Soldiers and trucks.
Most trucks are likely troop transport trucks.
Each truck can carry at least 30 soldiers.
Soldiers are in the trucks and near/in the wooded edge at the right.
4/X
The strikes:
Two different explosions.
We asked some experts what they think this is:
Based on the fact that you see an explosion above the treeline and that it is very precise they think these are HIMARS strike with Tungsten rounds.
5/X
More information:
"M30A1 lies in a huge number of tungsten BBs arranged around an explosive core – about 182,000 of them."
Based on the angle in the video of the explosion from a distance, and the remnants from the explosion visible on the ground(red), at least one of the impacts was near the vehicles.
8/X
Was this the strike the Pro-Russian sources were talking about?
"Russian Telegram channels are saying that a Russian unit was struck by HIMARS this morning on the Kreminna front with ~100 KIA and ~100 WIA. They were reportedly waiting near the front for a speech from a commander for hours."
"hundreds":
based on the amount of troop transport trucks and other vehicles that are visible on the footage: ✅
12/X
"hundreds of casualties"
2 strikes: one near the trucks(behind the treeline) and one more to the right in the forest.
Soldiers waiting for hours will be waiting in the shadow in the forest or will be waiting in the trucks.
13/X
In the last frames of the video you see Russian evacuating a soldier all the way on the other side of were the strikes occurred. So if those soldiers, that far, were impacted by the tungsten rounds, the vehicles and the soldiers under the explosion had no chance.
14/X
Conclusion:
Based on this analysis and the "pro-Russian" complaints:
This could be indeed one of the deadliest strikes since 24 FEB 2022, resulting in the dead of 100+ Russian soldiers while they were waiting for a speech for hours, 10km from the frontline.
15/X
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Thread of 'Kursk' related geolocations.
New ones will be added at the end.
It seems they aimed to demonstrate that, even a year after Russian separatists conducted an incursion from Ukraine into Russia, Russia still struggles to adequately protect its borders.
A Russian drone targets Ukrainian armored vehicles (Humvees), with a new tactical sign, and infantry, with at least three dropped explosives, in Basivka, Sumy region.
Disinformation from @jacksonhinklle regarding the Venezuela protests has escalated, as he accuses others, including @elonmusk and @visegrad24, of spreading disinformation without any substantiation.
Moreover, geolocation analysis confirms that the images in question are recent, Jackson is wrong, and we will provide evidence for this, also based on GeoLocation.
Always remember: Jackson Hinkle is known as one of the most significant sources of disinformation on X/Twitter.
The claims by @jacksonhinklle:
Elon his retweet:
Important to notice: its about ONE specific video.
In his reaction Jackson added two other video's... The third video he added is also recent. We didn't looked into the second video because that one is not relevant for his claim.
POV Specific video: 10.496848, -66.844982
POV Jackson his third video: 10.496964, -66.844389
Please be cautious when sharing information about the assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump. A lot of misinformation and disinformation is circulating regarding this incident.
GeoLocations:
Estimated location of the shooter: 40.858273, -79.970548
Estimated location of Trump: 40.857139, -79.970870
Estimated location of casualties: 40.856939, -79.970926
Estimated location of crane that is hit: 40.856831, -79.971197
Estimated location of this sniper detachment: 40.857092, -79.970372
An example of widely spread misinformation:
In this video you DON'T see the snipers engaging. The three shots are assessed to be from the shooter. What does not mean this team hasn't engaged the shooter at a later time, it's only not visible in the video claiming they did.
We asked experts and fact checkers their opinion:
Always focus on what you DO see and DO hear in a video.
Observations:
After the first shot Trump is reaching for his ear. Almost the same time Sniper One (With the tripod) is repositioning/taking cover. Also Sniper Two is taking cover. A sniper will not immediately shoot after repositioning: it takes a few seconds to zoom in, adjust scope etc.
Three shots are heard with the same specific sound, all three assessed to be from the shooter.
Another video (Vid 01) emerged where bystanders identify the threat before he starts shooting. At 0:03 you hear three shots. At 0:07 you hear 5 more shots in a fast pace but with the same sound as the first three. Followed with what is assessed as another different type of gun shot.
At 0:16 a witness is describing the shooter to be turning in their direction.
At 0:19 another single different sound what is also assessed as another different type of gunshot, is heard.
In Vid 02 you hear them also identifying the shooter and the same sequence of shots is heard.
In Vid 03 you see the location of casualties.
In Vid 04 you see that a crane is hit (at 0:16) near the location where casualties where reported.
