🚨NEW STUDY🚨
"Six models are used in a recent study to analyze the climatic, environmental & socio-economic consequences of #overshooting a C budget consistent with the 1.5°C temp target along the cause-effect chain from emissions & #CarbonRemovals to climate risks & impact."
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"Global climatic indicators such as CO2-concentration and mean temperature closely follow the #CarbonBudget#overshoot with mid-century peaks of 50 ppmv and 0.35°C, respectively."
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Findings of this study highlight that "investigating #overshoot scenarios requires temporally and spatially differentiated analysis of climate, environmental and socioeconomic systems."
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Researchers find "persistent and spatially heterogeneous differences in the distribution of #carbon across various pools, ocean heat content, sea-level rise as well as #economic damages."
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"Moreover, it was find in the study that key impacts, including degradation of marine ecosystem, heat wave exposure & economic damages, are more severe in equatorial areas than in higher latitudes, although absolute #temperature changes are stronger in higher latitudes."
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"The detrimental effects of a 1.5 °C warming and the additional effects due to #overshoots are strongest in non-OECD countries (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development)."
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"Constraining the overshoot inflates CO2 prices, thus shifting #CarbonRemoval towards early #afforestation while reducing the total cumulative deployment only slightly, while mitigation costs increase sharply in #DevelopingCountries."
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"Thus, scenarios with C budget overshoots can reverse global mean temp increase but imply more persistent & geographically heterogeneous impacts. Overall, the decision about #overshooting implies more severe trade-offs btw #mitigation & impacts in #DevelopingCountries."
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Read the study led by @NB_pik entitled: "Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time" here ⬇️ iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
🚨A new study has revealed for the first time that ancient carbon, stored in landscapes for thousands of years or more, can find its way back to the atmosphere as CO₂ is released from the surfaces of rivers at a rate of 1.2 billion tonnes per year.
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2/ To understand the true source of river CO₂, researchers compiled a global dataset of 1,195 radiocarbon measurements of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), CO₂ & CH₄ from rivers & streams.
This let them determine whether the emitted carbon was modern—or much older.
3/ Using radiocarbon signatures (¹⁴C), they found that 59% of river CO₂ emissions come from "old" C—millennia-old soil carbon & even petrogenic carbon (rock-derived, >55,000 years old)
Only ~41% came from recent biological sources like plants & microbes (decadal carbon).
🚨A NEW study explores a theoretical #geoengineering approach to combat global warming — by altering Earth’s orbit.
Simulations suggest that shifting Earth ~5.8% farther from the Sun could cool the planet by roughly 7K, effectively offsetting projected warming.
DETAILS🧵1/10
2/ Climate models suggest global temperatures could rise by 7K by 2100, driven by greenhouse gas emissions.
This study asks: what if, instead of changing the atmosphere, we changed our position in space?
Specifically: increase Earth’s orbital radius.
3/ Basically, the paper builds on the science of Milankovitch cycles which is slow, natural variations in Earth’s orbit and tilt that have triggered past ice ages.
These cycles show that even slight orbital changes can dramatically affect climate.
CALL FOR RESEARCH PRESENTATION PROPOSAL—RFF and the Harvard Solar Geoengineering Research Program invite individuals to present research at their upcoming workshop