Compound248 💰 Profile picture
Jun 5, 2023 18 tweets 9 min read Read on X
I really didn't want to do a Tweet thread on the @SECGov suit against @binance, but then I read it and...

...it's absolutely FULL of GEMS. I can't not do it.

Example - Binance CCO in 2018:

"we are operating as a fking unlicensed securities exchange in the USA bro."😱😂

🧵👇 Image
1. It's worth stating that it's not just a suit against Binance - the SEC is also suing @cz_binance himself.

I suspect we will never see CZ voluntarily set foot on US soil again, nor countries with whom we have strong extradition treaties... Image
2. The core claim is CZ and Binance *knowingly* operated an illegal, unregistered US securities business, stripping Americans of the "investor and market protections [securities] laws provide."

Throughout, we see @binance acknowledge it may be violating the law, but plow ahead. Image
3. Further claims include sales of crypto that the SEC considers "securities" and misrepresenting of controls while raising VC capital (including from defenseless retail investors).

Likewise, US Binance volumes were misrepresented by CZ entities wash trading to juice them. ImageImage
4. 1776

CZ & Binance claimed its US operations (including the BAM Management and BAM Trading entities) were independent of CZ and Binance.

However, US employees referenced the "shackles" CZ had over them. BAM Trading's CEO said the team was a "puppet."

CZ owns 81% of BAM US. ImageImage
5. Staking is an Unregistered Security Offering 👀

...and $BNB and other coins were unregistered security offerings (including $SOL, $ADA, $MATIC, $FIL, and $BUSD).

$COIN gotta be nervous af. Image
6. Despite CZ emphasizing that "CREDIBILITY is the most important asset for any exchange" and claims that surveillance & controls would be installed to protect investors...

...for roughly 3 years, CZ's own entity, Sigma Chain AG, engaged in wash trading to increase US volumes. Image
7. Binance is sketchy af, bruh.

Binance is a Cayman LLC, but has refused to identify where its HQ exists. [cough China cough ]

As CZ says, "Wherever I sit is the Binance office. Wherever I meet somebody is going to be the Binance office."

Offices are for suits, man. Image
8. CZ personally took $62.5 million out of a Binance bank account between Oct 2022 - Jan 2023

That's not inherently illegal...

...but, personally, I can't help but notice it coincides with the window when FTX was failing and CZ's takedown of @SBF_FTX became public. ImageImage
9. Below is a high-level overview of the CZ / Binance empire.

Sigma Chain and Merit Peak appear to be akin to SBF's Alameda prop trading / market-making entity: CZ's personal investment funds.

You'll note BAM US was capitalized in part by US investors (see the 19% share). Image
10. bUT iT's NOt a sECurITy!

Tell that to $BNB's 2,100x return in its first 6 years of existence and its reasonable expectation of dynamic value and profit based on a contract (i.e., the Howey Test).

2100x?! Holy mackerel. Image
11. Binance is HUGE and Generates a Ton of Revenue

For the three years ending July 2021, Binance earned "at least $11.6 billion in revenue, most of which derived from transaction fees."

Ken Griffin must be blushing - that's quite the scalping. 🔪🤑🩸 Image
12. Tai Chi!

Binance had a plan called "the Tai Chi Plan" meant to "reveal, retard, and resolve built-up enforcement tensions" in the US.

As it became clear its US business was violating laws, CZ wanted to help route VIP US investors offshore to create plausible deniability.😱 ImageImage
13. Yes, Our Ethics Can Be Bought

Along those lines, Binance continued to quietly guide key US accounts to "use VPN" to get around its KYC that used IP address tracking.

"We always have a way for whales." 😂

Oh, and "CZ will definitely agree to this..." Image
14. They Knew

From the inception of $BNB, Binance was preparing for an SEC Wells notice.

But CZ demanded they go forward with it.

As the CCO described, "cutting US from .com already costed [CZ] an arm/leg, he’s not gonna hold back on getting that rev[enue] back somehow.” 👀 Image
15. FTX vibes + the Binance US CEO was CEO of what, exactly?

In the US business, CZ was constantly directing money to be moved around, including to and from his personal vehicles.

At times, the Binance US CEO didn't even know it was happening.

CZ was heavily conflicted. ImageImage
16. SEC Flexed its Guns

In sum: bad for Binance, but also a sneak preview for what altcoins and $COIN may face down the road.

-End-

If you found this useful, please Like and Retweet the first tweet, and throw me a Follow.

I occasionally go in-depth.🙏

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More from @compound248

Nov 19, 2023
Rare footage of Mrs. B - Rose Blumkin.

Mrs. B founded Nebraska Furniture Mart in 1937 with $500 of savings, selling 90% to Warren Buffett’s $BRK 50 years later for $55 million.

