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Chris Turnbull Profile picture
@EnemyInAState
May 3 • 4 tweets • 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
#SARS3 #Covid #XBB116 #Arcturus is currently at just under 2% of cases based on sampling, so we're really at the start of this thing in the UK: Image
Breaking the UK up by nation we see the areas are all roughly the same prevalence: with Wales having the least Image
However, perhaps somewhat unexpectedly according to the data, US is well ahead of the UK, WITH A 5X increase in prevelence of nearly 10% of cases currently: that's very strange and somehwat makes me very much question the UK's data on this Image
Why do I say that? Historically, the UK is always a few weeks ahead of the US on new strains: why, nobody seems to know: but that's always the pattern.

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More from @EnemyInAState

Chris Turnbull Profile picture
May 4
'Wear a mask—save yourself!' Covid expert Prof. Dr.
Prof. Dr. Sanjeev Bagai warned during a recent interview about the current #xbb116 #ArcturusCovid #SARS3 & about 'new kinds of mutations' seen in new strains that are spawning rapidly such as XB2.3 and rising deaths twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
'My advice to everyone is please wear a simple mask
well fitting n95 mask don't use it as a fashion statement wear it to protect yourself even a mild infection asymptomatic infection of XBB can cause
long-term organ damage and immune dysfunction lasting up to eight months..
...there is no point in taking a risk—wear a mask—save yourself! The Dr said on Indian news station, Times of India, about the current surge.

Further, he warned about the rapid mutating XBB116 which he says is already spawning out yet more mutated strains at a rapid pace:
Read 27 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
May 4
another who must disagree with Modi then?
I don't know if hospital occupancy is a measure of much, because in the UK, I can't spoeak for India here, but where we are, hospitals basically refuse to take the sick and dying during a surge: so that's a measure of little
Read 7 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
May 4
I have explained that in the thread: but I would be interested to know, from this 'Health' editor at the Economist if they think Modi's plan to fight this strain is sensible or fear mongering?
Read 6 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
May 4
doesn't know about this virus, which is why they shouldn't comment on it, and it's not information for people who aren't interested:
What I'm saying is based on years of work: much of which nobody outside of this circle pays any attention to: which is the way I like it: because this is only for people who are interested in the science of it and care: it's not for herd immunity people
Read 5 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
May 4
Not what it shows : read it properly
'What am I missing?' suffice to say the scarecrow in the wizard of oz once asked the same question: the answer is the same in both cases here.
Read 4 tweets
Chris Turnbull Profile picture
May 4
New India #XBB116 #SARS3 #ARCTURUSCOVID strain INDIA STUDY SHOWS The death ratio by age group: 1 in 4 deaths are in under 40s according to the study:

12.5 % are in kids under 9:

medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Image
for those who don't know how science works you take a representative sample for these kinds of workings out: from that it can be used to estimate a population level effect. So don't ask me why there's only 8 deaths on that chart — that's why: it's the proportion and distribution… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 12 tweets

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