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Apr 19, 2023 13 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Investors prefer liquid funds for building an emergency corpus.

Now that the taxation of debt funds has changed, investors are looking for alternatives.

One option is Arbitrage funds. They offer a #tax advantage.

We compare both categories to see which is better.

A thread 🧵 Image
Let’s start with the basics: What are Arbitrage Funds?

These are part of the hybrid fund category and invest in arbitrage opportunities.

They follow complex methods.

But to understand the concept, let’s look at a simple example. 👇
Say #Infosys is trading at a higher price on #NSE compared to BSE.

So, the fund manager buys Infosys on BSE and sells on NSE simultaneously.

Usually, these funds look for mispricing opportunities in the ‘Cash’ and the ‘Futures & Options' markets.
Risk is limited in these funds.

Reason: Fund managers don’t invest in equities directly but only in different arbitrage opportunities

Therefore, the chances of Arbitrage Funds delivering negative funds are rare.
One data point to put things in perspective.

Never have any arbitrage fund delivered negative return over a 6-month period in the last 3 years (See graph) Image
Now, let’s look at Liquid funds.

These schemes invest in short-term debt papers maturing within 91 days.

Thus, they are among the least risky debt funds.

They have some credit risk, that is, the company in which the mutual fund has invested defaults.
SEBI has, however, changed norms in the past few years to protect them from credit risks.

This can be seen by the fact that hardly any liquid fund has delivered a negative return over 6 month period (See graph) Image
In terms of risk, both categories look similar.

What about returns?

As the average returns of all funds may look diluted, we did something different.

We took the average of the top 5 performing funds in each year to evaluate the categories. Image
Takeaway:

Liquid Funds have performed better, but the differential isn’t much.

Plus, Arbitrage Funds have a tax advantage, especially for those in the 20% and 30% tax brackets.

The post-tax return, therefore, would be better for Arbitrage funds.

Let’s see how they are taxed👇
Arbitrage funds are taxed like equity.

Therefore, short-term gains (less than a year) are taxed at 15%.

Long-term gains (after a year) above Rs 1 lakh are taxed at 10%

No tax is levied on gains up to Rs 1 lakh.
After the change in debt funds’ taxation, any gains will be added to an investor’s income and taxed as per the slab.

The following table shows how the post-tax return of these two categories of funds may look like based on historical data. Image
Arbitrage funds have the potential to deliver better post-tax returns than Liquid funds.

You can park some portion of your emergency funds in Arbitrage funds with other options, such as fixed deposits.
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More from @ETMONEY

Mar 21
How can you make the best returns, taking the least possible risk?

Nobel Prize winner Harry Markowitz spent his life researching this 👆.

His study led to Modern Portfolio Theory, which revolutionised investing.

Here’s a simplified version that every investor must know.

A 🧵
First, let’s understand Markowitz’s principles.

He showed you can earn better returns by taking lower risks if you diversify.

But is that possible?

Equity can grow at 12%-14%. Debt offers just 6%-8% returns.

Can a low-return asset make your portfolio more efficient?

IT’S POSSIBLE! 👇
Say your portfolio has ₹60 in equities & ₹40 in debt (earns 7%).

Your friend’s portfolio is 100% in equities.

Year 1: Markets go up by 12%

Year 2: Fall by 30%

Year 3: They rise 12% again

After three years, you end up with ₹102. Your friend has ₹88.
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Mar 20
Funds that usually fall less during corrections tend to do well over the long term.

Parag Parikh Flexi Cap is a good example of this.

But how do you pick funds like PPFAS Flexi Cap in other categories?

Here’s the framework and a list of 8 similar funds across categories.

A🧵
Before we share the names (it’s in tweet 10), let's quickly examine how we selected them.

We looked at 5 popular fund categories.

(1) Multi Cap, (2) Large & Mid Cap, (3) Flexi Cap, (4) Mid Cap and (5) Small Cap.

We filtered them in 3 simple steps.
STEP 1: FUNDS THAT FELL LESS DURING THE RECENT CORRECTION

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This is the period when the correction was steep.

The results were surprising. 👇
Read 14 tweets
Mar 18
Have you started an SIP recently and feel underwhelmed by the returns?

There’s something called the 8-4-3 SIP rule.

It explains how returns truly work over time.

Let’s understand this in detail. 👇 🧵
8-4-3 is a compounding rule.

First 8 years – Returns are usually modest. This period can test your patience.

Next 4 years – Your corpus nearly doubles.

Next 3 years – Compounding accelerates.

Let’s understand this with an example.
Say you start a monthly SIP of ₹25,000.

Assuming 12% annualized returns, here’s how your corpus will grow:

After 8 years: ₹39.25 lakh
In the next 4 years: ₹77.02 lakh
Next 3 years: ₹1.18 crore

This rule is based on linear growth - which doesn’t happen in equities.

BUT…
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Mar 13
Are markets still overvalued?

Sensex is down 13.6% since it hit an all-time high in Sep 2024.

The pain is worse in mid and small caps:
BSE Midcap: -21.4%
BSE Smallcap: -24.2%

Despite such a steep correction, markets are still not fairly valued, as per long-term data.

A🧵
To answer that, we'll analyse 4 key valuation metrics:

1. Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio
2. Cyclically Adjusted P/E (CAPE) Ratio
3. Market Cap to GDP Ratio
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Let’s start.
1. PRICE TO BOOK RATIO

The P/B ratio compares a company's (or index's) market cap to its book value (net assets).

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So how do large, mid, and small caps look now after the recent correction?
Read 17 tweets
Mar 8
Mid-cap & small-cap stocks have seen massive corrections.

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It also shared many more insights, which can help you in your investing journey.

A 🧵
Will PPFAS Flexi Cap increase mid- and small-cap exposure now?

The fund house is exploring opportunities but is still cautious.

Since 2017, they’ve kept mid- and small-cap exposure below 20%.

By Dec 2024, small-cap allocation had fallen to just 2.81%.
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But they still don’t think valuations have hit rock bottom.

So, they’ll be very selective while investing in this space.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 4
Market realities are changing.

What are the trends you should watch out for?

A 🧵 on 5 trends that smart investors are tracking (that you might be missing). 👇
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Markets have been weak, but the real pain is in small-cap stocks.

Check how different indices have fallen from their peak in Sep 2024:

Nifty 100: 17.4%

Nifty Smallcap 250: 26.14%

The answer to this is in their earnings.
In Oct-Dec quarter of FY25, large-cap stocks managed 6.5% revenue growth compared to last year.

Mid-caps did slightly better. Compared to last year, their revenue in Q3 grew 9%.

But small-cap stocks saw their revenue shrink by 8%—their worst quarter in years. Image
Read 17 tweets

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