Ian Ellis Profile picture
Apr 27 โ€ข 17 tweets โ€ข 8 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
๐Ÿšจ Major military activity is underway in the Pacific.

Lines are being drawnโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท

And challengedโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต

Welcome to the Indo-Pacific Powder Keg.

Updated map, latest developments, & breaking newsโ€”with a big assist from @IndoPac_Info: Image
The US, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Australia, Thailand, Vietnam, France, China, Russia, & North Korea are operating & exercising in the same region.

The most powerful & advanced militaries in the history of the world are in close proximity with 0 margin for error.
There is A LOT going on. TL;DR:

- A Chinese ship cut off a Philippine patrol ship nearly causing a collision
- US HIMARS Rockets & Patriot Missiles displayed in the Philippines
- Chinese aircraft carrier back in South China Sea
- US nuclear subs to South Korea
- Enter: Singapore
A Chinese coast guard ship cut off a Philippine vessel carrying journalists in the South China Sea, almost causing a collision near the disputed Spratly Islands. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

"Since you have disregarded our warning, we will take further necessary measures on you," China reportedly said. Image
The US Army's Patriot missile-defense system shot down a pair of targets flying off Luzon's western coast, marking the first time the weapon has been fired in the Philippine Sea. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

PAC-2 Patriot missiles can reach as high as 20 miles and travel up to 60 miles. Image
One of the US Army's best-known weaponsโ€”the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS)โ€”targeted a decommissioned warship floating miles away in the South China Sea during a live-fire exercise. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

A barrage of ordinance from artillery & aircraft eventually sank the vessel.
The US will send nuclear submarines to South Korea in a new pledge to protect from North Korean threats. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

Ballistic missile submarines haven't docked in South Korea since the 1980s.

"Nuclear armed subs in South Korea is probably more about China than North Korea.โ€ ๐Ÿ‘‡
China's Shandong Aircraft Carrier Strike Group is once again operating in the South China Sea after steaming for 19 days in the Philippine Sea.

The CSG was tracked within ~150 miles Southeast of Taiwan and, over the past week, came within ~400 miles of Guam. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
China and Singapore will hold joint naval drills this week. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ

Beijing's defense ministry said Monday that the drills will take place around Singapore from "end-April to early May."

"The Southeast Asian country has for decades juggled ties with rival powers in the region."
Japan's Self-Defense Forces are โ€œdeploying units operating a land-based interceptor missile system as North Korea is reportedly making final preparations to launch what it calls a military spy satellite. The launch could involve the use of ballistic missile technology.โ€ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
GPS interference reported in Northern #Taiwan 21-24 April.

@IndoPac_Info: "This is usually done to protect from guided weapons, which often use GPS to fly to its targets."

@GDarkconrad notes this also happened "one day before the Russian invasion of Ukraine."
Part of the largest-ever annual drills with the US-Philippines focused on defending the strategic Bashi Channel. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ

The islands where the #Balikatan23 air assault demonstration took place are just south of the 70-mile-wide Bashi Channel between the Philippines & Taiwan. Image
18 Russian ships transited the Sลya Strait to the East Sea/Sea of Japan after drills.

Japan's Wakataka guided-missile ship shadowed the Russian fleet.

The drills ended 20 April & "included 25,000 servicemen, 89 airplanes & helicopters, & 167 warshipsโ€”including 12 submarines."
US Air Force advanced aircraft deployed at Kadena Air Base, Okinawa, Japan, on 22 April.

Kadena is a USAF base located ~650km off the coast of China and is often referred to as the "Keystone of the Pacific" because of its highly strategic location.
The Carl Vinson Carrier Strike Group (CSG) returned to San Diego on 23 April.

The CSG finished its Group Sail in the Hawaiian Islands operating areas in preparation for deployment.

โ€ข 3 April: Naval Base San Diego
โ€ข 10 April: Eastern Pacific
โ€ข 17 April: Middle Pacific
A US nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine and a Chinese aircraft carrier strike group were operating in the same waters near Guam at the same time.

