1/ Sensex is the benchmark index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).
Here’s how the Sensex has fared in the past decade.
To assess the index’s valuation, you can look at the following metrics⬇️
2/ Price-to-earnings (P/E)
If an index’s current P/E is higher than its median P/E, the index might be overvalued.
3/ Price-to-book value (P/B)
If an index’s current P/B is more than its median P/B, then it might be overvalued.
4/ Dividend yield
If an index’s current dividend yield is more than its median dividend yield, then the index might be undervalued.
5/ Market cap to GDP
If the market cap of an index is higher than GDP, then the index might be overvalued.
6/ Difference between 10Y G-sec yield and Sensex’s earnings yield
If the difference between the 10-year government bond yield and the index's earnings yield is higher than the median value, the index might be overvalued.
7/
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Gensol Engineering soared on the back of EV & solar ambitions, but its story has taken a dark turn. From aggressive expansion to liquidity stress, governance issues, and stock manipulation allegations—investors are learning the hard way.
This post breaks down what went wrong and the key lessons for investors. Keep following the thread!
Rise & reality
✅ 6x revenue growth in two years (₹160 cr in FY22 to ₹963 cr in FY24)!
✅ EV leasing business expanded to 8,300+ vehicles
✅ Claimed solar EPC order book of ₹7,000 cr
✅ 12x share price growth between Mar’22 and Feb’24
⚠️ But what’s behind this growth?
❌ Total debt surged from Rs 82 crore to Rs 1,397 crore in 2 years
❌ Liquidity stress & corporate governance issues
❌ ICRA downgraded it to ‘D’ on March 4, 2025.
Red flags before disaster 🚩
⚠️ Stock manipulation allegations
- Linked to Mahadev betting scam.
⚠️ Deteriorating balance sheet strength
- Debt-to-equity jumped from 0.3x (FY21) → 4.3x (FY24)
- Strong liquidity claims by management didn’t match reality.
⚠️ Unrelated diversification
- Shifted from solar EPC to EV leasing & manufacturing.
- Now scaling down EV leasing due to financial strain.