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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Apr 4, 2023 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
Alright, it is time for another adventure in "logistical enablers" in the latest US arms shipment to Ukraine.

Specifically look at this line:

"Eight heavy fuel trucks and 105 fuel trailers."

1/8 Image
The heavy fuel truck could only be the US Army's M978 heavy tactical fuel truck.

2/8 Image
I've talked about these logistical enablers of heavy mechanized offensives previously on Twitter.

3/8
The "105 fuel trailers" offer several possibilities.

This 7,500-gallon petroleum tank semitrailer behind an M1088 FMTV semi-tractor is one possibility. (See the global security link)

@battle_order featured it in a recent tweet thread of his.

globalsecurity.org/military/libra…
4/8 Image
The modular fuel system on a PLS truck-trailer tank rack module mounted on a M1076 PLS trailer is another.

5/8
 army.mil/article/239935… ImageImage
The lowest end of possibility is this dismountable tank and pump unit used in the US Army FMTV trailer fleet.

6/8 Image
I think the 7,500-gallon petroleum tank semitrailer is the most likely for that military aid line as semi-tractor connections are universal and Ukraine has access to Semi-tractors in the European Union militaries & economy to pull them.

The next several weeks will tell

7/8
...which we will see lines of them in the Ukrainian counter attack logistical trains.

Ukraine's 'big cats' will prowl on megatons of diesel fuel delivered by these trailers.


8/8 End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Dec 24
The defence-blog -dot- com website reported a very important observation on the production quality of current Russian Shahed production.

It's individual quality is declining, _Hard_.

1/
 Russian End Run Production 🧵 Image
From the article:

“The Russians have adapted these drones to their needs, but due to a lack of components and efforts to reduce costs, their quality has declined,” Kulchytsky explained.

Earlier iterations of Shahed drones contained numerous foreign-made components,
2/
...including Japanese-manufactured bearings and precision-built servo drive rods.

However, recent versions have shown a transition to simplified bearings and direct rod assemblies, indicating a shortage of high-quality components."
3/
Read 14 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Dec 22
Sadly, this F-18 shoot down isn't a surprise.

The US Navy, as an institution, had a really horrid record of "friendly fire" in WW2, to include shooting down a FM-2 Wildcat fighter coming of the catapult of the CVE USS Tulagi in Kerama Retto on 6 Apr 1945.

1/
I've done threads on X highlighting this historical US Navy friendly fire institutional dysfunction.

2/
Another FM-2 Wildcat, damaged in the same Kerama Retto engagement resulting in the USS Tulagi's FM-2 getting shot down, was in turn blown out of the sky by panicked USN gunners over Kadena airfield causing massive damage to fighter fuel logistics & strafing Army troops ashore.
3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Dec 21
Congress being held accountable for stealth legislation & pork barrel spending _BEFORE THE VOTE IS CAST_ is my most unexpected and welcomed result of Artificial Intelligence large language models (LLM) in 2024.

AI vs Lobbyists🧵
1/
It would take eight speed reading lawyers with eidetic memories 16 to 24 man hours to parse a 1000 page piece of legislation.

Specialty lawyers charging hundred of dollars an hour working for K-Street lobbyists.

2/
Now any competent person can feed huge pieces of legislation to Grok, or other LLM, for nearly no cost and generate a similar work product in minutes to post to social media.

K-Street lobbyists in DC, & Congressmen/Senators sucking up their cash, just had their world burn.

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Dec 17
I've been involved with three US Army FMTV reset programs.

So this newest report from Ukraine's Defense Express on the the repairability problems with Russian AFV's out of their reserves is so much fun to share with you all.

1/ Image
Defense Express pulled an article from the No. 10 issue of the Russian magazine "Material and Technical Support" on how horrid the vehicles coming out of reserve are plus problems with battle damaged reserve vehicles.

2/
 en.defence-ua.com/analysis/repai…
The 2nd paragraph starts with this:

"The central takeaway from this publication is that the actual repairability of Russian tanks is 3-5 times lower than what is claimed in official manuals. This discrepancy has extended repair times for equipment by at least 15-20%."

3/
Read 12 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Dec 16
Ukraine’s claims to have produced 100 Peklo (Hell) cruise missiles over the past three months.

This works out to about 1.1 Peklo a day, but manufacturing production lines don't work like that.

Peklo Manufacturing 🧵

1/
 pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/…
The infographic figure below is a typical commercial production line curve.

Ukraine's stated production and use of the Peklo (Hell) cruise missile marks it as being on the 'start of production to market entry' ramp up part of the curve below.

2/ Image
Over two dozen Peklo were shown in this public unveiling by Ukraine, which is over 1/4 of the stated production to date.

How many were pre-production prototypes or low rate initial pilot production models isn't knowable.
3/
Read 12 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Dec 15
This is Russian exceptionalism in action again.

The Putin Regime took old riverine tankers - Volgoneft 212 and Volgoneft-239 - to sea:

1/
 unian.ua/world/richkovi…
"According to Andriy Klymenko , head of the Institute for Black Sea Strategic Studies , both vessels are very old and have a "river" class, which implies certain limitations.

2/
He published and commented on the relevant map, which indicates the approximate location of the tanker disaster.

"It is about 8 miles from the seaport of Taman (a transshipment port south of the Kerch Strait).

3/
Read 5 tweets

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