Here are the 7 most important pieces to understand the seismic shift happening now in global money.

#1 - The US Dollar is losing its status as the world's reserve currency.

China wants the crown - but another challenger has already won. And nobody realizes it yet. #Bitcoin Image
#2 - In early 2022, the US froze Russia's foreign currency reserves & cut them off from the SWIFT banking system.

This was like dropping a nuke on the monetary world order.

The world as it has been since 1971 is over. Have you noticed everything getting weird? Image
#3 - The rise of the BRICS nations.

Originally an informal acronym of emerging economies (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa)...

...the group has become a formal coalition of countries sick of taking directions from the post-WW2 world order dominated by the USA. Image
#4 - For years, the economic strength of BRICS has grown relative to the G7.

Recently, the BRICS nations surpassed the G7 nations in GDP.

...But the BRICS nations still needed a reason to break free from the status quo.

The G7 freezing Russia's FX reserves was it. Image
#5 - In 2020, Ray Dalio released "The Changing World Order"

In it, he argues that superpowers always succumb to death by too much cheap, easy debt. And a new superpower emerges.

The implication is we are living in the decline of American power and the rise of China. Image
#6 - For the last 40 years, commodities have underperformed financial assets (stocks, RE).

This was caused by interest rates compressing, fueled by huge international demand for the stability and low-risk returns of US Treasuries.

That era is over. Nobody is buying Treasuries. Image
#7 - Commodities are back. In a multipolar world (USA/G7 + China/BRICS), "hard money" is king.

This used to mean gold, now it means gold + #Bitcoin

Depending on Bitcoin's share of growth in the "hard money" category, it could be the major winner this decade. Image
And #Bitcoin is the key to understanding why Ray Dalio is wrong.

China's currency will not be the world's reserve currency.

Find out why in this month's Bitcoin & Macro update: jessemyers.substack.com/p/64-april-202…

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More from @Croesus_BTC

Apr 6
From the mainstream’s viewpoint, when it comes to money…

#Bitcoin is monetary Bizarro World.

What does this mean, who said what, and is it accurate?

1/ A fun little thread... Image
2/ In the 1960s, Superman had to deal with another Earth — eerily like ours — but where many details were the opposite of what we call normal.

We’ll let Jerry Seinfeld explain it:
3/ I live in monetary Bizarro World because, in contrast to the conventional viewpoint...

I don’t believe that money should be backed by governments.

Recently, Elizabeth Warren argued the opposite...
Read 14 tweets
Apr 2
Here are the 7 most important charts in global macro right now.

Together, they hint at what's next as the banking crisis broadens into other segments of the financial landscape.

#1 - the elephant in the room right now is Yield Curve Inversion. h/t @DylanLeClair_
As a reminder, when the banking crisis hit a couple weeks ago, bond yields suddenly dropped.

(The bond market realized that the Fed's tightening game is up - they will have to cut rates this year.)

Rates have peaked. QT is dead, QE is back.
#2 - If you zoom in on the 10y and 2y UST yield inversion, you see that it appears to be closing now, as a result of the last few weeks.

While this seems like good news, every major recession in modern history has begun in earnest once the yield inversion resolves. (aka, soon)
Read 10 tweets
Mar 29
This is the moment you've been waiting for with #Bitcoin

We may never see Bitcoin's price this low again.

A thread on why... Image
Everyone misses the bottom. The bottom feels like a disaster, so we all freeze up and watch it go by.

Forget about the recent price bottom - it's gone, peak fear has passed.

But THIS is actually the moment you can seize.

Why? The next halving is coming... Image
What has happened after each past halving (2012, 2016, 2020) is a 12-18 month major bull market.

This is the result of a supply shock upending Bitcoin's supply/demand price equilibrium.

Not as much new supply, just as much demand... Number Go Up. Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 27
Here are the 7 most important charts in global macro right now.

Together, they hint at what's next for the banking crisis.

#1 - Fed rate hikes expected to stop. Appears likely that now (5%) is the peak for Fed interest rates. Image
#2 - the Fed added ~$100B to its balance sheet last week, adding to the ~$300B in money printing the week before.

The Fed has now offset 2/3 of the last 15 months of balance sheet reductions in just 2 weeks. Image
#3 - Despite the Fed balance sheet growing by a smaller amount last week, the Fed's total support to the global banking system INCREASED.

They just provided it via loans (liquidity) rather than outright asset purchases.

The banking system is still in trouble. But why? Image
Read 8 tweets
Feb 2
Ultra-simplified #Bitcoin educational content series, from @Croesus_BTC

This thread contains all my ultra-simplified Bitcoin educational graphics, now and into the future.

Save it and share with friends and family on their Bitcoin journeys
👇👇👇
Read 7 tweets
Feb 8, 2022
.@HeatherReyhan and her husband @unrealdutch were arrested today for the 2016 Bitfinex hack, were sitting on 120k BTC worth $4.5B

My fav part is how Heather got this 2019 writeup in Forbes: forbes.com/sites/heatherm…

Here's her rapping she's a "bad bitch":
"Got Burnout? This Tech CEO Thinks You Should Try Stealing $4.5B in Bitcoin"
Read 11 tweets

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