Ian Ellis Profile picture
May 20 4 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Musk on Taiwan:

The growing belligerence between China and the US "should be a concern for everyone."

Will China "make a move to take control of #Taiwan?" @davidfaber

"There is some inevitability to the situation." @elonmusk

Is it likely to happen? "That is their policy." 👇
Musk has deep & unique insight into China, dealing with both the government & private industry. He knows how they think & do business.

"The official policy of China is that Taiwan should be integrated. One does not need to read between the lines. One can simply read the lines."
When asked about Tesla operations:

"Almost no one realizes that the Chinese economy and the rest of the global economy are like conjoined twins. It would be like trying to separate conjoined twins. That's the severity of the situation."
The final question @davidfaber asks: "You seem to think it's likely to happen?"

"I'm simply saying that is their policy, and we should take their word seriously—they mean it." @elonmusk

Source: @CNBC cc @SaraEisen @michaelsantoli

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More from @ianellisjones

May 22
🚨 Major show of force from the US & China before the G-7 Summit:

- Chinese Surface Action Group circles Japan.

- Two US Carrier Strike Groups operate in the Philippine Sea & port in Japan ahead of the meeting.

- Russian ships transit the East China Sea.

Latest map & update: Image
👀 A lot of military activity around Japan as world leaders from the G-7 + India + Australia + Ukraine meet:

- Chinese ships circumnavigate Japan
- US Carrier Strike Groups & ARGs in the Philippine Sea & Japan
- Exercises at Kadena Air Base
- Russian ships move to East China Sea
‼️ Chinese Warships Circle Japan Ahead of G-7 Summit: @USNINews

Japan’s Ministry of Defense has released multiple reports tracking the movement of Chinese vessels from 29 April to 16 May.

Source and more information here:
Read 13 tweets
May 8
"The Chinese believe whoever rules the word rules the world."

@USNavy Rear Admiral Mike Studeman—in an eye-opening speech—exposes China's masterful facade:

"The Chinese are very good at engineering a veneer of responsibility regarding all of their actions."

60 mins in 5 👇
"Whoever frames the narrative dominates the narrative."

Keep this in mind when you see a headline from the Chinese government.

The PRC "are very effective at being the first mover on the issues. They get their story out first and they're ready to explain away almost anything."
China is "focused on what they call gaining greater and greater discourse power."

"To name a thing, to be able to be the one to define it. That's the objective there. That leads to an ability to have influence. In a vacuum, their messages actually do resonate."
Read 5 tweets
May 8
Tracking @USNavy assets over the past week:

Nimitz Carrier Strike Group transits to the Philippine Sea from South China Sea

Makin Island Amphibious Ready Group is in Subic Bay, Philippines, from Manila

USS Theodore Roosevelt aircraft carrier is underway in the Eastern Pacific twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The Ronald Reagan CSG, the only forward-deployed aircraft carrier, is in port in Yokosuka, Japan.

The America ARG is in Sasebo, Japan.

The Carl Vinson CSG is in port in San Diego.

The Gerald R. Ford CSG left Norfolk Tuesday afternoon on the first global deployment.
Interesting note from @USNINews: Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 30
Pacific Theatre Update 👀

Done:
🇨🇳 "Major military activity" & training
🇷🇺 Pacific Fleet "high alert" & drills
🇰🇷🇯🇵🇺🇸 Combined exercises
🇵🇭🇦🇺🇺🇸 Exercise Balikatan

Ongoing:
🇰🇵 Spy satellite launch
🇸🇬🇨🇳 Drills
🇻🇳🇨🇳 Paracel
🇵🇭🇨🇳 Spratly
🇨🇳 Response to 🇺🇸P-8 Poseidon🇹🇼 & Subs in 🇰🇷
Also watching movements of key naval assets:

🇨🇳 Shandong Carrier Strike Group

Transited Bashi Channel on 24-04 & likely headed for port after 3 weeks in the Philippine Sea

🇺🇸 Nimitz CSG

Departs Thailand 29-04

🇺🇸 Makin Island Amphibious Group

Last known location: Philippines
This year marks the 38th and largest-ever iteration of the prominent annual military exercise between the 🇵🇭 & 🇺🇸:
Read 9 tweets
Apr 28
👀 The Indo-Pacific Powder Keg:

- Chinese ship cuts off a Philippines patrol boat, nearly causing a collision
- US HIMARS Rockets, Patriot Missiles, & SINKEX in the Philippines
- Chinese aircraft carrier back in South China Sea
- US nuclear subs to South Korea
- Enter: Singapore Image
*Reposting the map with updates and corrections*

🧨 Militaries from the US, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Australia, Thailand, Vietnam, France, China, Russia, & North Korea are operating & exercising in the same region.

Full thread with more info and sources:
Big thanks to @IndoPac_Info for help and brilliant insight on the maps.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 27
🚨 Major military activity is underway in the Pacific.

Lines are being drawn…

🇺🇸🇹🇼🇯🇵🇰🇷🇵🇭🇦🇺🇹🇭🇻🇳🇵🇼🇫🇷

And challenged…

🇨🇳🇷🇺🇰🇵

Welcome to the Indo-Pacific Powder Keg.

Updated map, latest developments, & breaking news—with a big assist from @IndoPac_Info: Image
The US, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Australia, Thailand, Vietnam, France, China, Russia, & North Korea are operating & exercising in the same region.

The most powerful & advanced militaries in the history of the world are in close proximity with 0 margin for error.
There is A LOT going on. TL;DR:

- A Chinese ship cut off a Philippine patrol ship nearly causing a collision
- US HIMARS Rockets & Patriot Missiles displayed in the Philippines
- Chinese aircraft carrier back in South China Sea
- US nuclear subs to South Korea
- Enter: Singapore
Read 17 tweets

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