Pictures released by the US Military and OSINT mapping by @detresfa_ show the USS Maine & CNS Shandong underway nearby.
โ€œComing together as a fleet team with like-minded friends is critical to align efforts within our shared national interests as we uphold the norms that govern the maritime domain. Through our combined resolve, we keep the Indo-Pacific free and open and we deter aggression.โ€

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @ianellisjones

Apr 25
This picture is undoubtedly worth a thousand words, and shows that a US nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine and Chinese aircraft carrier strike group were operating in the same waters at the same time.

A not-so-subtle message from the US military, delivered via Twitter:
The USS Michigan nuclear-powered sub was also spotted in Guam recently:
Read 4 tweets
Apr 25
๐Ÿ‘€ China's Shandong aircraft carrier is now operating in the South China Sea after three weeks in the Philippine Sea.

In a press release Monday, Japan's Ministry of Defense said the carrier group recently sailed through the Bashi Channelโ€”located between Taiwan & the Philippines. ImageImage
I've seen reports that Destroyer USS Chung-Hoon is also operating nearby, but I haven't been able to independently confirm or find the source.

The last known location of the Chung-Hoon (that I can verify), part of the Nimitz CSG, was departing Subic Bay, Philippines, on 20-04.
A lot more information & details here:
Read 5 tweets
Apr 23
๐ŸšจMajor military activity continues in the Pacific.

Updated map & new developments:

- China: 2 new military exercises underway
- First time 2 Chinese aircraft carriers operate simultaneously
- Carl Vinson Carrier Strike Group enters Pacific
- 18 Russian ships pass near Japan Image
Militaries from the US, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Australia, China, Russia, & North Korea are exercising & operating in the Western Pacific this weekend.

This is not being reported by the media.

I researched for hours so you can get up to speed in minutes.
1. China announced 2 new military exercises near Qingdao in the Yellow Sea & Hainan in the South China Sea.

This is in addition to the "major military activity" that took place on Tuesday.

The drills are underway, ongoing for over 24 hours, & expected to end on 23-24 April.
Read 11 tweets
Apr 22
Carl Vinson Carrier Strike Group enters the Pacific ๐Ÿ‘€

"We are providing U.S. Pacific Fleet with a ready, resilient, combat-credible force & underscoring to our competitors that today is not the day to test us."

"We can choose to operate in any ocean around the world, today." Image
The Vinson CSG completed training in the Hawaiian Islands operating area on April 17 in "preparation for an upcoming deployment."

The ships & aircraft of the CSG, led by its flagship, USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70), are made up of more than 5,000 Sailors & will deploy in @US7thFleet. Image
Group Sail is an integrated training exercise, and units engaged in:

- Maritime Security operations
- Anti-Submarine Warfare operations
- Flight operations
- Replenishments-at-Sea & Counter-Piracy operations
- Maritime Integrated-at-Sea operations & Combat Readiness
Read 7 tweets
Apr 22
China announced "military training activities" this weekend in the Yellow Sea & South China Sea.

A statement from the Maritime Safety Administration says the drills will take place "in the waters near Qingdao from 1800 hours on April 21 to 1800 hours on April 24." Image
"In the waters near Qingdao in the Yellow Sea, from 1800 hours on April 21st to 1800 hours on April 24th, military training activities will be organized. Local vessels are strictly prohibited from entering this area without approval from the relevant military departments." Image
Bloomberg also reported drills in the South China Sea:

"The PLA will also hold drills starting 6 p.m. Friday until 8 a.m. Sunday in the South China Sea, according to a separate statement from the Maritime Safety Administration Wednesday."

I'm working to verify independently.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 18
NEW: China has held major military drills in the Yellow Sea.

"The exercises were in waters off Shandong Province where military drills often take place. The Chinese Maritime Safety Agency (MSA) did not specify what activities were being carried out."

Source: @taiwanplusnews
Map from @taiwanplusnews: Image
Significant military activity is underway in the Pacific.

As of Monday, militaries & navies from the US, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Australia, China, Russia, & North Korea were actively operating in the region.

Live thread tracking all major developments:
Read 5 tweets

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