#NIIT All about NIIT Demerger. So, NIIT demerger happened and the B2C business now trades at Rs 98. The HIGHLY profitable B2B business is yet to be listed but here is brief analysis.
NIIT has 2 businesses:
B2C: NIIT Limited: Retail learning
B2B: Corporate Learning
The B2C business is more volatile and did just a breakeven this year where as the corporate learning business is high growth high margin business. Here is P&L for B2B business. So, in B2B, we are getting a 20% growth business at 23% EBITDA margin doing ~200 Cr of PAT
Also, post demerger, B2B business (NLSL) will have Rs 572 Cr of cash on books
Coming to B2C (NIIT Ltd) business which remains listed and now trades at Rs 98 compared to pre-demerged price of Rs 400, it has a sales of Rs 314 Cr and merely does any profit. Here is the P&L
The B2C business (NIIT Ltd) has got Rs 715 Cr of cash post demerger
Now, this is how post demerger scenario looks like. All holding 1 share of NIIT Ltd pre demerger will get 1 share each of both companies post demerger. So, totally, 13.5 Cr shares of both companies will trade.
B2C (NIIT Ltd): At current price of Rs 98, this trades at Rs 1300 Cr
valuation with Rs 715 cr cash, Rs 314 Cr of sales and a fluctuating profit. The pre-merger price of Rs 400 had a market capitalization of Rs 5400 Cr which leaves Rs 4100 Cr valuation for to be listed B2B business if assume the same Rs 5400 market capitalization remains. So, we
will get a Rs 200 Cr PAT business with 23% EBITDA margin growing at 20% with Rs 500 cash on books at 20x multiple. The question to ask now is:
Do these 2 businesses deserve a better valuation than above stated scenario or lesser and there the answer would lie if we will value
creating or value destructing. Disc: have a pre demerger position at Rs 380. Transacted in last 30 days. I may buy or sell without informing. Alos, these number been taken from latest price data and there could be an error. Please do your own due diligence.
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#IEX A chronological history of all tweets on IEX for learning purposes and current stand in the end
1st caution (it is always probabilistic, sometimes works, sometimes does not)
#CNXIT History of IT Sector in India: A data-based perspective
In last 1.5 years, we witnessed a heavy price correction in IT sector. This is evident from CNXIT index movement which is 32% down in last 1.5 years (we kept cautioning repeatedly then)
Now, sector is also facing headwinds. Typically, this is how market behaves. Market is always ahead of reality. It tops when valuations highlight major froth, smart money slowly exits n new entrants think they know it all, are scapegoats. Companies r lowering their guidance.
Within a year, we have come from healthy double digit growth to low to mid single digit growth projection. Question is - Is it something new or there is something to learn from history?
History is an interesting subject and price is the first guide. Lets us look at history
#KMC My 10 min work. Thanks for initiating idea @Coolfundoo as this was not the stock I was mentioning.
Whenever I get new idea, i pass it to some of my in built tools and back of envelope calculation to check if its worth deep diving as we cant go in detail on evert stock
Coming to KMC, it has gone through major asset expansion in last 2 years and at visible potential, it should have Rs 100 Cr of net fixed asset
If we look at history, peak net fixed asset turnover has been 2.4 which means, it can do peak sales of Rs 240 cr (say achievable in 3 years from current TTM Rs 147 Cr, thats how usually hospitals scale)
🧵A thread on Scientific Investing YouTube credibility report of last 1 year (important as fin-influencers are termed as stock peddlers on SM).
Link: youtube.com/ScientificInve…
16 stocks n sectors discussed with positive bias since 2022 had a mean return on 24% till today
💡 31% of stocks/sectors discussed have > 50% return till today with mean 77% return
💡 38% of stocks/sectors discussed have >0% return with mean 8% return
💡31% of stocks/sectors discussed < 0% return with mean -8% return
1. Karur Vysya Bank (50 to 100): 100% 2. Neuland Labs (1100 to 2000): 80% 3. City Union Bank (125 to 200 to 125): 0% 4. Aegis Logistic (210 to 390): 80% 5. Jash Engineering (570 to 900 to 830): 70% 6. SJS (410 to 540 to 410): 0% 7. FINO (250 to 210): -17%
#SouthIndianBank Bank101: How security receipts and NPA pool selling transactions with ARCs work. Gold learning for me on the detailing and thanks to Tushar Sarda for asking 1/n