In Vid 05 you see the Sniper Team is still repositioning a fraction before the next 5 shots are heard. Sniper One is still looking over his rifle to assess threat location.
So these are observations.
We asked experts for their opinion what we see here. And the thread written by @LtTimMcMillan seems to be accurate. (Vid 06)
Opinion:
1. Snipers are tasked for very far engagements. The shooter was 125m away. It is very likely the was not in their area of responsibility.
2. Snipers that are using their scope have a narrow field of view. You see that Sniper One is using his scope, probably screening far away/in depth. When trying to identify the treat he had to look over his scope and reposition his rifle, because the treat is likely way closer than expected.
This also means that its impossible to state that this specific detachment failed just based on the footage.
You need to know and understand how they work, what their area of responsibility was, and what the communication was they got, etc...
Read the whole thread by @LtTimMcMillan:
In times like this its advised to follow accounts like @Shayan86 and other fact checkers.
Other examples:
"Major blue-tick accounts are falsely claiming that "Antifa extremist Mark Violets" was the shooter at a Trump rally in Pennsylvania today, who earlier revealed his plan in a YouTube video. The video shows Italian football fan Marco Violi, who has nothing to do with the shooting."
An X user claiming they got the wrong guy.
and lots of other claims.
Conclusion:
Stick to what you hear, see, and know.
Recognize that you may not possess the knowledge to comprehend everything, and it's more beneficial to identify experts and read/listen to their insights on topics beyond your expertise.
Ultimately, a thorough investigation will be necessary to understand what is as close to the truth as possible.
Be mindful of misinformation and disinformation, particularly in these times. The rise of engagement farming has exacerbated this threat to a significant degree.
Last night, Ukraine conducted one of its largest drone attacks in the history of this war.
According to various reports, Ukraine used up to 80 drones, identified as 'Liutyi' one-way attack long-range unmanned aircraft, to strike different targets in Novorossiysk, Russia (approximately 350km from the nearest frontline) and the refinery in Tuapse, Russia (approximately 450km from the nearest frontline).
During the attack, which lasted for hours, dozens of drones followed sometimes the same trajectory, without being intercepted by Russian Air Defense, to strike targets inside Russia.
The targeting of Novorossiysk is particularly significant from a strategic perspective because this is the harbor where various ships of the Black Sea fleet have withdrawn to after the strikes on Sevastopol.
Thread with all the geolocated footage.
1/X
At night: Russian AD working in Novorossiysk, first explosions reported.
It has come to our attention that our previous investigation thread did not achieve the desired outcome. For this reason, we have conducted further research and wish to clarify some important points:
Although we had intended to demonstrate that the site was not a new mass grave for 180 individuals recently killed by the IDF, as had been insinuated, we underestimated how our initial thread was subsequently used. We did not provide sufficient context, and we now aim to rectify that.
The fact that Palestinians had to bury their loved ones within the hospital complex, in any available space, is a direct consequence of the surrounding and occupation of the hospital by IDF forces. A significant number of the deaths are also the result of the ongoing conflict.
We want to emphasize that open-source intelligence (OSINT) cannot fully capture the extent of what occurred on the hospital grounds.
After our initial investigation, additional questions arose, prompting us to delve deeper into this matter.
Our first thread:
Our temporary update:
We have been able to geolocate dozens of videos.
To make this information more accessible and easier to follow, we have named the three cemeteries based on their respective locations:
Cemetery South
This cemetery is located south of the road, under the palm trees.
Cemetery North
This cemetery is situated north of the road.
Cemetery East
This cemetery is located in the corner of the area.
By naming the cemeteries according to their geographic locations, we aim to provide a more organised and readable presentation of the findings. This approach eliminates the need to include geolocation proof for every individual video, making the information more concise and easier to comprehend.
We will publish our findings in a timely manner to encourage further thought, discussions and investigations on these matters.
This will be a long thread.
The translations were done by using Google translate and Google image translator.
Special thanks to @MiddleEastBuka, @TwistyCB and @GeoRaccoon for their work. Thanks to specific people from outside the GeoConfirmed network for the advice given.
[Every blue pin is a geolocated video between 22 January and now]
One of the earliest reports we found described the dire situation faced by Palestinians during the ongoing siege, where they were forced to bury their dead inside hospital grounds due to the siege of the hospital by IDF.
Source:
"A number of martyrs were buried within the walls of Nasser Hospital due to the occupation’s siege of the hospital, and the martyrs’ families were unable to bury them in the cemeteries."