Ian Ellis Profile picture
Apr 18 • 16 tweets • 7 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
🚨 A LOT going down in the Pacific right now.

The US & its allies—Japan, South Korea, Philippines, & Australia—and China & its allies—Russia & North Korea—are all actively operating in the South China Sea, Philippine Sea, & Sea of Japan.

Here’s everything you need to know 👇 Image
1. The big news this morning was China’s announcement of “major military activity” in the Yellow Sea near Qingdao.

The Shandong Carrier Strike Group was last spotted in the Philippine Sea on April 16.

This is worth watching & I’m running a live thread with everything I find:
2. On Friday, the Russian Pacific Fleet was placed on “high alert” for snap military drills.

The Russian Defense Ministry declared that the southern Sea of Okhotsk, the Peter the Great Bay of the Sea of Japan, & the Avacha Bay on the Kamchatka Peninsula would be closed.
3. Last week, North Korea conducted one of its most provocative weapons demonstrations in years by flight-testing a new intercontinental ballistic missile for the first time.

On Saturday, a South Korean naval vessel fired warning shots to repel a North Korean patrol vessel. Image
4. The US, South Korea & Japan conducted a trilateral missile defense exercise Monday near the Korean Peninsula & Yellow Sea.

The US & South Korea also launched drills Monday involving 100+ warplanes—including advanced F-35 fighter jets—and will continue through April 28.
5. Major combined live-fire military exercises are underway between the US, Philippines, & Australia.

The largest ever iteration of the annual #Balikatan23 exercise features 17,600 soldiers—a marked increase from 9,000 last year.

The US is showcasing its firepower in Asia.
6. Yesterday, a US destroyer transited the Taiwan Strait.

While a relatively routine operation—in January, a US warship passed through—it’s the *third* freedom of navigation operation in less than one month in waters contested by China, which is not very routine.

Live updates:
7. China's PLAN Shandong Carrier Strike Group continues its training patrol in the Pacific.

Japan has closely tracked & shadowed the Shandong CSG.

As of April 16, its last known location was 710km south-southeast of Okinotorishima.
The @USNavy & @US7thFleet have been extremely active in strategically positioning its assets around the region.

I’m closely tracking & monitoring US naval activity using public data here:
Given the increased naval activity in the region, there is always chatter about a potential blockade.

I don't know if or when that will happen, but I compiled a list of what the experts are saying:
If you made it all the way down here, thanks for reading—and I hope you enjoyed my awful map.

I'll keep updating these threads as events play out.

To understand more about the US-China competition, I highly recommend watching this speech from Navy Rear Admiral Mike Studeman 👇
First breaking news update I've seen today on China’s “major military activity” in the Yellow Sea.

I'm working to confirm the source and accuracy, as none is cited.

Will update as info comes in.
Radio Taiwan International reporting:

China conducted a military drill in the Yellow Sea that started Tuesday @ 9am local time.

ROC Defense Ministry spokesman said the drills appear to be scheduled internal exercises that lasted 3 hours. @RadioTaiwan_Eng

đźš© Still unconfirmed. Image
UPDATE: China held major military drills in the waters off Shandong Province in the Yellow Sea, as reported by @taiwanplusnews.

More info here:

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More from @ianellisjones

Apr 18
NEW: China has held major military drills in the Yellow Sea.

"The exercises were in waters off Shandong Province where military drills often take place. The Chinese Maritime Safety Agency (MSA) did not specify what activities were being carried out."

Source: @taiwanplusnews
Map from @taiwanplusnews: Image
Significant military activity is underway in the Pacific.

As of Monday, militaries & navies from the US, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Australia, China, Russia, & North Korea were actively operating in the region.

Live thread tracking all major developments:
Read 5 tweets
Apr 18
Tracking @USNavy Assets in the Pacific: April 10-17 🇺🇸

- USS Milius performed a Taiwan Strait transit
- Nimitz CSG underway in the South China Sea from East Coast of Taiwan
- Makin Island ARG operating in the Sulu Sea, Philippines
- Vinson CSG on the move in the Middle Pacific Image
Sailors on the USS Milius (DDG-69) are probably not sleeping much.

On April 16, the destroyer transited the Taiwan Strait—its 3rd freedom of navigation operation in less than one month near waters contested by China.

I'm closely tracking the movements of the Milius here:
The Nimitz Carrier Strike Group (CSG) is underway in the South China Sea.

One week ago, the CSG was operating off the Eastern Coast of Taiwan in the Philippine Sea.

The Nimitz chopped into @US7thFleet on December 16, and this is the third time the CSG has operated in the SCS.
Read 17 tweets
Apr 17
NEW: China says "major military activity" to be conducted in the Yellow Sea on April 18.

Apparently this was posted by China's Maritime Safety Administration and first reported by Reuters, but I cannot confirm the source as the website is blocked. Image
The Yellow Sea is a marginal sea of the Western Pacific Ocean located between mainland China and the Korean Peninsula. Image
This *may* be in response to the US warship that transited the Taiwan Strait ~12 hours ago.
Read 15 tweets
Apr 17
🚨 NEWS: The USS Milius (DDG 69) conducted a routine Taiwan Strait transit on April 16 local time.

The @USNavy guided missile destroyer “transited through a corridor in the Strait that is beyond the territorial sea of any coastal State.”
Official statement: Image
Live thread tracking US Navy movements in the Western Pacific based on public data:
Read 9 tweets
Mar 6
"It's disturbing how ill-informed & naive the average American is on China."

@USNavy Admiral publicly states #China is the "number one challenge" of the 21st century and represents the most dangerous trend in #geopolitics.

Eye-opening speech.

I cut the 60 mins down to 5 👇
Rear Admiral and Commander of Office of Naval Intelligence, Mike Studeman, delivered a chilling address on the threat posed by China.

"It's mind blowing how big the problem is. It's very unsettling to see how much the US is not connecting the dots on the challenge."
"The problem is so massive most people don't know how to have a framework for it. We need to have more conversations with the country to understand the problem."

The Adm. says it's a tougher problem than the US faced against the Soviet Union in the Cold War.

Let that sink in.
Read 8 tweets

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