He was appointed in November. Gave no press conferences, updates. We had no video, and a handful of old photos. He seemed to be working like a ninja. BUT really REALLY powerful news items kept dropping. He seemed to be INCREDIBLY SCARY... and ruthlessly efficient
We had not even heard his voice. And with the decades long history of Trump cheating justice, many were alarmed that perhaps Trump will again avoid consequences
In his indicting document we see first. That EVERY item we knew about (relating to Walt Nauta moving secret docs to Bedminster & the Bobblehead lying to FBI) was in this document, but so thoroughly proven with evidence - and INFORMANTS
As a forecaster, probably one of most difficult things to forecast would be the flip of a witness. It is in that witness's best interest - as well as the interest of the prosecution - to hide that the witness has been flipped. How's your T Dawg doing?
I am not someone who just lists something fantastical for every conceivable name, & hoping one of them happens, then says 'told you so'
There are 'forecasters' who do that
I've talked about Trump attorneys flipping. I never said John Eastman, Sidney Powell or Joe Taco flipped
BUT I did say Bobblehead had flipped, and I identified the time when Bobb did, on Oct 1 2022
Now Jack Smith's Indictment identifies "Attorney 3" as cooperating witness (= has flipped). Attorney 3 is Christina Bobb
Now that Jack Smith indictment is out, we can update our count of Trump prison time
Manhattan had 34 counts, 136 maximum prison time
Espionage-A-Lago added 37 counts, 400 years more at max prison time
What is LIKELY prison time & what MORE coming?
Prison Time Thread 2/
Trump faces 58 criminal trials. So far first 2 of the 58 indictments (Manhattan and Jack Smith/Florida). Georgia will be third of 58, in two months
The prison time of Florida (Federal, Jack Smith) cannot run concurrently with NY state crimes (Manhattan)
Prison Time Thread 3/
But it is highly unlikely that Manhattan gives Trump anything near 136 years. I see it as two SETS of crimes. Those SETS will run 'consecutively' ie one after the other. but the crimes INSIDE a set probably will run 'concurrently' at the same time
After the partying, drinking and dancing... now we start with the analysis
WOW what an indictment
A sitting US President committed deliberate espionage against the USA
WOW. We knew it happened, but now it has been said by DOJ in legal court documents
WOW. Trump has not yet...
Trump has not yet even been charged with the THEFT of 337 classified documents, while President. That involved Mark Meadows who has flipped. But Jack Smith told us in his indictment, he knows Trump commmitted that crime and Jack has the evidence too.
THIS TRIAL IS ABOUT HIDING
Jack Smith's first Espionage criminal indictment of Trump is ONLY about Trump behavior in summer of 2022, when Trump tried to HIDE stolen government secrets, from the FBI. 31 documents (of 337 stolen). 37 criminal counts. 400 years of prison time.
I have been telling you that there are 57 criminal trials of Trump to come (Manhattan first indictment, now Jack Smith Mar-A-Lago is second of 57)
That changed yesterday, up by 1 to 58 total. There will be a SECOND Espionage-a-Lago criminal case too
So Jack Smith's Espionage case against Trump now involved 31 stolen documents out of 337. And of at least a dozen who conspired with Trump, only 1 - Walt Nauta - was charged. The LARGER part of this crime is still to come. Is part with Mark Meadows testifying against Trump. So 58
Remember Jack Smith's BIG case is not espionage. The largest crime in FBI history is Jan 6th (with over a thousand perps, and over 100 Trumpomobsters, including at least 12 in Congress (11 in House, 1 in Senate) going to prison
So WHY did Jack Smith not charge Trump on all 337 stolen government secrets? Because Jack Smith wants a QUICK VERDICT to toss that sick traitor ass in prison. On the smallest possible conspiracy (2) with Walt Nauta MOVING these documents to NJ
Jack will charge ALL 337 documents
So there will be another Jack Smith espionage trial on the rest of the stolen documents, 337 - 31 = 306 documents?
Not so fast, grasshopper. The second conspiracy - with Mark Meadows - was to STEAL the documents. ALL 337, including these 31 that Walt moved