kumar saurabh Profile picture
Jun 8 10 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
#NIIT All about NIIT Demerger. So, NIIT demerger happened and the B2C business now trades at Rs 98. The HIGHLY profitable B2B business is yet to be listed but here is brief analysis.
NIIT has 2 businesses:
B2C: NIIT Limited: Retail learning
B2B: Corporate Learning
The B2C business is more volatile and did just a breakeven this year where as the corporate learning business is high growth high margin business. Here is P&L for B2B business. So, in B2B, we are getting a 20% growth business at 23% EBITDA margin doing ~200 Cr of PAT Image
Also, post demerger, B2B business (NLSL) will have Rs 572 Cr of cash on books Image
Coming to B2C (NIIT Ltd) business which remains listed and now trades at Rs 98 compared to pre-demerged price of Rs 400, it has a sales of Rs 314 Cr and merely does any profit. Here is the P&L Image
The B2C business (NIIT Ltd) has got Rs 715 Cr of cash post demerger Image
Now, this is how post demerger scenario looks like. All holding 1 share of NIIT Ltd pre demerger will get 1 share each of both companies post demerger. So, totally, 13.5 Cr shares of both companies will trade.
B2C (NIIT Ltd): At current price of Rs 98, this trades at Rs 1300 Cr Image
valuation with Rs 715 cr cash, Rs 314 Cr of sales and a fluctuating profit. The pre-merger price of Rs 400 had a market capitalization of Rs 5400 Cr which leaves Rs 4100 Cr valuation for to be listed B2B business if assume the same Rs 5400 market capitalization remains. So, we Image
will get a Rs 200 Cr PAT business with 23% EBITDA margin growing at 20% with Rs 500 cash on books at 20x multiple. The question to ask now is:
Do these 2 businesses deserve a better valuation than above stated scenario or lesser and there the answer would lie if we will value Image
creating or value destructing. Disc: have a pre demerger position at Rs 380. Transacted in last 30 days. I may buy or sell without informing. Alos, these number been taken from latest price data and there could be an error. Please do your own due diligence.
If interested in tracking financial markets, you may follow me. Also, you may subscribe to our youtube channel. Thanks for reading. Like & RT for wider reach 🙏
youtube.com/ScientificInve…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with kumar saurabh

kumar saurabh Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @suru27

Jun 9
#IEX A chronological history of all tweets on IEX for learning purposes and current stand in the end
1st caution (it is always probabilistic, sometimes works, sometimes does not) Image
2nd caution Image
Some rant.. Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 22
#CNXIT History of IT Sector in India: A data-based perspective

In last 1.5 years, we witnessed a heavy price correction in IT sector. This is evident from CNXIT index movement which is 32% down in last 1.5 years (we kept cautioning repeatedly then) Image
Now, sector is also facing headwinds. Typically, this is how market behaves. Market is always ahead of reality. It tops when valuations highlight major froth, smart money slowly exits n new entrants think they know it all, are scapegoats. Companies r lowering their guidance. ImageImage
Within a year, we have come from healthy double digit growth to low to mid single digit growth projection. Question is - Is it something new or there is something to learn from history?
History is an interesting subject and price is the first guide. Lets us look at history
Read 9 tweets
Apr 21
#KMC My 10 min work. Thanks for initiating idea @Coolfundoo as this was not the stock I was mentioning.

Whenever I get new idea, i pass it to some of my in built tools and back of envelope calculation to check if its worth deep diving as we cant go in detail on evert stock
Coming to KMC, it has gone through major asset expansion in last 2 years and at visible potential, it should have Rs 100 Cr of net fixed asset Image
If we look at history, peak net fixed asset turnover has been 2.4 which means, it can do peak sales of Rs 240 cr (say achievable in 3 years from current TTM Rs 147 Cr, thats how usually hospitals scale) Image
Read 8 tweets
Apr 21
🧵A thread on Scientific Investing YouTube credibility report of last 1 year (important as fin-influencers are termed as stock peddlers on SM).
Link: youtube.com/ScientificInve…

16 stocks n sectors discussed with positive bias since 2022 had a mean return on 24% till today
💡 31% of stocks/sectors discussed have > 50% return till today with mean 77% return

💡 38% of stocks/sectors discussed have >0% return with mean 8% return

💡31% of stocks/sectors discussed < 0% return with mean -8% return
1. Karur Vysya Bank (50 to 100): 100%
2. Neuland Labs (1100 to 2000): 80%
3. City Union Bank (125 to 200 to 125): 0%
4. Aegis Logistic (210 to 390): 80%
5. Jash Engineering (570 to 900 to 830): 70%
6. SJS (410 to 540 to 410): 0%
7. FINO (250 to 210): -17%
Read 10 tweets
Mar 3
We all love @dspmf Netra and Tathya reports and here is latest one: dspim.co/NetMar23

Want to understand these reports in detail and extract best out of them, follow this🧵

At Scientific Investing, we hosted Sahil Kapoor @SahilKapoor from DSP to discuss these reports
and much more including macro, markets, budget, data, inflation, recession, interest rate, demand etc. Here is discussion summary:

💡Reasons Behind Netra and Tathya

👉Track 50 markets daily to monitor outliers & further studying macroeconomic data

👉 Macroeconomics is
at times very subjective and misused with too much focus on forecasting

👉What will impact the market is very important

👉 Tathya is compendium of 50+ indicators divided into 5 macroeconomic sections to understand various parts of economy at times very subjective
Read 34 tweets
Feb 1
#SouthIndianBank Bank101: How security receipts and NPA pool selling transactions with ARCs work. Gold learning for me on the detailing and thanks to Tushar Sarda for asking 1/n

#Q3FY23 #ConcallInsights with Scientific Investing. Give us a shoutout if our work helps🙏
More on same
More..
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(