🚨 @pmdfoster's #brexit newsletter this week is focussed on this excellent @resfoundation report stating that " that the UK’s initial post-Brexit trade plan has run out road and must be replaced with a far more ambitious twin-track trade strategy " ../1
"that protects high-value manufacturing while seeking out new markets for our world-leading services sector." That means a defensive approach on goods that protects high value added manufacturing firms struggling to retain their place in European supply chains. " /2
The report recommends "revisiting our relationship with the EU ideally delivering a ‘UK Protocol’, building on the agreement for Northern Ireland, that will mean a frictionless flow for goods trade between the UK and EU. This could boost our GDP by 1 to 2 per cent". /3.
1) First and most importantly, the UK cannot simply re-join the EU – there is no specific “easier” pathway for a country that has left the EU to re-join. Under EU law the UK is now a third country so would have to reapply and undergo the whole accession procedure from scratch.
2) Well second key point: getting the required public support in the UK and strong cross-party support for commencing a rejoin EU campaign is the absolutely most difficult part. If the UK can get there, the rest is complicated but probably feasible.
'Number of Britons working in EU travel sector down more than two-thirds since brexit'. New piece by @pmdfoster shows that the cost for obtaining visas, permits & paperwork after #brexit has led to a sharp reduction in opportunities for young Britons. ft.com/content/f930a3… 👇👇
"The industry is urging the government to agree to a Youth Mobility Scheme with the EU, similar to that which the UK has with countries such as Australia, Canada and New Zealand that allows 18 to 30-year-olds to live and work in the UK for up to two year." h/t @ABTAtravel
Peter's article is based on important research and surveys from @ABTAtravel and @SBIT_UK .
🚨"UK failure to create post-Brexit chemical regulations risks ‘irreparable damage". New important but grim #brexitreality story by @pmdfoster on the (failed) attempts by UKG to create an affordable post-Brexit regulatory regime for the chem industry. 🧵 ft.com/content/2d58ee…
1) "After Brexit, the UK quit the EU’s Reach chemical management system but has delayed the introduction of its own arrangements after a government impact assessment discovered it would cost the industry a [staggering] £2bn to duplicate the safety data already held in Brussels."
2) "However, attempts to broker a deal with industry to reduce the cost of re-registering 22,400 chemicals with a copycat UK “Reach” system run by the government’s Health and Safety Executive are failing to bear fruit".
🔥🔥 @StefaanDeRynck suggested at some point to organise a #brexit book festival. Here is a list of books which I think should make the festival (including forthcoming books) commencing with the oldest title: 🧵
1) @tconnellyRTE already wrote in 2017 on how Brexit represented the single greatest economic and foreign-policy challenge to the Irish state since the Second World War: amazon.co.uk/Brexit-Ireland…
2) @anandMenon1 and Geoffrey Evans also in 2017 suggested rightly in hindsight that Brexit has changed everything - from our government, to our economy and principal trading relationship, to the organization of our state. amazon.com/Brexit-British…
1) 1) Realistically, and I think Gideon recognises this, there needs to be some type of common cross-party political leadership seriously advancing rejoin and a new referendum. This is perhaps the largest obstacle and is perhaps understated in the article.
2) It is not thus sufficient that the general public is swayed as indicated by recent polls but UK politicians also need to board. Over time, yes, it is likely they will when support for rejoin (by the younger generation) becomes even stronger. But it will take time.
Essential report by @tconnellyRTE of latest developments in the NI Protocol negotiations. Agreement seems to be secure between EU and UK on the Red and Green Lane which is very promising despite the threat of potential leaks . @jude_webber@BelfastAgmt
Outstanding issues are nonetheless politically significant. Unsurprisingly it seems that EU Com would never agree to surrender CJEU jurisdiction for the NI Protocol.
Furthermore, there is no clarity in whether and if so how Sunak has managed to get DUP and Brexit hardliners onboard for the deal with the EU.