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Radu Hossu 🇹🇩🇺🇦

@RaduHossu

Jul 24

Zelenskyy submits a new law that will guarantee the independence of the fight against corruption

Zelenskyy submits a new law that will guarantee the independence of the fight against corruption

1. After the infamous Law 12414, which placed independent anti-corruption institutions under the direct control of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine and thus the Zelenskyy administration, Ukrainians took to the streets in all major cities.

Key points: Ukrainians took to the streets during wartime to protect their democracy, the rule of law, and their European path.

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2. President Zelenskyy announced the following day that he would propose a law (in Ukraine, the president can directly propose laws) to the Verkhovna Rada (Ukraine's parliament). Yesterday (July 24, 2025), he sent Law 13533 to the Verkhovna Rada (Ukraine's unicameral parliament), a new law that would restore the independence of these anti-corruption institutions (NABU and SAPO), introducing several changes to their functioning, mainly changes related to ensuring that these institutions will not abuse their powers and will be more difficult for Russia to infiltrate.

What to remember: The president of a country at war with the world's second largest army listened to society and international partners (yes, I know, some would say he was forced by circumstances) and proposed a new law. 2/

3. Independent civil society actors praise the initiative, and NABU issued a press release stating that it believes the new law will restore the independence it needs and lost under Law 12414, and that it participated, alongside SAPO, in drafting the new law.

Key takeaway: Civil society appreciates the new bill, so it is not just a smokescreen. 3/

Read 5 tweets

Radu Hossu 🇹🇩🇺🇦

@RaduHossu

Jul 23

What is happening in Ukraine? An analysis for those outside Ukraine

1. NABU, SAPO, and Law 12414

Yesterday, Law 12414 was enacted. The law provides for amendments to the functioning of NABU and SAPO, two anti-corruption institutions which, together with the High Anti-Corruption Court (HACC), are part of the architecture for reforming the state through the fight against corruption. How they work is explained on substack so as not to make this text too long: raduhossu dot substack dot com. However, I recommend that you visit substack, because these details will make the difference between falling into one extreme or another (for those who really want to understand the subject and are not just pro-Russian scoundrels):

Law 12414 places NABU and SAPO under the control of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine, who is appointed by the President (the current one is notoriously close to Zelenskyy) and gives him the power to choose which cases go to which prosecutor and whether they fall under SAPO's jurisdiction or not. In practice, this means that the President of Ukraine has the power, with just one phone call, to close a major corruption investigation if those targeted are people close to him.

The law was initiated some time ago by deputies from President Zelenskyy's party, Servants of the People, and the amendments were passed at incredible speed, on the same day they were not only voted on but also approved by President Zelenskyy in what civil society (NGOs, independent media) calls the greatest betrayal of the fight against corruption and the European path since Yanukovych and Euromaidan.
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2. How did we get here?

This year, there have been several events indicating that the Zelenskyy administration is preparing to take a step back from the fight against corruption.

A few months ago, the head of the BES (Economic Security Bureau), another independently run institution with the status of a government agency that investigates cases of financial fraud (a combination of ANAF and DIICOT), came under attack: its director, elected by a special commission comprising a decisive number of members of the international community and civil society with voting rights, was blocked from being appointed. So the person chosen by this commission was blocked and a close associate of the government was appointed in his place.

A few weeks ago, one of Ukraine's most important investigative journalists had his home searched by the SBU under a flimsy pretext after he repeatedly criticized Andrii Yermak, the head of Zelenskyy's office. Vitalii Shanunin is not only an anti-corruption activist, he also works for a government agency that basically develops anti-corruption strategies for Ukraine.

A few weeks ago, NABU also charged Deputy Prime Minister Oleksiy Chernyshov with corruption. According to activists and independent media in Ukraine, this is when NABU and SAPO became targets of the Zelenskyy administration and his party, with Andrii Yermak seen by the people as the main culprit.

