Jayant Shilanjan Mundhra Profile picture
May 8 โ€ข 13 tweets โ€ข 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
How can long-term @IndiaMART investors not be delighted with @DineshAgarwal! ๐Ÿ™Œ๐Ÿ™Œ

The company released its Q4FY23 results some days back. So, I dived in & sliced through its numbers for the last 16 qtrs.

Here is all that I learned ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
In last 4yrs:
๐Ÿ‘ย Revenue/month: Rs 85cr | Up ~90%
๐Ÿ‘ Profit/month: Rs 25cr | Up ~278%
Just look at those numbers!
How did it happen?

Outstanding jump in paying subscribers:
๐Ÿ”† 72% up in the Top-8 cities (~1.1L users)- 20% up in last 1yr alone
๐Ÿ”† 62% up in the cities with >5L people (~53k users)- 25% up in last 1yr alone
It has also begun attracting paying subscribers in cities with <5L population.
๐Ÿ”† 50% up in last 2yrs alone (~37k users) - Up 27% in last 1yr alone

(Top 8 cities: Delhi NCR, Mumbai, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad, Pune & Chennai)
More importantly, growth in paying users hasnโ€™t meant lower quality.

It has been able to onboard big fishes & grow their biz.
Monthly revenue from Top-1% users is up by ~300% in last 4yrs! ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€
๐Ÿ”† 160% growth in monthly avg revenue per user (ARPU) to Rs 71k
๐Ÿ”† Contribute 18% to revenues; 8% before
And revenue per month from Top-10% users is up by ~115% in the same time! ๐Ÿš€
๐Ÿ”† 43% growth in monthly ARPU to Rs 19k
๐Ÿ”† Contribute 47% to revenues; 40% before
Meanwhile, revenue from the Bottom-90% users too has grown by a decent ~68% in this time.
๐Ÿ”† Contribute 35% to revenues; 52% before

The nos. validate the substantial growth in high-quality paying subscribers ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘
But, whatโ€™s driving such growth in revenues from Top-1% and Top-10% paying users?

Itโ€™s only possible if IndiaMart gets them more biz. And thatโ€™s exactly what IndiaMart cracked!
๐Ÿ”† It raised its marketing by 5-6x in last 4yrs
๐Ÿ”† This drove ~105% growth in buyers on the platform
๐Ÿ”† This translated into more biz for paying subscribers
๐Ÿ”† And thatโ€™s assured subscriber stickiness & growth

Such a beautiful story ๐Ÿ™Œ
And, it gets better.

It has also doubled down on hiring more tech & product folks.
๐Ÿ‘ฅ Up 65% in 4yrs, the team is now ~857 people big
๐Ÿซฐ Rs 2.9L monthly profit/head; Up ~130% in 4yrs
๐Ÿ™Œ Profit/head has grown so strongly, despite team expansion
Iโ€™m in absolute admiration of @DineshAgarwal & @IndiaMART team for this flawless and grounded execution.

Under him, the 26yrs old internet company is truly killing it! ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

(Disc: Invested)
Biz News+ WA group:ย openinapp.co/6wrx2

PS: I post one such deep-dive daily 11am. If interested, doย follow!

Note: This is a personalย #investmentย thesis & not aย #stockย /ย #stockmarketย rec.

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More from @jshilanjanm

May 7
Indiaโ€™s pvt sector is going gangbusters on coal mining, breaking all records โ›๏ธโ›๏ธ

A 5yr old #ModiGovt reform has set Indiaโ€™s captive coal economy on a big growth path.

Hereโ€™s all you should know! ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
Indiaโ€™s coal is primarily produced by 2 sets of entities.

โ›๏ธ PSUs: #CoalIndia & #SCCL

โ›๏ธ Captives: Pvt sector entities or PSUs like #NTPC or #SAIL which mine coal to meet in-house power demand

Here is how their production (million tonnes/MT) has fared over the last 10yrs ๐Ÿ‘‡
Brackets show share of captives in overall production.

