"The authors have decades of experience as federal prosecutors and defense lawyers, as well as other legal expertise. Based upon this experience and the analysis that follows, we conclude that Trump should–and likely will–be charged."
3. Key to the analysis is to compare apples to apples:
We provide a sweeping account of past Department of Justice precedents for indicting similar conduct under the Espionage Act 18 U.S.C. § 793(e) and 18 U.S.C. § 1924.
Tables of past cases (starting on page 138 of the memo)👇
4. "The DOJ precedent indicates that to decline to bring a case against Trump would be treating Trump far more favorably than other defendants, which would be antithetical to the rule of law and the principles of the Justice Manual."
5. Our charts are favorable to FPOTUS Trump. They consider purely "retention" cases.
If Special Counsel can prove Trump disseminated National Defense Info (18 USC § 793(e)) or classified info (18 USC § 798) to others, the case for prosecution is even stronger (to put it mildly).
6. We add investigative journalism since 1st edition in Nov 2022. Including reports pointing to dissemination of national defense/classified info via:
2. Audio recording is a meeting with several people who don't have security clearances.
If Trump discussed content of document it is even worse - and raises its own criminal exposure.
These individuals are all likely good witnesses, with disincentive to lie given their number.
3. Bedminster
CNN: The audio recording shows prosecutors "are not only looking at Trump’s actions regarding classified documents recovered from his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, but also at what happened at Bedminster" summer 2021.
I expect this will result in Espionage Act charges. Dissemination is key.
"Prosecutors...have gathered evidence indicating that Trump at times kept classified documents in his office in a place where they were visible and sometimes showed them to others." washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
2. Trump's reported conduct of RETAINING classified documents is already more serious than average case in which Justice Department DOES indict.
COMMUNICATING or TRANSMITTING classified documents to third parties is considered much more egregious.
3. The reported facts are now far beyond just an obstruction case.
Willfully disseminating to third parties is also easily distinguishable from Pence, Biden, other instances in which DOJ has declined to prosecute (eg Alberto Gonzales👇).
2. CNN reports: the notes show over the course of conversations with Trump, "the attorney explained that the subpoena meant Trump would need to return all records."
3. What about possible coordination with Trump allies like Alex Jones?
J6 Select Committee Final Report:
“Records for Enrique Tarrio’s phone show that while the attack on the Capitol was ongoing, he texted with Jones three times and [Jones’ colleague] Shroyer five times.”
Justice Department cited § 1519 in MAL search warrant.
3. If Trump or others were found responsible for altering Mar-a-Lago surveillance tapes, it could also be a significant aggravating factor pushing DOJ toward Espionage Act indictment.
Would make MAL case more egregious than past cases brought for retention of defense information
2. Jacob Glick's synthesis of the expert statements is its own wake up call.
A threat assessment for U.S. democracy with white Christian nationalism and anti-government violent extremism, and political leaders willing to exploit. Also places United States within global trends.
3. The extraordinary list of experts includes (alphabetically 1-8):