Let's spark a debate on the pros and cons of high win rate - low R/R vs. Low win rate - high R/R setups in trading.
While high R/R setups are often perceived as "better!"
Let's explore why you might actually prefer lower R setups: 1⃣
First and foremost, let's lay out the setups so we can compare them.
Setup1 - 70% Win rate - 0.8R
Setup2 - 40% Win Rate - 2.5R
If I gave you the option between these two setups, I believe most traders would prefer a higher R on an average win. Which chart matches the setup?2⃣
Reveal:
Chart1 = Setup2
Chart2 = Setup1
We can see that a high R setup will create greater volatility in your equity curve.
This is important to consider when deciding between setups because increased volatility equals a higher risk of poor execution and emotional volatility.3⃣
Want to test the true performance of your #trading strategy?
Try Walk Forward Testing (WFT) - it models how it would have performed on historical data using a rolling window approach for a more realistic evaluation.
Expand to learn more about why it is essential:1⃣
Let's go over the benefits and disadvantages so we can come to a conclusion on whether a WFT technique would be effective for your trading strategy.
Pros:
✅WFT enables a more accurate evaluation of strategy performance.
Why would that be?
2⃣
By accounting for the effects of changing market conditions and adapting the strategy accordingly.
✅It also helps to identify overfitting by testing the strategy's performance on unseen data.