(Total | Coal India | SCCL | Captives)

FY14: 566 | 462 | 51 | 53 (9.3%)
FY15: 609 | 494 | 53 | 62 (10.2%)
FY16: 639 | 539 | 60 | 40 (6.2%)
FY17: 658 | 554 | 61 | 42 (6.4%)
FY18: 675 | 567 | 62 | 46 (6.8%)
Read 13 tweets
May 6
As @Paytm released its Q4FY23 results yday, I dived into last 8-qtrs of its lending biz ๐Ÿ’ก๐Ÿ’ก

Hereโ€™s a breakdown of numbers that you wonโ€™t find all in one place anywhere else ๐Ÿ‘‡

Tags: @vijayshekhar | #Paytm Image
Paytm earns 2 things on each loan given.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Commission (C): A %age of the loan amount

๐Ÿ’ฐ Performance bonus (PB): A %age of the EMIs collected, only when the loan is paid back
Some basics about the performance bonus!

๐Ÿ‘‰ In case of defaults, #Fintechs used to compensate the lending partners (LPs- NBFCs & banks) under #FLDG (first loan default guarantee) agreement
Read 15 tweets
May 3
An avg #Rapido rider does ~3 trips a day, earning just Rs 200! ๐Ÿ˜ฎ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

Whatโ€™s his persona & motivation? What does @rapidobikeapp earn out of it?

Hereโ€™s all that the companyโ€™s data reveals! A thread ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
This morning, @livemint published a great data-rich story on #Rapido by @sumantbanerji. What did it show? A lot of things. But some key numbers are all that probably matters.
๐Ÿ”† No of riders: 7.5L

๐Ÿ”† Total monthly rides: 3cr

๐Ÿ”† Avg rider's monthly earnings: Rs 6k (Rs 200 daily)

๐Ÿ”† Full time rider's (10-12hrs) monthly earnings: Rs 20k (Rs 666 daily)
Read 15 tweets
May 2
Indian smartphone sales drop to lowest in 4yrs! Thatโ€™s the catchy headline they report ๐Ÿ˜…๐Ÿ˜…

The important truth comes out only when one breakdown the numbers ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
Smartphones sold in India (crore).
โ€™19: 15.2
โ€™20: 15.0
โ€™21: 16.1
โ€™22: 14.4

This is what media circulates, calling it stagnancy.

But, a deep dive by segments shows, nothingโ€™s stagnant at all:
<$150 ๐Ÿ“›:
๐Ÿ‘‰ Vol -24% YoY
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mkt share: 46% vs 54% last year

$150-300 ๐Ÿš€:
๐Ÿ‘‰ Vol +15%
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mkt share: 38% vs 36% last year

$300-500 ๐Ÿš€:
๐Ÿ‘‰ Vol +20%
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mkt share: 10% vs 8% last year

> $500 ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€:
๐Ÿ‘‰ Vol +55%
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mkt share: 6% vs 2% last year
Read 14 tweets
May 1
Rs 420cr wrongly charged by @atherenergy & @OlaElectric to scooters owners? ๐Ÿ“›๐Ÿ“›๐Ÿ“›

This wild & unethical play has got the Govt up in arms against them!

Hereโ€™s all you should know ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
As per Govtโ€™s Vahan portal, the number of scooters sold by Ola & Ather to date (as per Vahan) stand at 1.72L & 1.25L.

But Vahan portal doesnโ€™t yet include sales from Telangana & Lakshwadeep. Thus, letโ€™s round up the sales to account for some of that:

๐Ÿ”† Ola: 1.8L
๐Ÿ”† Ather: 1.3L
But, what really drove those big numbers?

๐Ÿ”† Govtโ€™s FAME scheme which has been massively subsidising electric scooters

๐Ÿ”† In layman terms, the scheme says that after subsidy, the ex-showroom of a price of a scooter should be <Rs 1.5L. And this subsidy could go up to Rs 60k!
Read 13 tweets
Apr 30
#GujaratGovtโ€™s directives on dividends & buybacks is a big bad negative for the stateโ€™s 7 PSU stocks! ๐Ÿ“›๐Ÿ“›

Hereโ€™s why I booked profits in 2 of those, with no plans to reinvest ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
Here's how the share prices surged in the last week ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ“ˆ Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers and Chemicals Limited (11%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Gujarat Industries Power Company Ltd - India (23%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Gujarat State Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd (29%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Limited (9%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Gujarat Mineral Development Corp (18%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Gujarat State Petronet Limited (8%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Gujarat Gas Limited (3%)
Read 14 tweets

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