Ryan Goodman Profile picture
Jun 2 7 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Difficult to exaggerate amount of work we put into this.

United States v. Donald J. Trump - Model Prosecution Memo

Thanks to astounding colleagues @AWeissmann_ @JoyceWhiteVance @NormEisen @FredWertheimer @SivenWatt @Edanyaperry @StantonLaw Joshua Kolb

justsecurity.org/86771/model-pr…
2. A stronger statement in this 2d edition:

"The authors have decades of experience as federal prosecutors and defense lawyers, as well as other legal expertise. Based upon this experience and the analysis that follows, we conclude that Trump should–and likely will–be charged."
3. Key to the analysis is to compare apples to apples:

We provide a sweeping account of past Department of Justice precedents for indicting similar conduct under the Espionage Act 18 U.S.C. § 793(e) and 18 U.S.C. § 1924.

Tables of past cases (starting on page 138 of the memo)👇 Image
4. "The DOJ precedent indicates that to decline to bring a case against Trump would be treating Trump far more favorably than other defendants, which would be antithetical to the rule of law and the principles of the Justice Manual."
5. Our charts are favorable to FPOTUS Trump. They consider purely "retention" cases.

If Special Counsel can prove Trump disseminated National Defense Info (18 USC § 793(e)) or classified info (18 USC § 798) to others, the case for prosecution is even stronger (to put it mildly).
6. We add investigative journalism since 1st edition in Nov 2022. Including reports pointing to dissemination of national defense/classified info via:

@maggieNYT
@alanfeuer
@jonathanvswan
@kpolantz
@PaulaReidCNN
@kaitlancollins
@DevlinBarrett
@jdawsey1
@hsu_spencer
@PerryStein
7. Thanks to USG docs and great journalism, we provide a comprehensive, chronological summary of publicly available facts to date.

I personally go back to that 'facts section' when thinking how a new data point fits in.

Executive Summary captures essence of the project.

<fin>

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More from @rgoodlaw

May 31
Bombshell in MAL investigation.

I'll discuss 7pm ET @ErinBurnett @OutFrontCNN

"Audio recording" in which Trump "acknowledges he held onto a classified Pentagon document about a potential attack on Iran"

Scoop by @kpolantz @PaulaReidCNN @kaitlancollins
cnn.com/2023/05/31/pol…
2. Audio recording is a meeting with several people who don't have security clearances.

If Trump discussed content of document it is even worse - and raises its own criminal exposure.

These individuals are all likely good witnesses, with disincentive to lie given their number. Image
3. Bedminster

CNN: The audio recording shows prosecutors "are not only looking at Trump’s actions regarding classified documents recovered from his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, but also at what happened at Bedminster" summer 2021.

That's where meeting occurred.
Read 9 tweets
May 25
I expect this will result in Espionage Act charges. Dissemination is key.

"Prosecutors...have gathered evidence indicating that Trump at times kept classified documents in his office in a place where they were visible and sometimes showed them to others."
washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
2. Trump's reported conduct of RETAINING classified documents is already more serious than average case in which Justice Department DOES indict.

COMMUNICATING or TRANSMITTING classified documents to third parties is considered much more egregious. Image
3. The reported facts are now far beyond just an obstruction case.

Willfully disseminating to third parties is also easily distinguishable from Pence, Biden, other instances in which DOJ has declined to prosecute (eg Alberto Gonzales👇). Image
Read 7 tweets
May 22
Special Counsel Smith strikes gold

Obtains “dozens of pages of notes” of Trump attorney “memorializing conversations with his client.”

Trump's team “surprised about the level of detail”

My take: Contains evidence of obstruction & Espionage Act

<thread>
cnn.com/2023/05/22/pol…
2. CNN reports: the notes show over the course of conversations with Trump, "the attorney explained that the subpoena meant Trump would need to return all records."

As @BarbMcQuade explained with @hugolowell⁩'s scoop, that is evidence of willfulness.

3. CNN: "Trump, when informed by his lawyer about the subpoena and how he should respond, asked if there was any way to fight it."

That is evidence of Espionage Act "willful retention," 18 USC 793(e), and Obstruction, 18 USC 1519.

cnn.com/2023/05/22/pol…
Read 5 tweets
May 4
Important victory for accountability, for historical record, for democracy.

Proud Boys conviction for seditious conspiracy to keep former President Trump in power.

The white supremacist paramilitary group would not have taken these actions without Trump’s messaging.
2. Enormous victory on Count 1 seditious conspiracy.

BANG

3. What about possible coordination with Trump allies like Alex Jones?

J6 Select Committee Final Report:

“Records for Enrique Tarrio’s phone show that while the attack on the Capitol was ongoing, he texted with Jones three times and [Jones’ colleague] Shroyer five times.”
Read 4 tweets
May 3
Breaking new and just discussed live @OutFrontCNN:

Special Counsel investigating possible tampering with Mar-a-Lago surveillance video.

That would be obstruction on steroids.

@kpolantz @PaulaReidCNN scoop.👇

<Thread> ...
cnn.com/2023/05/03/pol…
2. Note: 18 USC § 1519 - Destruction, alteration of records in federal investigation gets up to 20 years imprisonment.

(@elliotcwilliams just pointed that out in our discussion with @PamelaBrownCNN.

Justice Department cited § 1519 in MAL search warrant.
3. If Trump or others were found responsible for altering Mar-a-Lago surveillance tapes, it could also be a significant aggravating factor pushing DOJ toward Espionage Act indictment.

Would make MAL case more egregious than past cases brought for retention of defense information
Read 6 tweets
May 1
I'm thrilled we have recovered 33 of the expert statements submitted to the #January6th Select Committee.

Addressing the state of U.S. democracy and political violence.

All now publicly available @just_security.

Read Introduction by @jhglick here.👇

justsecurity.org/86298/introduc…
2. Jacob Glick's synthesis of the expert statements is its own wake up call.

A threat assessment for U.S. democracy with white Christian nationalism and anti-government violent extremism, and political leaders willing to exploit. Also places United States within global trends.
Read 7 tweets

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