🚨NEW STUDY🚨
"Six models are used in a recent study to analyze the climatic, environmental & socio-economic consequences of #overshooting a C budget consistent with the 1.5°C temp target along the cause-effect chain from emissions & #CarbonRemovals to climate risks & impact."
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"Global climatic indicators such as CO2-concentration and mean temperature closely follow the #CarbonBudget#overshoot with mid-century peaks of 50 ppmv and 0.35°C, respectively."
2/10
Findings of this study highlight that "investigating #overshoot scenarios requires temporally and spatially differentiated analysis of climate, environmental and socioeconomic systems."
3/10
Researchers find "persistent and spatially heterogeneous differences in the distribution of #carbon across various pools, ocean heat content, sea-level rise as well as #economic damages."
4/10
"Moreover, it was find in the study that key impacts, including degradation of marine ecosystem, heat wave exposure & economic damages, are more severe in equatorial areas than in higher latitudes, although absolute #temperature changes are stronger in higher latitudes."
5/10
"The detrimental effects of a 1.5 °C warming and the additional effects due to #overshoots are strongest in non-OECD countries (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development)."
6/10
"Constraining the overshoot inflates CO2 prices, thus shifting #CarbonRemoval towards early #afforestation while reducing the total cumulative deployment only slightly, while mitigation costs increase sharply in #DevelopingCountries."
7/10
"Thus, scenarios with C budget overshoots can reverse global mean temp increase but imply more persistent & geographically heterogeneous impacts. Overall, the decision about #overshooting implies more severe trade-offs btw #mitigation & impacts in #DevelopingCountries."
8/10
Read the study led by @NB_pik entitled: "Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time" here ⬇️ iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
🚨What if we bet too much on future carbon removal tech and it doesn’t deliver?
New study shows that over-relying on #CDR like DACCS & BECCS could let fossil fuel emissions continue longer, delay action, and raise costs later.
Key findings🧵1/9
2/ Many net-zero plans assume large-scale CDR. But techs like direct air capture (DACCS) & bioenergy with CCS (BECCS) are tiny today and scaling them is risky due to land, energy & cost barriers.
3/ Researchers ran 6 scenarios using GCAM:
-Stage 1: Plan for high or low CDR now
-Stage 2: Learn mid-century whether high CDR is actually feasible or not, and then adjust policy or not
They tracked emissions, energy shifts, costs & who bears the burden.
This episode dives into a radical proposal: using a buried nuclear explosion on the seafloor to break up basalt & speed up carbon removal via Enhanced Rock Weathering. The goal? Sequester 30 years of global CO2.
2/12
This episode unpacks a preprint by Hosea Olayiwola Patrick drawing lessons from COVID-19 for solar geoengineering.
📰 Here's your round-up of top #CarbonDioxideRemoval News / Developments from this week (09 June - 15 June 2025):
🔗:
🧵0/17
@InSoilClimate secured its largest funding to date through a €100 million agreement with Key Carbon, accelerating regenerative agriculture and carbon credit generation across Europe.
Canada Nickel partnered with NetCarb to scale mineral carbon sequestration at Crawford. NetCarb's tech could boost CO₂ uptake 10‑fold to 10–15 Mt/year, vs 1.5 Mt via Canada Nickel's proprietary IPT Carbonation.
🚨A new study [preprint] shows that injecting sulfur at 50km could make #SolarGeoengineering much safer.
It cools the planet more effectively, speeds ozone recovery & avoids stratospheric disruptions. This could be done using a fleet of clean, reusable H2 rockets.
DETAILS🧵1/10
2/ SAI involves spraying SO₂ into stratosphere, where it forms aerosols that reflect sunlight—cooling Earth. It mimics volcanic eruptions like Mt. Pinatubo (1991), which temporarily cooled the planet.
But current “SAI models” inject SO2 at a rate of 10 Tg/yr at ~25km altitude.
3/ But Injecting at 25 km creates problems
Aerosols accumulate in the tropical lower stratosphere, causing up to 6°C warming in that layer.
This disturbs jet streams, increases stratospheric water vapor, and delays the ozone layer’s recovery—by 25–55 years in Antarctica.