Michael Kobs Profile picture
Apr 28, 2023 24 tweets 9 min read Read on X
#Nordstream Nothing like a good conspiracy theory in the morning, especially as a gift. Image
The Danish authorities have apparently confirmed that 26 photos of the Nymfen show the submarine rescue ship SS-750. A good reason to rehash old nonsense once again, as long as it makes Russia seem more likely to be the culprit.
information.dk/indland/2023/0… Image
It starts with the observation that the SS-750 had a Priz-class mini-sub on board. Of course, that sounds highly suspicious. Image
Let's note that the Pize class has a cruising speed of 4.3km/h and a range of 39km. It would take her 22 hours to reach the explosion site south of Bornholm, but she would run out of fuel after a third of the way. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_d… Image
That is, the SS-750 would have to lower the mini-submarine, install the charges, pick up the submarine again, and proceed to the next blast site. Obviously, that wasn't the case, but hey, the story is gift-wrapped! Image
Next, "Information" reminds us that SS-750 belonged to a group of 6 missing Russian ships. However, it forgets that by means of SAR only two ships were found without AIS and SAR does not overlook a huge ship made of metal, not even in a cloudy night. ImageImage
"Missing" are the 6 Russian ships mainly because they sailed through the Baltic Sea without AIS, like pretty much every warship these days. So just one day before a US aircraft carrier popped up only 10km from the later explosion site and nobody "missed" it, right? ImageImage
So how and when did they get there? Oh, this question is irrelevant since we talk about Russians. Image
"Information" also reminds us that the "missing" Russian ships left shortly after 00:00 that previous day. "Information" does not tell us that they left 17 hours earlier, when these 3 huge US dark ships cleared the destination. Image
(Apparently they were not even included in the SAR search for dark ships because they turned on their AIS on the way home. Nevertheless, it is impossible to tell from the AIS data how long they had been there).
All this happened 13 days after Biden read the end of the pipeline from his note in the presence of Scholz. Shouldn't the Russians be interested in what US ghost ships are doing over the pipelines? And shouldn't they take a submarine with them? Image
Next, "Information" tells us how exceptionally unusual this morning was. Danes, Swedes, Germans, Poles and Americans rushed in by sea and air to watch the Russians. 🔕🔕🔕 Image
But it doesn't ring a bell to "Information". The Russians go towards US ghost ships, well observed by satellites and 5 hostile nations, to fill their pipeline with bombs. They forget about a submarine that could somehow reach the other explosion site, got pictured...
But what makes these experts think that this action was in any way exceptional? Well, that is the conclusion of OSINT Alexander. He has established that the Nymfen left in the evening to drive in a straight line to the crime scene. Image
Well, there is actually no question of a straight line, otherwise the Nymfen (dark blue) would probably have sailed north of Bornholm on a straight line (light blue). Image
The second point Alexander mentions is that the Danes actually never come into this area and he gets his knowledge from the AIS data of Marine Traffic.
Note the dotted line! Has the Nymfen switched off its AIS? Image
No, according to another package of AIS data, the Nymfen's course looked more like this: Image
The conclusion must be that the data from Marine Traffic is at best incomplete and the graphical representation not really accurate.
So if we are missing as much data from other patrols, then the impression could quickly arise that the Danish Navy was never actually there. Image
Interestingly, "Information" uses more complete AIS data, but still believes that the course of the Nymfen was somehow "unusual" (as another word for Russian). Image
That the course was routine, the thought does not even occur to "information" and Russia-fixated experts - not even when commanders say so. They insist that this incomplete, crudely carved consumer-oriented pattern is "far from normal". Image
And with this fervor they step in front of the camera, tell their viewers in heaven is fair and earn money with active stultification. ImageImage
And of course, the German press has nothing better to do than to spread this shot from the hip under the headline "There were a lot of strange things going on". Indeed, they still do.
ndr.de/nachrichten/me… Image
And that implies another question: what intelligence prompted the CIA in the summer to warn its brother agencies of an attack? ...long before Biden's announcement, Oste, Minerva Julie, Andromeda, SS-750 ... just after Baltops? Image

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More from @MichaKobs

May 4
#HASBARA
This tree definitely wasn't hit by an AK-47. A Hasbara documentary reports that 30 women's corpses were lying around it? A man found them alone and supposedly closed all 30 spread legs and covered all of them so that no one else had to see it. Image
A ZAKA body collector finds burned bodies in the typical fencing position of burn victims and in his imagination this position means that the victim has defended herself. And he concludes that the burned body was tortured and set on fire. Image
She hears a woman shouting "no" and "stop" and her only explanation is a rape she didn't see. What would she do if someone pointed a gun at her boyfriend? Image
Read 5 tweets
Apr 25
BABY IN OVEN
Actually the story is true. The crime scene was a bakery in Deir Yassin 1948. The Irgun demanded from the Palestinian father Haj Hamed, the baker, to throw his son into the oven. When he refused the Irgun did it.

On 31 July 2015, Israeli settlers firebombed a Palestinian family home in the village of Duma, killing three people. 18-month-old Ali Dawabsheh was burned alive in the fire.
The baby's death in the fire was celebrated at a settler wedding with pictures and Molotov cocktails. Among the party guests were Benzi Gopstein, the head of the far-right "Lahava", and Israel's National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 22
#NasserHospital #KhanYunis
.@GeoConfirmed writes Al Jazeera is spreading disinformation regarding the mass grave at Nasser Hospital. So let's take a closer look.
According to @GeoConfirmed, the same mass grave was dug by Palestinians on January 25th and GeoConfirmed points to a Telegram video by Ahmad Al Louh
However, the video shows individual graves at a cemetery-like distance along the palm trees SW of the road. t.me/Ahaamd1985/187…

Image
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@GeoConfirmed claims to have counted around 75 graves, I can only identify 39 and three pits that are still empty. Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 19
#OSINT
A video snippet in the Oscar-winning documentary "20 Days in Mariupol" shows a child's anorak blowing in a tree.
@TomatkaP points out that the same image was shown 8 years ago in a video about the children of Donbass.
The video in question is from December 2015 to the music "Игрушки" by Артём Гришанов. Cool song imo.

The slightly longer original "Toys for Poroshenko" video is a period document worth seeing and can be found here:

ok.ru/video/10450868…
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The same video snippet was also used by Ukrainian TV. The place Horlivka is mentioned, but this place changed the front line several times. The Ukrainian report apparently appeared in 2019. However, the photo is located in a folder labeled 2014.
Image
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Read 13 tweets
Mar 12
I can't believe this is real either.
And there is a reason for that.
Sarah Cohen-Fantl's Tel Aviv based German language pro-Israel agitprop account re-tweeted a New Yorker's tweet that rightly shocked her. Image
Although she says that every innocent dead child hurts her equally, this has not led her to make any discernible criticism of Israel's actions in Gaza. But the tweet, which shocked her five months after the massacre began, reflects an argument from Netanyahu's right-wing... Image
...extremist government.
And this argument aiming at children and even babies can only be understood in the context of intended ethnic cleansing.

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Read 14 tweets
Mar 10
FAKE A FAKE
or How a statistics professor produces nonsense with numbers.

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First I noticed this tweet from a German (self-proclaimed) anti-Semitism watchdog. This account claims that the victim numbers (including Al Ahli Hospital) are fake because they vary far too little.
Looks convincing? Yeah but... Image
...the attack on the Al Ahli Hospital was on October 17th and is not included in the data at all. On the other hand, the number of deaths varies quite greatly if you do not represent 200 women more or less per day on a scale of 6,000 - 12,000. Image
Read 27 tweets

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