The reason given for this law is Russian interference in anti-corruption institutions and the slow pace of proceedings. These arguments, put forward by both President Zelenskyy and SBU chief Vitaly Maliuk, are very weak and illogical (there is at least one Russian spy in every institution in Ukraine, but that does not mean that all of them should be placed under the president's control) and only serve to further anger the population and discourage supporters of the Ukrainian people. 2/

3. Consequences and what might happen next?

Firstly, the law could be challenged in the Constitutional Court, but only if there is enough public pressure. Public pressure will be generated, and we will see this tonight. Protests are planned in all major cities in Ukraine. If the law remains in force, it will be a huge step backwards for Ukraine.

Accession to the European Union could be jeopardized because the European Union will not allow Ukraine to join without institutional reforms, especially those related to the rule of law. This law gives ammunition to all Ukraine's detractors, from Viktor Orban to all of Russia's agents of influence, and creates enormous vulnerability for Ukraine. Investors will think twice about investing in Ukraine, even after reconstruction, and this will affect Ukraine's recovery and economic health.

Law 12414 has the potential to bring Russia closer to victory, because confidence in President Zelenskyy will plummet, leading to political vulnerability that can be exploited by anyone from Trump to Putin. This vulnerability comes at the worst possible moment: between increased military support for Ukraine with US involvement and the start of the Battle for Pokrovsk.

Tonight we will see protests in Ukraine again. And that means that democracy is alive, even if Russia and (unfortunately) Ukrainian politics are trying to kill it. 3/

Read 5 tweets

Radu Hossu 🇹🇩🇺🇦

@RaduHossu

Jul 14

Trump's announcement. Analysis.

This evening (July 14) at a press conference with Mark Rutte, NATO chief Donald Trump made a series of statements regarding Ukraine and Russia, but only a few are relevant, and even those raise doubts and await confirmation:

1. A 50-day ultimatum for Putin to conclude a ceasefire agreement, otherwise Trump will impose secondary sanctions of 100%.

What does this mean?

First of all, 50 days is an extremely long period of time. During these 50 days, thousands, if not tens of thousands, of drones and ballistic missiles could be launched on major cities in Ukraine. What is even stranger about this statement is that it comes after Putin's statement a few days ago that a major offensive in Ukraine would begin in 60 days. Thus, Trump's announcement is certainly not one that will scare the Kremlin, quite the contrary.

The secondary sanctions Trump is talking about could cause problems for the Trump administration, which has used tariffs and economic measures to gain advantages. Secondary sanctions of 100% for countries that in one way or another support or help Russia, countries such as India, the UAE or China, would only reduce his advantage. So I am skeptical about the value of this statement and Trump's real intention to turn this statement into action. 🧵👇

2. Trump is very angry with Putin.

What does that mean?

Absolutely nothing. The assumption of many of us who are following the war and its implications more closely is that Trump is angry with Putin not for humanitarian reasons, as he claims, but because—according to sources—Putin did not agree to a deal on rare minerals, similar to the one he made with Ukraine. Putin simply strung him along until Trump got angry that the talks were going nowhere. These assumptions are reinforced by the fact that Trump has said that Russia could be a viable economic partner for the US and that tonight he spoke about the "huge potential of the Russian economy" and that "Putin should think about it."

3. Patriot systems and US military aid to Ukraine.

What does this mean?

Trump's statement, which you will see highlighted in all our newspapers and international media today, concerns 17 Patriot systems, including interceptor missiles, which will arrive in Ukraine (some of them) in a few days. In reality, Trump said "there is a country that is willing to provide 17 Patriot systems because they don't need them anyway. We don't know how many will arrive, maybe a significant portion of them, maybe all 17."

So the statement on the Patriot systems is ambiguous, with no precise timeline and no concrete delivery dates. As Trump would say, "all talk, no action."

How will the transfer of weapons to Ukraine happen?

The news is that the US will no longer donate military equipment. It will be purchased by NATO from European funds and delivered to Ukraine. The sequence will be as follows: European countries will donate Patriot systems (as we are currently discussing) to Ukraine as quickly as possible (and some of them will certainly do so on an emergency basis, such as Norway), and Europe will then purchase replacements from the United States through NATO. In the end, Ukraine will have the systems and ammunition, Europe will pay, NATO will manage the process, and the US will receive the money and deliver the equipment in exchange to the countries that donated the equipment and ammunition.

