When investing in the mining sector I believe there are 2 main factors one should consider when taking decisions:
1⃣ The Asset
2⃣ The Management
In these threads, we will concentrate on the CEO.
2/25
Borshoff served in the Aussie Army during the Vietnam War, an experience that connected him with Dustin Garrow, who became a lifelong companion throughout John's #Uranium ventures. Both drew valuable lessons from their time in the war, which later influenced their careers.
3/25
John Borshoff relates the lessons he learned during his time in the Vietnam War, and how it impacted his corporate #Uranium experience:
4/25
John Borshoff obtained his Bachelor of Science in Geology from the University of Western Australia and started off his geological career in a company called International Nickel which was operating out of Australia at that time.
5/25
John Borshoff: "The oil shock happened in '70-'71, and all hell broke loose. Where was the next energy fuel?” This search for alternative energy sources piqued John's interest in #uranium as a potential solution for the world's growing energy needs.
6/25
John Borshoff then joined Canadian Superior Oil, which allowed him to work in Northern Australia and gain hands-on experience in the #uranium sector. "I joined a company called Canadian Superior Oil and worked a little bit there in about '73."
7/25
After gaining experience in the #uranium sector, John Borshoff joined Uranerz, a West German group focused on uranium exploration & production. Uranerz was a large company with an international footprint, seeking to find uranium to support Germany's nuclear program.
8/25
During his time at Uranerz, John Borshoff expanded his knowledge & skills in the field of geology and the #uranium sector. "I worked there for 15 years until 1992 and got a tremendous experience, broad international spectral across not only geology but the full gamut."
9/25
Following Uranerz's withdrawal from Australia in 1992 due to political reasons, John Borshoff founded a consulting company to continue working in the uranium sector. "When they pulled out of Australia because of political reasons, I then formed a consulting company."
10/25
He leveraged his expertise and connections to acquire valuable resources for his new venture, including Uranerz's database. "For my golden handshake, I actually swapped their database and got that in lieu of a pay-out. And that became a tremendous asset."
11/25
Rick Rule:
"Uranerz spent a billion $ on its database. when they shut down they were gonna give John his severance in cash, but he asked for the database. He had enough faith in #uranium & his own skills. Rather than taking $, he took the database and he bet on himself."
12/25
After successfully running his consulting firm, John Borshoff founded Paladin Energy Ltd in 1993. Paladin initially focused on copper-gold exploration, but John Borshoff recognized the potential in the #uranium market and convinced the board to shift the company's focus.
13/25
He believed that if the #uranium market picked up, Paladin would be well-positioned to seize the opportunity. "And if it does click, this will be a tremendous opportunity for the company." He started picking up cheap properties in Namibia and Malawi.
14/25
Borshoff's vision for Paladin was not to simply find deposits & sell them, but rather to build a company that would develop & operate mines. "We weren't dressing the bride to sell her, we were actually going to make a marriage between deposit & the company & build mines."
15/25
But having cheaply-bought assets alone would not build a mine by itself. With the sentiment in the sector at its lowest levels ever, and with only a 2 million dollar valuation, his company was in need of capital to be able to execute John Borshoff's #uranium vision.
16/25
So John Borshoff turned to Rick Rule who then worked at Sprott.
Rick: “I met this amazing man named John Borshoff, just a bundle of determination & knowledge, a wonderful human with a $2 million MC when nobody cared about uranium, instant love between John and me."
17/25
"Nobody wanted to talk to us, my play was too contrarian, based on demand. So, I teamed up with Rick Rule in 1998. He sort of backed me a little bit. In 2003 the price started to go up, Rick's support was vindicated and we then built our mine in 2005 and demand kicked in."
18/25
"When Rick first came in he bought it at $0.10 and it went down to $0.01 and then he supported it at $0.01, and then when other people started to come in, and institutions started to come in seeing that we were legitimate, price just went from $0.03 in 2003 to $10."
19/25
Paladin became a major player in the #uranium sector, thanks in large part to Borshoff's leadership & vision. The company successfully developed multiple mines & generated significant revenue. But there was a danger lurking in the shadows that was about to ruin the party.
20/25
Paladin had raised a lot of debt to finance the construction and upgrade of their mines. When Fukushima happened, the #uranium sector suddenly experienced a huge demand destruction phase with Japanese NPPs shutting down. And this started a vicious cycle.
