Thomas van Linge Profile picture
Apr 15, 2023 β€’ 8 tweets β€’ 5 min read β€’ Read on X
The #SAF-#RSF war across #Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡© is not just a power struggle between #Burhan and #Hemedti, it is a clash of two military generations. Two vastly different cultures of warfare, each with a desire to dominate Sudan and have the other one be the scapegoat of decades of misery. Image
Burhan represents the old guard, the generals who took power in 1989 and have basically ruled #Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡© ever since. The SAF is a responds to ower struggles with coups and to rebellions with sieges and bombardments. It is a classic Arab military, similar to the EGA πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡¬or the SAA πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡Ύ Image
Hemedti is the challenger. He represents the warlord generation, his irregular RSF was founded from the "Janjaweed" militias, which were created to do the SAF's dirty work.

RSF militants would destroy village after village in rebellious areas, slaughter thousands of civilians. Image
For years the RSF functioned as subordinate to the SAF, being the enforcer of the military by doing the things regular army units didn't have the stomach to do, like ethnically cleansing areas, slaughtering protesters, enforcing a coup in the streets.

But no more. Image
It is said that Hemedti never supported the 2021 coup and only begrudgingly enforced it by keeping order in the streets. He knew the #SudanCoup was doomed to fail.

But while Burhan was busy running the show Hemedti build his own empire, one of thousands of motivated mercenaries Image
This military showdown could be described as Bashir's revenge. The former Sudanese dictator created several competiting branches of the armed forces (SAF,RAF,NISS), figuring a divided military could never overthrow him & rule in his stead.

It turns out he was only partly wrong. Image
And so now we've had reached the logical conclusion of a collision years in the making. Both leaders know that eventually someone will have to take the fall for the years of misery and bloodshed, both during the Bashir era and the coup years that came after it. Image
When reading the news please don't think any of these two military factions represent the people of #Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©. The Sudanese people represent themselves, brave and peaceful. Often the victims of criminals with guns but despite that unapologetic about change and unafraid to dream. Image

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More from @ThomasVLinge

Apr 10
I just came back a trip around the resistance territories of southern Karenni state (Myanmar).

During my time I went to the frontlines, visited IDP camps in the jungles, stayed the night at an abandoned junta base, met resistance fighters, refugees and community leaders.

🧡:
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Karenni state (also known as Kayah state) as around the size of Qatar, which makes it the smallest of Myanmar's different states and regions.

Yet because of its proximity to the capital Naypyidaw (120 km) it is still a very strategic region.
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After three years of anti-coup resistance and armed struggle around 90% of Karenni is under resistance control.

Karenni is divided into 7 townships: Loikaw (capital), Demoso, Hpruso, Bawlakhe, Hpasawng, Shadaw, Mese.
Read 22 tweets
Nov 16, 2023
Strong indication from this Fox News report that the IDF is moving guns around in order to "proof" that Hamas was using al-Shifa hospital.

IDF video claims that "minutes ago" they found a single gun behind the MRI machine, same spot in the FOX report: two guns were added.



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Seriously watch the original IDF video (re-uploaded minutes ago). At 1:48 the IDF spokesman literally said they found a single gun "just minutes ago", same room as where @TreyYingst walks through in his report. Yet Trey's report shows two extra guns placed in the exact spot
Although it doesn't disprove that the guns are from Hamas or that there are any guns in the hospital. It is a very clear sign that the IDF is moving guns around the hospital and places them in suspicious locations.

This puts everything they show about the hospital into question.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 14, 2023
#Palestine πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Έ BREAKING: AJE reports that Israeli forces have informed the staff of al-Shifa that they will storm the #Gaza hospital tonight. Image
#Palestine πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Έ: multiple reports now that Israeli forces are INSIDE al-Shifa hospital in #Gaza city and are "carrying out operations" within the facility.
#Palestine πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Έ: the #IDF has released footage of their troops supposedly dropping off medical supplies at al-Shifa hospital.

But everything that's important is missing here. Where are the patients? Where are they alleged #Hamas tunnels?
Read 4 tweets
Oct 23, 2023
The dry season is starting in #Myanmar πŸ‡²πŸ‡². The drier weather and more accessible roads will mean an intensification of fighting between the junta and resistance across the country.

In the north the #KIA as already taken initiative & seized three bases irrawaddy.com/news/burma/kia…
#Myanmar πŸ‡²πŸ‡²: junta warplanes have repeatedly targeted the village of Nyaung Kone in the Mogok Township (#Mandalay region) as fighting between junta forces and #TNLA & #PDF resistance groups is ongoing in the region.

Source: fb.watch/nTkbFARwmj/
#Myanmar πŸ‡²πŸ‡²: junta forces clashed with local #PDF resistance in the Tabayin Township of #Sagaing region, after the soldiers ventured out into the countryside and tried to enter a resistance-controlled village.

Source: fb.watch/nTmjbw5tyf/
Read 144 tweets
Sep 19, 2023
#NagornoKarabakh BREAKING: Azerbaijani military forces have launched an artillery assault on the city of #Stepanakert.
#NagornoKarabakh: the sounds of artillery fire and air raid siren s fill the air over #Stepanakert this clouded Tuesday afternoon.

Azerbaijani rethoric strongly suggest they're intending to start another war to finish off Armenian self-rule in the region.
#NagornoKarabakh: Azerbaijani artillery is slamming into the hills around #Stepanakert as heavy fighting is ongoing in the region.
Read 12 tweets
Aug 7, 2023
Taking about events in #Ethiopia πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ή in a group chat and it is striking that outside of the select view so many in international press, diplomacy, politics etc seem totally unaware that the most powerful country in Africa, with a population of 100M is about to implode.
If you thought the breakup of Yugoslavia (with a total pop. of 23M) was bad, wait until the same thing happens to an Ethiopian state of 100M, in a country already susceptible to famine, in a region already enflamed, with a totally clueless & divided international community
The latest round of fighting is to largely come down to an Amhara-Oromo war, with the Tigrayans *having lost around 8% of their people in the previous war* still being to weak to take an active role in the war.
Read 5 tweets

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