Look at the second bullet of this recently announced $1.2 billion #Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative package because that @noclador 🧵 describes that 2nd bullet.
This air defense command and control system is vitally important for Ukraine to absorb because it's legacy air defenses were built on this Soviet integrated air defense system network model. (graphic)
Sectors (SOC) were like a mainframe or minicomputer with input terminals. 3/
They in turn were like terminals for the regional or national air defense operation center (ADOC).
The F-117 stealth light bomber used in Operation Desert was developed specifically to kill ADOC & SOC to destroy the network of defending fighters, missiles & guns immediately. 4/
Essentially making defending fighters, missiles & guns like pre-internet terminals, AKA useless individuals without network support.
This "Star" computer model IADS left Ukraine's air defenses vulnerable to a Russian cruise missile and jamming "Shock & Awe" aimed at ADOC/SOC 5/
The Integrated Air and Missile Defense (IAMD) Battle Command System (IBCS) Engagement Operations Center (EOC) are built around the internet style horizontal network.
Where any piece taken out can have it's functions absorbed by other pieces of the network without
6/
...network collapse.
In fact, each element of the IBCS & BOC network have more information to work with than the old Soviet "Star" computer model. So it is much harder to isolate & destroy elements of the IADS.
The military term of art here is "Situational Awareness."
7/
Given the hodge podge of ex-Soviet and Western air defense systems in Ukraine's IADS has been bolstered with (link).
This Western air defense command and control system was desperately needed to knit together these disparate parts...
This @ChrisO_wiki translation is extremely important for understanding how many more KIA to WIA the Russian Mobiks are taking in Ukraine compared to Western intelligence estimates.
Short form:
Seriously wounded who are not evacuated to advanced medical care mostly die
In war, one in five (20%) of unarmored men die immediately when hit by artillery fragments or small arms fire.
Slightly over one in seven (15%) of seriously wounded died of wounds if they are untreated.
The table below is the US military experience with seriously wounded.
2/
The "Seriously Wounded" definition changes as medical techniques & technology improved over time.
The germ theory of disease, surgical resection of the intestines plus better logistics for casualty evacuation & providing whole blood are why the bars in Fig. 30 above change.
3/
This 2013 John Parshall lecture for the WW2 Museum on the Russian tank production system spends a great deal of time talking about Kahn's contributions in that respect.
2/5
Also pay a lot of attention to Parshall's comments on the WW2 run down Russian railway system & railway rolling stocks.
We are seeing parallels in Putin's Russia right now.
And there is no such company of similar military capability inside the US or any other Western military.
There are orders of magnitude differences between masses of drones as expendable information/lethal munitions versus drone "platforms" costing 1,000's of times more. 1/
This is a very useful thread to read comparing NATO defense doctrine, OSINT on Russian ground force capabilities in Ukraine, and what Ukraine can attack with.
Short form: 800km front, not enough Russian troops.
The Russian and Western defense analysts inability to do basic math on the size of Ukraine's trained military manpower pool of ~730,000 Donbas combat veterans as of Feb. 2022 was another verse in that story.🤦♂️
Western intelligence insistence on a one Russian death to four wounded is very much an example of where this 'failure to accept reality" lives.
It is better for an intelligence analysts' career to be wrong in a crowd that correct and alone.🤦♂️
2/
21st century Drone warfare is different from traditional 20th century land combat. It's simply far more accurate and kills more people with fewer shells.
It has different casualty ratios to match.
Just like naval combat with WW2 Kamikazes had a 1 KIA to 1 WIA ratio.
For every US security assistance package to Ukraine, look for the logistical basics and not the "bling."
There are three lines that fit that frame in the latest package that are key to the forthcoming Ukrainian offensives, 1st "Trucks & trailers to transport heavy equipment"
1/
...that means these puppies.⬇️
The Oshkosh M1070 HET AKA tank transporter is a key link in the mechanized recovery/logistics supply chain.