First point: Dodds is adamant there must be an 'all-UK solution' - so he threatens to bring down Govt if Northern Ireland gets left *on its own* in the Customs Union, while UK is free to diverge. BUT he doesn't totally rule all of UK staying in customs union. /2
Dodds's forceful articulation of DUP red line appears to close off one of the obvious areas of 'give' in the Customs Union conundrum - increased checks on goods between UK mainland and Northern Ireland. Unless someone calls DUP bluff. /3
a) Someone made a mistake - & didn't think something through
b) Someone was just not very clever - or not very good at their job
c) The outcomes of X couldn't have been predicted
d) The outcomes of Y were not predicted bc they were thought so insignificant or unlikely.
Any of the above is a denigration. It makes the assumption that the person responsible was not capable, or intelligent. By doing this you under-estimate willful intention.
It says at the same time that devolved powers will be preserved except the role of Brussels being transferred to Westminster (which sounds reasonable), but at the same time that Westminster wants to apply a common UK-wide policies.
"Common UK-wide policies" basically means Westminster will dictate the policies, which contradicts that the devolved powers will be able to control their implementation - unlike now where the EU defines the policy and the devolved assemblies implement them as appropriate.
1/ A small thread on why BOTH many Remainers & Leavers still havent "got" that #Brexit has already failed...
....even if it goes ahead.
& why its often "media noise" rather than "actual lies" is obscuring this & the fact that Brexit wont happen as we thought it would 2 years ago.
2/ Basic Leave idea pre #Brexit vote was that a prosperous UK with large trade deficit eager to retain many European standards wld not really offer a threat to EU was not completely implausible as many remainers assumed.
But it depended on....
3/ Basic #Brexit idea was to convince EU that with a bit of compromise & British payments UK cld leave single mkt but retain full access to it while it worked out its future. Indeed many sensible Leavers didnt want radical change overnight..however there was one small problem....
1/ The UK, like all other EU member states, currently is part of the common EU VAT area. While the EU does not prescribe exact VAT rates, it put in place certain guidelines, e.g. a minimum standard rate of 15%, or limits on granting of reduced rates and exemptions.
2/ Leaving the EU presumably means leaving its VAT area (Monaco currently only non-EU state that is a member). This would have a range of serious implications, both positive and negative.
(Though some trade experts expect EU would offer UK continued membership, if asked.)
The Tory's control more than half of councils, nearly double Labour. Losing control of even half of them is unrealistic, and even if it happened under fixed term government I can all but guarantee it won't result in a General Election.
A Prime Minister calls a GE under two circumstances: 1) They are miles ahead in the polls and think they can increase their majority (as in 2017) 2) They have suffered a humiliating defeat or scandal.
A brief thread about the big lie told to working class voters.
There has always been a strong latent undercurrent of racism in U.K. I grew up in a working class family where the gags of Davidson & Manning about black & Indian stereotypes were accepted.
Other races were regarded in that community as inferior. Sometimes tolerated, IF they behaved like us, even welcomed, but never on an equal footing. You still hear it in pubs and football terraces, it never went away.
For me, it was Tony Blair who finally excised the racist DNA I carried. For years, I exaggerated my “Toryness” - the party I had adopted against all family tradition because it stood for getting ahead. I barked about the EU, with its feeble minded “foreign” thinking.
Commonwealth Summit is underway but do you know the real reason behind this summit? Yes its the Queen's birthday but do you know member nations have been summoned there for a secret meeting at Windsor Castle? Why is this being kept hidden from Indians? gginews.in/indians-ashame…
#Brexit has plunged Britain into chaos so a re-branding of Commonwealth is in progress. Do you know a very special role has been designated for India in this Empire 2.0 as Jewel in Commonwealth which even certain Indian experts are propagating? gginews.in/indians-ashame…
There is no reason Commonwealth should exist unless it is to perpetuate same colonial legacy that plundered half the world and specifically Sone ki Chidiya – India. Do Indians not remember history of your ancestors who gave their lives for your future? gginews.in/indians-ashame…
The border as battleground:
"The Irish border thus remains the key battleground in the war of attrition that is the UK-EU Brexit talks."
This has the effect of asserting that if UK moves on red lines here it loses the Brexit war.
Thus raising the stakes & raising tensions.
It blames the change of Taoiseach from Kenny to Varadkar for "hard stance from the Irish govt that has soured UK-Irish relations".
It sees Irish intentions as barely disguised irredentism.
