🧵 Given that it has long been rumored that Tether is somehow managing to count Circle's USDC reserves as its own reserves by some kind of transitive property I found it very striking that Tether's announcement came right after Circle's & w/same language. coindesk.com/business/2023/…
🧵 Something else I just noticed about #Tether's numbers... (h/t @sasadjak72):
🧵 If you assume that crypto companies withdrew funds from $SBNY at the same rate as the other customers (which, according to NYDFS, they did) then +20% to $4 billion lands you on $4.8 billion on the nose.
🧵1/Ω #Tether's claims of $1.5 bn profit in 2023-Q1 means they must be investment geniuses.
Assume that every asset category is as they claim it was on 2023-03-31: $68.8 bn investments, $480 mm cash). If the cash equivs are 100% short dated t-bils their income would be $1.15 bn
🧵2/Ω
This is even if you assume they rushed out and bought $14 bn worth of treasuries on the first day of the quarter to get them from $39bn to $53bn, which they didn't. They didn't even have $68bn TOTAL at the start of the quarter.
🧵3/Ω
In fact at the start of the quarter (and for much of the rest of it) they had closer to $50bn in interest earning securities.
Meaning in the real world, they should have earned around $1 billion.
🧵2/Ω
Let's just conveniently ignore the fact that the auditor who provides #Tether's "attestations" that are in no way anything like an audit has never mentioned "profits".
(Also read the rest of @intel_jakal's 🧵 as they have the numbers.)
🚩 One of Santos's biggest donors was Dan Friedberg, the (deeply corrupt) lawyer for UltimateBet, Tether, and FTX's "Chief Compliance Officer" (be scared of those quotes).
He also took a ton of money from others FTXers.
FTX banked at Silvergate / $SI...
and so did Miles Guo🤔
running a search for [@]Blockchain AKA "Blockchain.com" AKA "one of the oldest and theoretically more reputable companies in the European blockchain space" right now and reading the recent tweets is a bit of a heartbreaking exercise...
❓ I'm just going to throw out there that I find the fact that $COIN somehow registered *exactly* the same overall trading volume for 2022-Q4 and 2023-Q1 is kind of... unsettling. almost as if someone planned it that way. or washed it that way, as the case may be...
i mean coincidences like this definitely do happen, so this isn't necessarily an accusation... but seriously these were two extremely different quarters with a LOT going on (FTX, USDC de-peg, Binance kicked off the dollar system, etc.) And there's no movement?
I decided to test this theory by looking at the quarterly on chain activity for the big tokens on the ethereum chain to see if they also stayed flat as a kind of imperfect proxy. they stayed more flat than i would have guessed but still... have a look. $COIN
Ω👇Ω