Building a successful fantasy football team starts with effective player evaluation. It's crucial to assess players accurately based on their performance, potential, and situational factors.
Here are some key strategies to consider:
Study player production trends.
Analyze production from previous seasons. Look for consistency and any noticeable trends. This data provides valuable insights into a player's potential.
But remember past performance doesn't always equate to future success.
Consider a player's role in their team's offense.
Evaluate how a player fits into their team's scheme and who the play caller is.
Are they a primary option or a complementary piece? Understand their involvement in the game plan and how that translates to fantasy production.
Assess a player's injury history and overall health heading into next season.
The best ability is availability. Research a player's injury history to gauge their risk of missing games or underperforming due to physical limitations.
A checkered history may be a red flag.
Consistency is key.
Look beyond occasional big games and assess a player's week-to-week consistency. Consistent performers provide stability and minimize the risk of boom-or-bust outcomes.
A big week can boost a player's positional finish but could be a red herring.
Read the tea leaves.
Coachspeak is dangerous this time of year but stay updated on team dynamics and coaching changes. Changes in the coaching staff and offensive schemes could affect a player's fantasy outlook.
Utilize advanced metrics and analytics.
Metrics such as efficiency ratings (e.g., YPRR) and market share can provide deeper insights into a player's future performance.
Be bayesian.
Avoid biases and change your process as you get new data. Be cautious of biases such as favoring players from your favorite team or holding on to past successes or failures.
In the end, player evaluation is subjective.
No evaluation strategy guarantees success. Adapt your approach based on your league format, scoring settings, and league mate tendencies. Continuously learn and refine your evaluation process to improve your decision-making.
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I didn't invent the concept (H/T @RyanMc23) but I spent the last few years trying to master it.
Let's dive into the principles of the Productive Struggle strategy.
The Productive Struggle strategy involves deliberately sacrificing short-term success for long-term gain.
It focuses on building a strong foundation for future seasons by acquiring young, high-upside WRs, fading RBs, and accumulating draft capital.
2 reasons to consider PS
The running back position is volatile and injury-prone, making it risky to heavily invest in it.
By emphasizing young, talented WRs, managers can secure a foundation for long-term success and minimize the risk associated with aging vets, especially RBs.