect yourself against drones at a minimum. Protecting against artillery is likely impractical, but where possible it should be done."

3/

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Read 12 tweets
Jun 22
As the end of this video details, the "Birds of Magyar" had a radio repeater drone right on top of that RuAF Drone unit occupied the building in order to be able to inspect its insides with an FPV drone.

A drone war organizational change🧵
1/2
It looks like the "Birds of Magyar" repeater drone was also relaying Russian drone analog video back to its drone operators.

The seamless integration of SIGINT within drone unit ops, without reference to any other organization, or higher command, is not Western practice with drones.

2/
In the US Army, SIGINT & Jamming belong to one Military Intelligence.

Drones belong, based on size, too the following:
1. The Division aviation brigade (Group 4 - MQ-1C Grey Eagle)
2. The Brigade combat team (Group 3 - RQ-7 Shadow) and,
3. Battalion & below (Group 1 - RQ-11B Raven)

3/Image
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Read 18 tweets
Jun 22
Gosh,

Remember all the X accounts claiming these turtle tanks were the answer to Ukrainian FPV drones and a sign of Russian strength?

Not so much.⬇️

They are, in fact, a "flaming datum" of Russian military-industrial weakness.

A Lanchester Smiles🧵
A turtle tank is an obsolete tank without both traverse & elevation gear & a gun loader (perhaps w/o even a beach?) turned into a scrap steel MT-LB personnel carrier with a very low powered drone jammer on top.

2/
There are other, very vital, things missing from this T-62.

The copper cables for the tank intercom have been stripped while it was in storage, before refurbishment, and have not been replaced.

The TC can't talk to the driver!😱

The explosive from the ERA is missing.
3/
Read 14 tweets
Jun 20
The problem the Russians have in the small drone category is their centralized procurement model.

That model can make a lot of any one design.

It is forever behind the observe orient decide act (OODA) loop in terms of innovation

AFU Procurement model🧵
1/
...compared to Ukraine's decentralized/competitive procurement model of drone procurement.

Ukraine is perfectly willing to ignore "Not invented here" to get something right now like this:

2/
A Lithuanian design for Ukraine right now in any numbers beats the politically perfect for the centralized procurement pubahs we see in Russia...

...or the USA or that matter. Which doesn't make much of that one perfect design.

3/

Read 5 tweets
Jun 19
This is Ukrainian FPV drone air superiority...arriving.

It is also represents the complete technological obsolescence of the USMC/US Army C-UAS, M-LIDS & M-SHORAD programs.

1/
Assuming an FPV interceptor is a $1000 a shot because of improved kinematic performance & specialized light weight fragmentation warhead.

Everything you see in photographs below is obsolete from a cost effectiveness perspective.

2/
FPV drones are "disintermediated" from any ground or vehicular infrastructure.

Any flat piece of ground or even a human hand to launch them will do.

3/
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Read 9 tweets

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