Even at 94-years old, she continued to work 70 hour weeks, pricing rugs and carpets from memory. 🧵👇

“We like managers who are in love with their business…who feel like I do - I want to tap dance when I get to the office,” is how Buffett answered Adam Smith’s question about the Berkshire Hathaway culture.
1/x
Mrs B barely spoke English when she started NFM; she sought a $75 business loan and was denied.

50 years later, what did she think of the doubters?

“I still hate them. Anybody who does you dirty, you should never forgive and forget.” ☠️

- Rose Blumkin at 94 years young
Mrs. B had uncommon sense:

“God blessed me: anything I do, I make money.”

Mrs. B’s daughter on growing up:

“The customer was God - that came first and we came next,” she laughingly shared.
Read 11 tweets
Nov 2, 2023
1. $COIN just reported Q3.

Most people assume it makes its money as a crypto exchange.

True...sort of.

Its rev comes as much from interest income on its cash balances + its share of $USDC's cash ($COIN owns a share of USDC owner, Circle) as from transactions.

Worrisome.
🧵👇
2. Interest Income is Lower Quality

Even as $COIN's core transaction revenue has declined by nearly HALF, its interest income has skyrocketed with rising rates.

In Q2 2022, interest was 5% of revenue; in Q2 2023, it was 35%... Image
3. Stablecoin Revenue

...in Q3, interest income hit nearly 40% !!! of revenue.

(With $COIN restructuring its deal with Circle, Coinbase's share of $USDC interest income is now categorized as "Stablecoin Revenue.")

I expect $COIN just achieved peak interest income. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 4, 2023
The Rise of Temu.

Temu launched first in the US and is owned by Chinese e-comm giant $PDD, targeting the value-oriented customer.

It's a 3P model but w/ the experience controlled by Temu in more of a "1P" manner (pricing, warehousing, shipping).

In just 1 year (credit $GS):
🧵 Image
2. Value Buyer

Given its low-priced proposition, it's no surprise that Temu is winning more business in states that have lower average per capita income. Image
3. CAC 🤮

To win these lower-value customers, Temu is spending a fortune on ads and marketing (see graphics on left).

On the right, we can see its US user growth has been astounding but may be slowing.

For that marketing $$ to be worth it, Temu needs to add considerable scale.
Image
Image
Read 14 tweets
Sep 2, 2023
In the next 9 days, we will learn the fate of the cable TV industry.

Disney has pulled its programming from Charter's TV customers, launching a momentous battle.

For years, content owners like $DIS held the upper hand.

Now, $CHTR is poised to win. Let’s talk about why.
🧵👇 Image
1. Why now?

So-called “carriage battles” (CHTR “carrying” DIS content) ALWAYS surface around important sports, generally football.

$DIS's key TV asset is ESPN - ESPN is THE home of college football.

Today is opening day.

$DIS chose to pull its content 36 hours before kickoff.
2. Negotiation 101

This is an amazing moment:

In one sense, it’s a narrow negotiation around sports costs.

In another, it is the future of TV.

And I’m not overstating it.

But the tides have shifted.

Historical power struggles, acute timing concerns, and more.

Let’s dig in.
Read 26 tweets
Jul 26, 2023
Today, Enovix, a science project battery company, posted a long letter trying to stop a reporter from investigating it. The letter culminates by calling me "ringleader" of a short group that coordinates trades.

False.

One might ask, "why is $ENVX so afraid of inspection?"
🧵👇
2/ There really are some $ENVX "ringleaders" on Twitter, but they are insanely bullish. They're also bullies: Marc Cohodes and Greg Reyes. They lie, distort, attack, and malign anyone who questions Enovix.

They claim to have a special relationship with ENVX Chairman, TJ Rodgers.
3/ As we will see, these are odd bedfellows.

Both are cruel, manipulative, and bullying. They constantly allude to having the inside skinny on Enovix while pumping it to their legions of followers.

They coordinate and attack all skeptics and do so in retrogressive ways.
Read 28 tweets
Jun 6, 2023
The @SECGov crypto enforcement team has been busy af...

...today it sued $COIN, after suing Binance and @cz_binance yesterday.

Gary, I can only summarize lawsuits so fast...

Let's dig in.
🧵👇 Image
1. The Dog that Didn't Bark

As you can see in the below image, in yesterday's Binance suit, Binance founder @cz_binance himself was listed as a formal defendant in the SEC complaint.

In the $COIN lawsuit, no individual is included.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong just exhaled... Image
2. This suit is less "sexy" than the @binance suit (linked at the end of this thread).

While Binance and FTX looked like companies that lacked controls and were run haphazardly, the Coinbase suit is more about the technicalities of "registering" and "what is a Security?" Image
Read 17 tweets

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