30 Mar 2023 45 states @OSCE consulting Ukraine invoked “Moscow Mechanism” & requested ODIHR 2 ask if Ukraine would invite expert mission on “Deportation of Children amidst Human Rights Violations & Humanitarian Impacts of Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine"
On 4 April 2023, Ukraine established an expert mission composed of three experts - Prof. Veronika Bilkova (Czech Republic), Dr. Cecilie Hellestveit (Norway) and Dr.
Elina Steinerte (Latvia).
The Mission established that a large number of Ukrainian children have been, since 24 February 2022 and even prior to this date, displaced from the territory of Ukraine to the temporarily occupied territories and to the territory of the Russian Federation.
Forcibly displaced Ukrainian children find themselves in an entirely Russian environment, including language, customs and religion and are exposed to pro-Russian information campaign often amounting to targeted re-education as well as being involved in military education.
The Russian Federation does not take any steps to promote the return of Ukrainian children. Rather, it creates various obstacles for families seeking to get their children back.
Mission identitified 1) practices of non-consensual evacuations, transfers & prolonged displacement of Ukrainian children that constitute violations of International Humanitarian Law 2) cases amounting to
grave breaches of Geneva convention IV & war crimes,
Specifically finding Russia is in violation of the
prohibition on forcible transfer or deportation under Article 49 of the GCIV.
The Mission also found mat non-justified prolonged stay or unfounded logistical hurdles violate
the duty to facilitate reunification and contravene the principles embodied within the GCIV that family unity is to be protected and respected.
Mission finds that Russia's…disregard of duty 2 establish compulsory mechanisms under the GCIV 2 track these children, communicate whereabouts & facilitate repatriation or reunification with families, is a violation of Geneva Conventions & exacerbates gravity of other violations
The Mission concludes that the exposure of unaccompanied children to adoption or similar measures of assimilation is incompatible with the GCIV.
Altering the nationality of Ukrainian children is a violation of Article 50(2) of the GCIV. It also contravenes the principles embodied within the GCIV that family unity is to be protected and respected.
Facilitating reeducation and permanent integration into Russian families serves to confirm that the displaced Ukrainian children are indeed the victims of deportation in the sense of Article 49 of the GCIV.
The Mission concluded that numerous and overlapping violations of the rights of the children deported to the Russian Federation have taken place.
Russia manifestly violated the best interests of [Ukrainian] children repeatedly & violated rights to:
identity
unite with family
Information & education
rest
leisure
play
participation in cultural life and art
thought, conscience & religion,
health,
liberty and security.
👆🏻These are all ongoing violations of Articles 3, 8, 9, 10, 12, 14, 17, 20, 21, 24, 28, 29, 31 and 37 (b) of the UN Convention on the Rights of the Child (UNCRC).
The cumulative effects of these multiple violations also give rise to very serious concerns that the rights of these children to be free from torture and ill-treatment and other inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment (Article 37 (a) of the UNCRC have been violated.
Mission concluded that the practice of the forcible transfer &/or deportation of Ukrainian children to the temporarily occupied territories and to the territory of the Russian Federation may amount to a crime against humanity of "deportation or forcible transfer of population".
2) Importantly tensions were blown up to be larger than they were. Not least, as reported in @washingtonpost some of the reports were part of a Russian disinformation campaign from 2022.
Disagreements existed but not in way some interpreted.
3) Zaluzhny is a patriot and is committed 2 being part of the team & Zelensky wants him in the fold, just in a different role. You might not agree what role but that is not up to you.
Ukraine’s allies also want Zaluzhny in the fold. More on that to come.
Shame @TorontoStar publishes such uninformed a-empirical navel grazing about what is & is not „rational.” See exert👇by some who has never studied Ukraine or the region properly. 1) If it is a war of attrition it is certainly also 1 that Russia cannot win.
2) Reminder in a democracy what citizens wantmatters - 80%+ of Ukrainians = vehemently opposed to ANY territorial concessions as @MOBILISEproject data show
3) But to be clear not only does popular will matter in a democracy normatively & de jure, it also should be a major concern of any serious (be it realist or ratchoice) analysts when suggesting a likely war game outcome.
Understanding human capital in a democracy 1 also understands limits of possible & probably actions actors - the analysts purport to know - can make.
On the 9th day of new Ukrainian Christmas
@MOBILISEproject
#poliscinerds gave to me
9 main news sources
8/10 civilian resistance
7 citizen facts
6 language facts
5 years of financial data
4 priorities
3 leaders
2 preferences
1 support 4 democracy
MOBILISE PROJECT PANEL DATA
Nationally Representative Survey
Collected by KIIS
CATI mode N= 1,200 - 2,000
Margin of error is no greater than 3.3% for 50%+
All data nationally representative of the 18+ population
All data weighted to the population
What media do Ukrainians consume for political news?
The main story here is that TV viewership has gone down and significantly whilst internet use for new has gone up from 64% of those using the internet for news in 2019 to 90% in 2023.
Who is @rustem_umerov you might be asking & how should his replacing @oleksiireznikov be interpreted?
“The Ministry needs new approaches &…formats of interaction with both army & society… Fall is a time to strengthen.” Said @ZelenskyyUa in his address.
Small 🧵
1
Umerov was Holos Party MP & not Ze or Sluha inner circle & is Crimean Tatar
His appointment is signal of
- constructive cooperation with pol factions that are at times very critical of Ze
- 🇺🇦 won’t give up on - a pushback to mistaken US analysts trying to force negotiations.
2
Umerov was a participant in the March 2022 peace negotiations. He is not an outsider. He is not inexperienced. He is not unknown among Ukrainian leaders (political or military), Ukraine’s allies or among the Russians. But he also has respect & contacts in Turkey & Saudi Arabia
3
When reporting on Russia’s announcement of their blockade of grain shipments from Ukraine through the Black Sea please remember the following a🧵
1. Instead of using language such as “halted” “deal” make sure you use language that explains that this is “Russia’s blockade” 1/n
2. Not only is this an aggressive Russian blockade on 🇺🇦 grain shipments raising global grain prices (benefitting major grain producers that ramped up production 🇷🇺🇧🇷) it is also a tactic used to terrorize poorer countries in global south that are dependent on these exports. 2/n
3. 🇷🇺 is makes money from these actions.
RU remains 1 of the largest global exporters of grain.
RU increased production & signed deals with countries 4 shipments of grain.
RU benefits from blockade sparked price rises.
THERE ARE NO SANCTIONS ON 🇷🇺 ARGICULTURAL SHIPMENTS.
3/n