21/25
"When Fukushima came along, there was still about 3.2 billion in debt, and we thought after Chernobyl and the experience there, that the Japanese would restart quickly, but they didn't. I did not kill the debt on time, and it became a problem"
22/25
John Borshoff resigned from Paladin and retired in 2015. But...
"I couldn't retire. I just, my whole attitude is I come from a farming background and people, 80 years old, are still planting oak trees, and for a future, for a tree they will never see in its full glory."
23/25
So John looked for a company in the sector that did not have a compromised share structure, one that allowed for greater autonomy and flexibility in decision-making. He became CEO of @DeepYellowLtd, a former exploration branch from Paladin, and he reunited his old team.
24/25
Since then, John Borshoff and his stellar team, the only team that turned an explorer into a real producer in the last cycle, have been working hard to create a multi-jurisdiction, top-tier, #uranium developer. Will he be able to repeat the Paladin story?
25/25
Has he learned from his mistakes at Paladin though?
John Borshoff:
"What I did learn is to be very wary of debt. Even though your model might be great, there are outside influences like Fukushima."
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🔘Japanese Inventories
🔘Chinese Nuclear Expansion
🔘Utilities Contracting Cycle
🔘Supply Deficits & Demand Growth
🔘US Support for Nuclear Power
🔘 And lots more...
2/23
Treva Klingbiel kicks off with a bullish tone:
"Since we've had this last call a lot has happened, and we're getting incoming news daily that meaningfully impacts our outlook for where the #Uranium market's going in a positive way. So I just can't emphasize that enough."
3/23
Treva continues on a bullish note in regard to demand forecasts. @U3O8TradeTech is now seeing demand hitting the upper zone of the gradient, which would result in 250 million pounds of yearly #Uranium requirements demand in 2035.
"New plants have a 1st load factor where the initial fuel rods are equivalent to about 3.5 years of nuclear power consumption. So a new reactor connecting to the grid has a disproportionate effect on demand because of that 1st load."
3/25
Malcolm:
"What's often missed is that these are not the reactors of yesteryear. These are huge, huge reactors. The 4 in the UAE are 1300MW each. The EPR in Flaminville in France and the ones that are being built in Hinckley Point are in the range of 1600 to 1700MW."
In 2020 @SachemCove presented a "confidential - not-for-distribution" deck on the @MacroVoices podcast. This document has been prepared by Lloyd Harbor Capital Management.
Let's dive in & go back to basics: Math is the Math.
2/22
The document starts off with the prejudiced fear narratives common investors absorb or generate when it comes to investing in this sector.
Please take note of how some of those points are similar to the ones used by @ItsWarrenIrwin in his current #Uranium bear thesis.
3/22
If we pierce through the fear narratives we start seeing the first signs of the #Uranium bull case.
@ItsWarrenIrwin still uses the 2% PA demand growth model. But @FootnotesFirst explains that his models are very conservative & don't include restarts, life extensions, etc.
The recent short report on $UEC portrays it as a bunch of overpaid directors putting lipstick on a pig.
Opinions of all kinds have been shared on social media in the last few days.
I would like to focus on & compare Insider Ownership.
2/10
In my view, it is imperative to have the captains of the ship I embarked on chained to their ship in case their reckless actions sink it. Either we both sink together, or I am not getting on the ship.
If they dilute, they are affected. If they fail, they are affected too.
3/10
Let's start with the company that suffered the recent short report & attack: $UEC.
Main directors were only holding (they added relatively small positions after the report came out) 1% of the total shares. Board members' total ownership is not higher than 1.7%...
It takes a special kind of character to venture into junior mining & hunt for valuable minerals buried under dirt & stones. Raise capital, manage a team & engage in constant battle with Gov/social licenses.
Let's dive in!
2/25
Let's first get some misconceptions out of the way.
Not all psychopaths are serial killers. In fact, only very few are. Psychopathy is a wide spectrum. Most psychopaths are functional within society.
Only a very few (on the high end of the spectrum) look like this:
3/25
This thread is not about ⬆️ types.
We are going to have a deeper look at the center zone of the psychopathy spectrum where one meets the more successful CEOs of corporations. The pro-social psychopaths. Ambitious & often charming in public.