200,000 Russian troops have died for Putin in Ukraine, Ukraine's military now estimates

That suggests another 600,000 Russian soldiers have likely been wounded, based on Western and Ukrainian estimates of a 3:1 wounded-to-killed rate

#Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar️ #Russia /1 Image
That's 800,000 casualties out of about 900,000 Russian troops in the initial invasion and recruited since.

Keep in mind most wounded eventually return to combat. Based on data from this and past wars, about half of Russian wounded have likely returned to combat after med care /2
The data suggests over 53% of those 900,000 troops are out of action (killed, disabled, recovering, missing or captured)

A common rule of thumb is that a military force losing over 50% of its troops is considered combat ineffective and needs to be withrawn to be reconstituted /3
An average net 33,000 Russian troops are being put out of action per month after factoring in wounded and ill troops returning to duty

Ukraine estimates Russia is recruiting only 20,000-22,000 new troops per month

The numbers don't look for Moscow

#Ukraine #Russia /4 Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with 🇺🇦Ukraine Resists a Genocidal War

🇺🇦Ukraine Resists a Genocidal War Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ArmedMaidan

Mar 26
Over 50% of Putin's army may now be KO'ed: my new Kyiv Post story

With >660K possible casualties, Moscow's disintegrating army may have just hit a desperate new milestone: It’s officially combat ineffective

kyivpost.com/post/14881

#Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineRussianWar
Of ∼800,000 initial Russian invasion force and troops added later, Ukraine estimated 166,570 were killed as of 3/21

Based on Western estimates of a 3-to-1 wounded-to-killed ratio for Russian losses in the war, that means ∼500,000 wounded, for a total of ∼666,000 casualties /2
Of the Russian wounded, based on calculations using data from previous wars and reports from the current war, I estimate 250,000 have returned to battle, 150,000 still getting medical care and 100,000 are permanently out of action 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 24, 2022
Arms surge will reach front by August, when war turning point expected: Budanov

"Now we are catastrophically short of heavy weapons"

"Active" war will be over by year end w/Ukraine reclaiming all territory

pravda.com.ua/articles/2022/…

#StandWithUkraine #Ukraine #UkraineWar #Russia
Q: Does [Putin] really have cancer?
A: Yes, we fully confirm this information. He has several serious illnesses, one of which is cancer.

But it is not worth hoping that Putin will die tomorrow. He has at least a few more years. Like it or not, it's true.
Budanov: Look at the history of any dictator of the XX-XXI century. They ended the same, absolutely all. None of them ended differently. In most cases, they died against their will... Putin will end the same way.
Read 5 tweets
May 23, 2022
"Never have I been so ashamed of my country as on February 24 of this year": 20-yr vet Russian diplomat in Geneva resigns over war

"Crime against the Ukrainian people"

edition.cnn.com/europe/live-ne…

#StandWithUkraine #UkraineRussiaWar #Russia #RussianWarCrimes #GenocideOfUkrainians
"Also, perhaps, the most serious crime against the people of Russia, with a bold letter Z crossing out all hopes and prospects for a prosperous free society in our country"
"Those who conceived this war want only one thing - to remain in power forever, live in pompous tasteless palaces, sail on yachts comparable in tonnage and cost to the entire Russian Navy, enjoying unlimited power and complete impunity"
Read 4 tweets
May 21, 2022
"In 1.5 or 2 months Ukraine will launch "large-scale counteroffensive," "we will see a turning point in the situation not in favor of Russia": CIT

"Demand for this in society is very strong"

meduza.io/feature/2022/0…

#StandWithUkraine #Ukraine #Russia #UkraineWar
Most combat-ready Russian "badly battered, there are losses in equipment, there are fewer tanks. The missiles have almost run out"

"In Ukraine, on the contrary, the weapons are getting better and better, more and more soldiers are appearing"
"All the same problems remain" with Russian use of unsecured communications

"A lot of inoperable equipment, they still use open civilian frequencies and Chinese walkie-talkies that do not encrypt communications"
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(