Spain's farms are dying. Their pastures are disappearing. Their livestock is becoming too expensive to even feed. Their ministers resort to calling for the EU crisis mechanism to be triggered. The #Climate crisis is now an EU farming and food supply crisis.
Spain and Portugal have requested the activation of the European Food Security Crisis Preparedness and Response Mechanism (EFSCM), which could provide up to 450 million euros. However, other EU nations have been hesitant to initiate the mechanism, it requires unanimous agreement.
It doesn’t matter if there was a “bit of rain here or there”- the long term trend for this region is desertification. You can’t eat money and the EU (northern states) won’t keep printing it long term either.
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“Expect chaos” - we really are in uncharted warm waters - Dr Jennifer Francis “We have not had a strong El Niño, in conjunction with ocean heatwave in the North Pacific, in conjunction with an Atlantic ocean where the temperatures are almost off the charts.”
Full quote and link here. This really is new territory for climate forcing. Reducing shipping aerosols is going to have huge consequences.
“we have this El Niño developing. It looks like it could be a strong one. We tend to see global average temperatures spike when an El Niño occurs. This is very concerning, because even during these last three years of La Niña, we've seen near record breaking global average temps”
There’s drought - and then there’s a super drought! 60% of the Spanish countryside is bone dry. Groundwater eventually runs out - then what..Wheat and barley crops are likely to fail entirely in four regions- & summer yet to come.
“Spain's long-term drought is causing "irreversible losses" to more than 3.5 million hectares of crops, the Coordinator of Farmers' and Ranchers' Organizations said in a new report”
“Some cereals need to be "written off" in the prime growing regions of Andalusia, Castilla La Mancha, Extremadura and Murcia, and are likely to be lost in the driest areas of three other regions, according to the report.”
This summer may push India closer to the limits of human survival. Rising temperatures are forecast in the coming weeks after India experienced its hottest February on record. The region is at serious risk of wet-bulb if global temperatures continue to rise.
One of the deadliest Wet bulb events was actually in Chicago- 700+ victims - mostly elderly and poor succumbed to unbearable heat & humidity, making the 1995 heat wave one of the deadliest climate disasters in U.S. history - killed 3x as many as Storms Sandy/Harvey combined.
On the current trajectory and with current mitigation policies - the first major wet bulb event will be a major shock to the current global system. Kim Stanley Robinson's ministry for the future book is shocking.
Huge amounts of CO2 are produced just to lay the concrete for a large wind turbine.
481m3 of concrete is required alone - so that equals 115.4 tons of CO2 being emitted. Its total carbon footprint is ~241.85 tonnes of CO2. There is no easy fix. Less energy - less emissions.
The whole construction and installation of a single turbine leave a carbon footprint that takes approximately 10 years to recover with emissions-free power. The turbines are made of fibreglass and carbon fibre which leave a huge carbon footprint. There is no easy fix.
Turbines only last 20 to 30 years and their dismantling and recycling are not established.
Currently, there are at least 14,000 old turbines still standing in the US and nobody knows how to economically remove them. NO EASY FIX.
There is a monster leak of Arctic air heading towards the whole of North America. Many places will experience -20C. These leaks are becoming more frequent as the jet stream weakens. This is a new climate. The stability of the Holocene is over.
The Grid will really struggle is areas not designed for Cold snaps. Certain areas where agriculture exists all-year-round may also be adversely affected. Modern civilization wasn’t set up for this weather flipping.
For those asking what’s happening here see a previous tweet -
A thread on Aerosol masking - It is really important for people to understand that even if you could magically stop all emissions tomorrow - ~1C is locked in due to the masking effect. An extra 1C on top of current warming is disastrous. 🧵
Observational and computational papers enabled by COVID are consistent with masked warming on the order of 1C. This number is consistent with the best estimates of transient climate response and aerosol forcing.
There is evidence pointing to a 0.5-degree rise in temperature over the Wuhan region during the lockdown period of 2020 - most likely due to lower aerosol emissions. That’s a huge effect and should be a warning to policymakers.