Yet lays all responsibility for progress on Irish govt accepting "practical solutions".
Theresa May has met Caribbean leaders to talk about the treatment of the #windrushgeneration. Yesterday Downing Street refused such a meeting. But she’s changed her mind.
The Daily Mail thinks that was because it told her to. It may well be right.
The Mail has clout. It can change things for the better when it puts its mind to it. This could be described as good #journalism.
But good journalism (imho) also requires giving the reader the full story, not just the convenient bits.
Today’s paper includes a ragout from its Saturday essay, headlined “What an outrage!” (You may have missed it or not realised what it was about – that could be the heading on almost any Saturday essay).
It's a PROCESS. Not an end product. You don't do it just the once. Remainers/leavers who insist we should respect the vote are either not aware of the threat democracy is currently under or they don't understand the concept of democracy.
"You don't get to keep voting until you get what you want". Well actually that IS kinda the point. You want your vote to count. And you want your values and policies to be realised.
I've seen a few tweets recently from #AntiBrexit campaigners feeling a little on the down side... A little fatigued and weary of this big battle we are fighting. #FBPE#ABTV
I have been feeling it too. First of all I want to say very emphatically that it's OK to feel this way. Any feelings about being one of ca 20m people sidelined, abused, denied and rejected are totally valid. #FBPE#ABTV
This is an important point. We're not just "moaning". We have been systematically marginalised and silenced. It's no small thing. #ABTV#FBPE
One of the first tangible benefits of #Brexit I've seen is the emerging reform of @DFID_UK where it is becoming more of an arm of trade policy than a state owned humanitarian NGO. I would like that to go much further and rethink trade.
2. I do not think we should be wasting too much effort on free trade deals largely because they are of questionable value and encourage inefficient value chains. Any work on tariffs should really be reserved for multilateral activity.
3. Instead we need DfID as the spearhead of our trade policy. There is no reason why we cannot pursue humanitarian goals and enhance our trade while we are at it. For a start we can do a lot with medicines and pharmacy products.
At N°9 in the Brit EU-#FakeNews Hit Parade: The Daily Telegraph, which is now almost as bad as red-tops for fake news when it comes to the EU, claimed the EU wanted to ban that most famous of British icons, the doubled-decker bus.
Attended a stimulanting international seminar at @TheCelticManor this week, organised by @LSWalesCDdCymru@cardiffmet & @HodgeBank on regional economic development with thinkers from Harvard, Oxford, the Sorbonne among others. Here are some of the things that I learned...
#Brexit was the revenge of places that do not matter, @john_tomaney argued. 87% of the growth the UK has seen has taken place in London and the S.E - Britain has the largest range of regional disparities in he EU.
Structures to support economic development in England dismantled in 2010 with focus instead on localism and ‘deal-based’ devolution creating a strategic vacuum. Planning out of fashion because of orthodox view that not much works so better to leave to market
1) Corbyn's Authoritarian Labour
Corbyn has quickly fired multiple frontbenchers in the name of collective responsibility, whenever they said "leaving the SM may not be such a great idea"
This despite him being one of the greatest rebels in the history of Labour
2) just before Gardiner dismissed the GFA as an outdated relic which was being overplayed, Owen Smith was fired for suggesting a #FinalSay on #Brexit would be a good idea.
Owen Smith was open about his comments.
Barry Gardiner was not.
3) firstly, he directed critics to his formal speech, in an attempt to direct people away from his comments following the speech, in which he twice refers to the GFA as an outdated relic ("shibboleth") which was being overplayed.
1/ Today's devolved #NHS is a complex federation of tens of 000s of orgs employing some 1.7m workers. It's combined annual budget is just shy of £150bn. It handles, overwhelmingly successfully, almost a million patients daily.
With each box maybe 000s of orgs, & England only:
2/ Unresolved public health issues & a fast-expanding multi-morbid elderly population, coupled with chronic underfunding & the blowback from the butchery of social care since 2010 means the #NHS is pressured as never before.
1/ The government and senior Tories speak of the "Will of the People", not the will of the majority (though even that would be pushing the truth). And who then are political opponents?
2/ The Daily Mail makes it clear who the opponents of the "Will of the People" are. They are the "enemies of the people". And with that the floodgates are opened to a tide of hate directed against opponents of #Brexit, saboteurs, plotters, mutineers etc.
3/ And that hate is presented as legitimate because we Remainers are opposing the "democratic will of the people". So our democratic right to oppose is being portrayed as an anti-democratic attempt to overthrow the will of the people.