🚨Ω🚨
$CUBI is now one of the most exposed banks, if not the single most crypto exposed bank, in the United States. They're also relying on brokered deposits to stay solvent, meaning they have to pay the highest interest rate of any bank or risk losing their deposits.
🧵2/Ω
$CUBI is running the same game as $SBNY. Not even just the same game - they're literally running the same software. #TassatPay is just rebranded #SigNET. It's the kind of platform money launderers have wet dreams about.
🧵3/Ω
About $CUBI's brokered deposits game... They don't even have someone to negotiate with because #MaxMyInterest is apparently fully automated. In other words, #CodeIsLOL.
🧵4/Ω
$CUBI data point: Circle, the issuer of the $USDC stablecoin, used to keep a billion dollars at $CUBI. But ever since The Great USDC Depeg Event Of 2023 where $USDC fell as low as $0.80 they won't trust $CUBI with any uninsured deposits.
🧵5/Ω @RhoRider (worth a follow) has done a lot of good research on $CUBI; might be easier for me to just link a search to their tweets than keep QTing: twitter.com/search?q=%40rh…
🧵6/Ω
$CUBI released some numbers last week. If you are considering trading the stock you should probably read it. Some things jump right out:
➤ they made a lot of money on #PPP loans but now the program is ending
➤ deposit flight risk is rising
🧵7/Ω
$CUBI's annual report "risks" section (always the best section in these total page turners published by SEC) has a section about the risk that they will not be able to meet withdrawals.
🧵8/Ω
This section of the report also puts a number on what @RhoRider was getting at w/r/t brokered deposits from MaxMyInterest and other capital that could walk out the door in a hurry.
It's kind of a scarily high number: 28.1% ($4.74 billion).
🧵9/Ω
$CUBI's interest income is rising... but not nearly as fast as its interest expensive. As a result net income fell more than 50% and is probably still falling...
🧵10/Ω
Big picture: $CUBI has to keep paying more and more to keep the 28% of their deposit base that is brokered by MaxMyInterest etc. but expense of doing so is devouring their profits. bc if they lose those depositors then the non interest customers will yank too, which is🪦
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❓ I'm just going to throw out there that I find the fact that $COIN somehow registered *exactly* the same overall trading volume for 2022-Q4 and 2023-Q1 is kind of... unsettling. almost as if someone planned it that way. or washed it that way, as the case may be...
i mean coincidences like this definitely do happen, so this isn't necessarily an accusation... but seriously these were two extremely different quarters with a LOT going on (FTX, USDC de-peg, Binance kicked off the dollar system, etc.) And there's no movement?
I decided to test this theory by looking at the quarterly on chain activity for the big tokens on the ethereum chain to see if they also stayed flat as a kind of imperfect proxy. they stayed more flat than i would have guessed but still... have a look. $COIN
Ω👇Ω
➤ thank god for jerome powell
➤ retail customers getting fleeced
➤ shitcoins are king
🧵2/Ω
I'll say it again: shitcoins are king.
🧵3/Ω
$COIN is saying assets on platform are up 62% because more people moved their crypto onto Coinbase but... isn't the price of BTC and ETH also up like 70%?
🚨 I went digging in $COIN's annual report for info on this now discontinued "Coinbase Borrow" program. I learned:
1. Coinbase is loaning out money it borrowed from [???]
2. These loans are prolly not actually legally secured at all, even by crypto. Wow. @LossiaMichael
Ω👇Ω
@LossiaMichael consider the ramifications of what this really means... bc i think it means that $COIN's customers are actually what's backstopping these loans.
Wacky Cathie doing basically singlehandedly keeping the price of $COIN propped up at $50. Seems like she's doing her best to emulate her mentor, Bill Hwang the market manipulating felon.
Or maybe Jesus told her to do it.
$ARKK $ARKF $ARKQ $PRNT
Wacky Cathie bought 150,000 shares of $COIN yesterday, 147,000 today. Roughly $7.5mm. That's 1.25% and 0.9% of the entire market volume for each day, respectively.
Take out the algos and the market makers and she really is the force keeping the price up.
$COIN is:
➤ 5.86% of $ARKK ($394 million)
➤ 8.55% of $ARKF ($64 million)
➤ 7.37% of $ARKW ($82 million)
So for $ARKK she's adding ~2% to her position per day.
"SBNY intended to pledge these loans to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York as collateral for Discount Window lending. However, FRB would not accept the loans as collateral because they were not eligible as many of them had foreign limited partners."
the jokers at $SBNY tried to lobby and/or sue their way into forcing the federal reserve system of the United States to illegally accept loans made to foreign venture capitalists as collateral. you can't make this stuff up. @Frances_Coppola@davidgerard@ahcastor@thebankzhar