Recent study present an analysis of “the gap between the CO2 storage required to meet net zero targets and the slow maturation of regional storage resources.”
Researchers estimate that “European storage rates need to boost 30-100x by 2030 to meet #NetZero by 2050. 🇨🇳 & North America face a similar challenge. The slow global progress of #CarbonStorage undermines the latest IPCC, IEA & EU transition pathways to net zero by 2050.”
2/12
Here, scientists of this study investigate “if sufficient #storage can be developed in time. China 🇨🇳 (30%), (15%) and Europe 🇪🇺(10%) dominate global #emissions.”
In this study, “Europe was chosen as a data-rich exemplar.”
4/12
“Assuming #NetZero in 2050, researchers back-calculate the #storage required under 3️⃣ scenarios of low, medium, and high #CCS demand.”
5/12
“Even the low demand scenario requires 0.2 Gt of #storage by 2030, increasing to 1.3 Gt by 2050. The moderate & high demand scenarios require 5-8 Gt by 2050. The current #CarbonStorage rate in #Europe is 0.001 Gt/yr.”
6/12
So, “there is a huge gap btw policy demand & #storage supply. Adaptation of existing #hydrocarbon tech has the potential to close this gap, with CCS for the entire EU requiring less than half the historic rate of HC exploration & development in UK North Sea from 1980-2010.”
7/12
“Counter to expectation, #storage cannot be delivered by exponential growth but requires an early & sustained investment of 30-50 boreholes per year starting before 2030 to build sufficient capacity,” researchers affirmed.
8/12
“A 5-year lead-time to identify & mature prospects needs policy intervention before 2025. Continued policy deferral will lock Europe into a low CCS pathway that restricts the contribution of #NETs at a potential cost of €100 billion for every gigatonne delayed beyond 2050.”
9/12
According to this research, “North America & China require similar policy intervention to close the gap on #CarbonStorage and #NetZero.”
10/12
To get more information on the research entitled: "Mind the gap: will slow progress on carbon dioxide storage undermine net zero by 2050?" (Preprint) visit ⬇️
📖📝➡️eartharxiv.org/repository/vie…
🚨A new study has revealed for the first time that ancient carbon, stored in landscapes for thousands of years or more, can find its way back to the atmosphere as CO₂ is released from the surfaces of rivers at a rate of 1.2 billion tonnes per year.
Details🧵1/8
2/ To understand the true source of river CO₂, researchers compiled a global dataset of 1,195 radiocarbon measurements of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), CO₂ & CH₄ from rivers & streams.
This let them determine whether the emitted carbon was modern—or much older.
3/ Using radiocarbon signatures (¹⁴C), they found that 59% of river CO₂ emissions come from "old" C—millennia-old soil carbon & even petrogenic carbon (rock-derived, >55,000 years old)
Only ~41% came from recent biological sources like plants & microbes (decadal carbon).
🚨A NEW study explores a theoretical #geoengineering approach to combat global warming — by altering Earth’s orbit.
Simulations suggest that shifting Earth ~5.8% farther from the Sun could cool the planet by roughly 7K, effectively offsetting projected warming.
DETAILS🧵1/10
2/ Climate models suggest global temperatures could rise by 7K by 2100, driven by greenhouse gas emissions.
This study asks: what if, instead of changing the atmosphere, we changed our position in space?
Specifically: increase Earth’s orbital radius.
3/ Basically, the paper builds on the science of Milankovitch cycles which is slow, natural variations in Earth’s orbit and tilt that have triggered past ice ages.
These cycles show that even slight orbital changes can dramatically affect climate.
CALL FOR RESEARCH PRESENTATION PROPOSAL—RFF and the Harvard Solar Geoengineering Research Program invite individuals to present research at their upcoming workshop