This new system will be used for all US military equipment that will arrive in Ukraine. Is this good news or bad news? It is bad news from the perspective that only Europe is paying and that the US is actually withdrawing its financial support for Ukraine, but the other side of the coin is that Ukraine will still benefit from the equipment it needs to defend its territory.

Read 6 tweets

Radu Hossu 🇹🇩🇺🇦

@RaduHossu

Jul 10

Putin's approval rating among Romanians rises by 37%! (INSCOP Barometer) A warning that should not be ignored!

I am sounding the alarm for those who want to hear it!
What we could not have imagined in 2022, when the large-scale invasion of Ukraine began, is happening: the approval rating of war criminal Vladimir Putin in Romania has risen from 11.4% to 15.6%, an increase of 36.8% between March 2024 and July 2025 - source: Remus Ștefureac, INSCOP Barometer
How can such an increase be explained?

Through manipulation, disinformation, and hybrid warfare.
I have said it before, and I will say it again: Romania has been under attack by Russia for many years, and Russia has intensified its assault on us in recent years. It is not only us, the citizens, who must start from this reality, but also the people in institutions (from local government to the secret services, the government, parliament, and the presidential administration).

Ignoring this state of affairs will lead to a 2028 in which there will be political formations and politicians with pro-Russian messages. Călin Georgescu has completed his mission, as I have said before, and I admit that I am annoyed that sometimes it seems like I am talking to the walls. Călin Georgescu was not a failure for Russia, he was an extraordinary success and a failure of epic proportions for Romania. Călin Georgescu is the one who introduced the “humanization” of Russia into public discourse, through speeches saying that “we must learn from Russian wisdom.” Călin Georgescu was a test for Romanian society, and unfortunately, we failed that test.

Read 10 tweets

Radu Hossu 🇹🇩🇺🇦

@RaduHossu

Apr 22

russia confirms: we want to reach the border with Romania and Moldova

I have said it before and I will say it again, because if we do not define what we see, we do not see the danger, and if we do not see the danger, we do not know how to defend ourselves, to paraphrase Carole Cadwalladr:

Russia is de facto at war with Romania, not just Ukraine.

The sooner we open our eyes, the sooner such a headline will no longer be considered 'panic-stricken', but a realistic one, to which we will begin to have solutions. 🧵👇👇👇

2/17 Individual, group and institutional or state.

1. russia plans to reach the Danube Gorges with the help of the Trump administration

Occupation Governor Vladimir Saldo - Kherson, aims in line with the vision of Trump's special envoy Witkoff, to occupy the west bank of the Dnieper. Vladimir Putin agrees with this call. Because the Kherson region, including the territory legitimately controlled by Ukraine, is de jure (from Russia's perspective) annexed to the territory of the Russian federation.

3/17 Witkoff, Trump's incompetent envoy claims that this is the only way to achieve a lasting peace in Ukraine - pleasing Putin.

But Putin has already declared his support for this call, and other Russian officials are constantly declaring a few things that we have to take as what they intend:

- Russia will reach the Gorges of the Danube;
- Russia will bring about a multipolar world (we are already on our way to living it thanks to Russia and Trump);
- Russia will again implement its doctrine of spheres of influence;

Read 17 tweets

Radu Hossu 🇹🇩🇺🇦

@RaduHossu

Mar 28

American-style robbery.

Trump's proposed new mineral deal for Ukraine is nothing more, nothing less, than the robbery of Ukraine and its future, while at the same time being an attempt by the Trump Administration to block Ukraine's accession to the European Union.
🧵THREAD🧵

2/16 It is probably the most important topic in the coming days and one that will shape the future of the war in Ukraine and indirectly the future of the world, so I recommend you to be interested in what I am about to write not only me but all those who will discuss this topic and have an understanding of the events in Ukraine.

The 3rd proposed agreement, American Style Robbery.

3/16 I have read most of the 55 pages of the document and absolutely nothing I have read seems to be done in good faith, for lasting peace in Ukraine, but is 19th century imperialist-style exploitation. There is no mention in the 55 pages of any kind of guarantees or security assurances, which President Zelensky has been talking about since he came up with the proposal during the Biden Administration.

Read 16 tweets

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