Ukraine has advanced 5-17 km in the Zaporizhya region, breached Russia's first line of defenses and liberated over a dozen communities, according to the site Volya, citing Ukrainian and Russian contacts

Russian forces "can't hold their positions and slowly retreat almost along… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
@WarMonitors:⚡️Video showing Russian troops withdrawing from positions in the Zaporizhia frontline due to the concentration of the Ukrainian offensive in the area

The orc flees from Ukraine's 37th Marine Brigade in #Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Не намагайся, не втечеш,
Цей вогонь не знає меж.
-Grandma's Smuzi, "Сонце"

Russia lost a staggering 15,000 troops killed or wounded (perhaps 12 brigades) in the first five days of Ukraine's small-scale counteroffensive probing assaults starting June 4, according to calculations based on Ukrainian reports of Russian losses and estimates of Russia's… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

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More from @ArmedMaidan

Jun 7
"Timed exactly to disrupt the Ukrainian counteroffensive, there is no doubt that the culprit is Russia": Dnipro River Foundation director

Despite "overwhelming" evidence Russia destroyed the Nova Kakhovka dam, unleashing a Chornobyl-scale ecological catastrophe, the Western… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
"The dam was destroyed from the center, which some experts say rules out a dam failure as the damage would start from the edges of the dam in such a scenario. Destruction of the dam from explosives would require the use of hundreds of pounds of explosives and would best be done… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Nearly 100 communities under water

17,000 arleady evacuated

Over 40,000 at risk of being flooded

"More and more water is coming every hour"

bbc.com/news/world-eur…

#Kakhovka #NovaKakhovka #Ukraine #UkraineRussianWar #UkraineCounteroffensive
Read 9 tweets
May 17
200,000 Russian troops have died for Putin in Ukraine, Ukraine's military now estimates

That suggests another 600,000 Russian soldiers have likely been wounded, based on Western and Ukrainian estimates of a 3:1 wounded-to-killed rate

#Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar️ #Russia /1 Image
That's 800,000 casualties out of about 900,000 Russian troops in the initial invasion and recruited since.

Keep in mind most wounded eventually return to combat. Based on data from this and past wars, about half of Russian wounded have likely returned to combat after med care /2
The data suggests over 53% of those 900,000 troops are out of action (killed, disabled, recovering, missing or captured)

A common rule of thumb is that a military force losing over 50% of its troops is considered combat ineffective and needs to be withrawn to be reconstituted /3
Read 4 tweets
Mar 26
Over 50% of Putin's army may now be KO'ed: my new Kyiv Post story

With >660K possible casualties, Moscow's disintegrating army may have just hit a desperate new milestone: It’s officially combat ineffective

kyivpost.com/post/14881

#Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineRussianWar
Of ∼800,000 initial Russian invasion force and troops added later, Ukraine estimated 166,570 were killed as of 3/21

Based on Western estimates of a 3-to-1 wounded-to-killed ratio for Russian losses in the war, that means ∼500,000 wounded, for a total of ∼666,000 casualties /2
Of the Russian wounded, based on calculations using data from previous wars and reports from the current war, I estimate 250,000 have returned to battle, 150,000 still getting medical care and 100,000 are permanently out of action 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 24, 2022
Arms surge will reach front by August, when war turning point expected: Budanov

"Now we are catastrophically short of heavy weapons"

"Active" war will be over by year end w/Ukraine reclaiming all territory

pravda.com.ua/articles/2022/…

#StandWithUkraine #Ukraine #UkraineWar #Russia
Q: Does [Putin] really have cancer?
A: Yes, we fully confirm this information. He has several serious illnesses, one of which is cancer.

But it is not worth hoping that Putin will die tomorrow. He has at least a few more years. Like it or not, it's true.
Budanov: Look at the history of any dictator of the XX-XXI century. They ended the same, absolutely all. None of them ended differently. In most cases, they died against their will... Putin will end the same way.
Read 5 tweets
May 23, 2022
"Never have I been so ashamed of my country as on February 24 of this year": 20-yr vet Russian diplomat in Geneva resigns over war

"Crime against the Ukrainian people"

edition.cnn.com/europe/live-ne…

#StandWithUkraine #UkraineRussiaWar #Russia #RussianWarCrimes #GenocideOfUkrainians
"Also, perhaps, the most serious crime against the people of Russia, with a bold letter Z crossing out all hopes and prospects for a prosperous free society in our country"
"Those who conceived this war want only one thing - to remain in power forever, live in pompous tasteless palaces, sail on yachts comparable in tonnage and cost to the entire Russian Navy, enjoying unlimited power and complete impunity"
Read 4 tweets
May 21, 2022
"In 1.5 or 2 months Ukraine will launch "large-scale counteroffensive," "we will see a turning point in the situation not in favor of Russia": CIT

"Demand for this in society is very strong"

meduza.io/feature/2022/0…

#StandWithUkraine #Ukraine #Russia #UkraineWar
Most combat-ready Russian "badly battered, there are losses in equipment, there are fewer tanks. The missiles have almost run out"

"In Ukraine, on the contrary, the weapons are getting better and better, more and more soldiers are appearing"
"All the same problems remain" with Russian use of unsecured communications

"A lot of inoperable equipment, they still use open civilian frequencies and Chinese walkie-talkies that do not encrypt communications"
Read 4 tweets

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