Beautiful dawn for the first day of the Bonn Climate Conference which runs till the 15th of June. Looks like it will be hot.
The venue is to the right of the buildings you see here. The smallest one in the front of the two larger ones is the new office of the UNFCCC secretariat. Which came into being in the 1990s and was followed by the Kyoto Protocol.
COP 28 is due to be held in Dubai in December - somewhat controversially as the incoming President heads a massive Emirati oil conglomerate.
This meeting will host preparation discussions between the nations of the “Conference Of the Parties to the UNFCCC” from which COP gets… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Security is in place around the venue albeit at nothing close to what you see at a full COP meeting, which is typically attended by 10s of thousands of participants.
I will head down there shortly. It’s now 7am here.
Nice walk down.
Inside the venue. With registrations still underway and a big queue to get badges it looks like the main show will commence this afternoon.
Part of today’s program.
For me the interesting immediate issues will be progress on the landmark commencement of the Climate Finance and Loss & Damages initiatives adopted in Sharm-el-Sheikh (COP27) after a colossal United push from the Global South following significant disappointment in Glasgow (COP… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
For the major emitters the pressure will come on in the Global Stock Take (GST) stream of activity. A good place to get the real deal info on this is from the Climate Action Tracker website here >> climateactiontracker.org
Unfortunately at the moment the @climateactiontr Tracker results (aggregated NDC’s - Nationally Determined Contributions to lowering emissions) do not yet get us (humanity) to the stated goal of the COP process of holding the global rise in temperatures to 1.5o Degrees Celsius… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
In the end it is this gap between what is needed and agreed and what is being achieved that will top the agenda both here at Mid-COP and in December in Dubai at #COP28.
There is a very large amount of news today about @SecBlinken
This report seemingly confirms reports following @SecDef’s visit to Singapore suggesting a possible rapprochement between the two superpowers. amp.cnn.com/cnn/2023/06/06…
Whilst waiting I’ve been looking at this, a document assessing competing bids to host the Santiago Network unfccc.int/santiago-netwo… which was finally agreed to go forward - to. E operationalised - at COP27 in Sharm-el-Sheikh.
The history of the “Loss & Damages” work program within the UNFCCC post the Paris Treaty is somewhat fraught politically which makes the decision making process on this question politically interesting. And the increasing incidence of weather disasters needing a “loss & damages”… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Ok random sample of Wellington’s ground level inhabitants and pedestrians no-one felt it. Ellieway in L’affare Cuba St was kinda surprised when she looked it up.
Quake epicenter cluster of earthquakes. The two red ones were the largest. The first on the right 5.9 the one on the left 5.4 which in NZ quake terms are not huge.
The role of @patrickwight1 (who has a Locked @Twitter account) in attacking the work and reputations of @BronwynBruton (FP scholar US) & @afitz3105 (Canadian Professor & leading scholar in Ethiopian military matters) - relentlessly over recent weeks is completely disgraceful.… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
A series of diaspora information warriors/propagandists (excepting Moges who was a last minute addition to the lineup) + @wdavison10 of @crisisgroup defending on ethnic lines a cacophony of lies about the largest war of the 21st Century (in casualties civilians & combatants)
The event neatly illustrates the special circumstances of this conflict, especially wrt the sophistication of the information warfare in Western Narratives that so effectively drowned out the truth in this nightmarish conflict.
For comparison - here (quoted tweet) is last year's thread,There are lots of similarities with observable weather patterns & model forecasts as the two threads pertain to a similar state of the global energy balance.
The most notable differemce with the 2023 Equinox is that ENSO (the La Nina/El Nino oscillation) is moving into neutral which could result in a reduction of tropical convection and therefore less precipitation. However that is not yet cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…