Thorongil Profile picture
Apr 13 4 tweets 1 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
college educated social conservatives as a demographic try too damn hard

Trump on the other hand, just shoots from the hip and the base eats it up
college educated social conservatives consist of two sub-demographics:

1) lunatics stuck in cultural/ideological bubbles
2) people who are trying to cosplay as populist heroes
the first group are transparently freaks

the second group are transparently fakes

so for people trying to do "Trumpism without Trump" as they call it, it's a question of Freaks vs Fakes.
in the Freaks category: @lxeagle17 will be too happy to talk about Arizona senate candidate Blake Masters

in the Fakes category: a certain New Jersey resident who ran for Senate across the Delaware in PA

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Thorongil

Thorongil Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Thorongil16

Mar 28
alright since i said i was gonna do this here is part 2 of the thorongil follower bracket

gotta get it done before the Idiot brings down the hammer

matchups below
(1) food take haver @DrewSav

vs

(32) its in the name @pollsnthings
(17) Westchester defender @adriaeln

vs

(16) in my mind i'm going to @UniteCarolina
Read 6 tweets
Jan 15
⏰⏰⏰
JARED POLIS IS LIKELY THE FIRST DEMOCRAT TO CARRY THE CITY OF COLORADO SPRINGS:

ESTIMATED TOTALS WITHIN COS PRECINCTS:

POLIS (D): 94,491 (50.6%)
GANAHL (R): 87,774 (47.0%)

Was 50-46 Trump in 2020

#copolitics
The suburban CDP of Cimarron Hills also has likely voted blue for the first time

ESTIMATED TOTALS WITHIN CIMARRON HILLS PRECINCTS:

POLIS (D): 3,135 (49.7%)
GANAHL (R): 2,992 (47.5%)

Was 52-43 Trump in 2020
The resort town of Manitou Springs:

POLIS (D): 1,876 (69.2%)
GANAHL (R): 772 (28.5%)

Was 64-32 Biden in 2020
Read 4 tweets
Dec 27, 2022
"Barnstable and Bristol have tons of socially conservative populists"

According to this, the solution to losing Massachusetts by 30 points for being too conservative, is to be "more" conservative.

Good luck - Keating ain't going anywhere
Massachusetts Rs are 0 and 130 or so for winning congressional elections, and it certainly isn't because every white guy with an Irish last name is a secret crypto-populist waiting to be pulled into voting GOP.
Bristol County had a right-wing sheriff, and when voters actually paid attention to his policies, the dude lost, as an incumbent - do you know how hard that is to do?

Barnstable County has all-Democratic government for the first time in decades too so this is clownium
Read 4 tweets
Dec 2, 2022
since I'm bored - like this for a subtweet
you all seem like very nice people and im glad you like my stuff but we should talk more
1. florida safe R
Read 27 tweets
Dec 1, 2022
GEORGIA 🧵

Between 2020 and 2022 the pool of Georgia voters that has actually cast ballots has gotten significantly whiter, especially in south Georgia (rural).

Interestingly, the heavily black suburbs south of ATL in Henry/Clayton/Rockdale have all gotten blacker. Image
20 on left, 22 on right

Weaker D black belt is obvious. Biden won GA because rural AAs didn't shift far from 2016/2018 baselines like in NC.

But for 2022 they did - Warnock's plurality in the first round is in spite of this and is a testament to his strength with whites. ImageImage
Looking to Tuesday - as the early numbers keep coming in at upwards of 30% black, that's extremely good for Warnock.

The blacker an electorate Warnock banks, the easier it gets. And it's not like white voters from Nov are switching just because there's a runoff.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 30, 2022
Map thread here since the precinct results were out and this took me like 5 minutes to make.

Bill Keating as usual crushed it and won by 18, basically matching Biden's numbers here. Jesse Brown was one of the least problematic Rs on the ballot in the Bay State this year.
Bristol County Sheriff race

The notorious right wing sheriff Tom Hodgson narrowly lost to Attleboro Mayor Paul Heroux, as the Dems actually gave a crap and tried to defeat an incumbent. Still, there were a ton of Healey/Hodgson voters and Heroux owes Fall River/New Bedford ftw.
Closer to home

Democrats flipped the sheriff race in Barnstable County. It was legitimately close but Woods Hole/Outer Cape towns past the Orleans rotary have taken this county off the board for Dems.

More blue-collar mid/upper cape towns were pro Whelan though.
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(