Daryl G Kimball Profile picture
Jun 19 8 tweets 7 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The @JoeBiden admin is still discussing a deal w/#KSA and Israel to normalize their relations that might involve U.S./intl cooperation for dual-use nuclear tech transfers to the Saudis, who have nuclear energy AND nuclear weapons ambitions. Some reminders and a warning. #NPT 1/
@JoeBiden As @nytimes reported in April (nytimes.com/2023/04/01/us/… ) Biden admin “is committed to supporting Saudi Arabia’s ... efforts to develop a peaceful nuclear energy program” which requires “highest intl standards on safety, nonproliferation, export controls and physical security.” 2/
@JoeBiden @nytimes Those intl. nonpro. standards are set by the Nuclear Suppliers Group and terms of U.S. nuclear cooperation is set by Sec. 123 of the Atomic Energy Act. In 2011, in the aftermath of the U.S.-led exemption for India, the NSG tightened its guidelines. See armscontrol.org/pressroom/2011… 3/
@JoeBiden @nytimes The U.S. has been engaged in talks w/#KSA on a formal deal on civil n-cooperation since 2012 but the Saudis are stubbornly resisting basic nonpro. standards, incl. an additional protocol w/the IAEA for tighter monitoring and assurances on uranium enrichment and reprocessing. 4/
@JoeBiden @nytimes The Saudis are threatening they might go to other suppliers (RoK, France, China, Russia) if U.S. does not acquiesce but all of these states are obligated to meet the NSG guidelines too. Failure to uphold these basic standards would be foolish & further threaten nonpro system. 3/
@JoeBiden @nytimes It is also important to recall that the tougher NSG guidelines ( nuclearsuppliersgroup.org/en/nsg-documen…) were the price of House Congressional support for allowing a vote on the controversial (and disastrous) U.S.-India nuclear cooperation deal, a deal that then-Sen. Joe Biden agreed to. 4/
@JoeBiden @nytimes As condition for a vote on the India deal, in 2008 HFAC Chair Berman (D-Calif.) extracted a promise from Bush admin to move quickly to ensure an NSG decision to strengthen its guidelines regarding the transfer of enrichment and reprocessing tech. See armscontrol.org/act/2010-07/us… 5/
@JoeBiden @nytimes If @POTUS fails to uphold the basic standards of the NSG in connection w/a deal for nuclear coop. w/#KSA, Mr. Biden will have erred twice regarding such agreements and will have undermined the nonpro. system. There would be stiff resistance from the Hill, allies, and ACA. end/

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More from @DarylGKimball

Apr 1
Talk abt deployment of Russian strategic nuclear weapons in Belarus is absurd and editors at @CNN need to get their facts straight abt nuclear weapons: "Lukashenko says Putin could deploy more powerful Russian nuclear weapons in Belarus" cnn.com/2023/03/31/eur… Some thoughts 1/
@CNN "Strategic" nuclear weapons are long-range weapons, designed to hit targets across the globe. Deploying Russian strategic nuclear delivery systems in Belarus would provide no value to Russia and would not "protect" Belarus, only make it a target in a way it currently is not. 2/
@CNN .@CNN incorrectly says "tactical warheads are designed for use in a limited battlefield, for example to destroy a command post or a column of tanks, strategic n-warheads are designed to destroy entire cities." TNWs are for short-range delivery; they can destroy cities too. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Oct 6, 2022
Appalling, arrogant, irresponsible behavior by major nuclear-armed states (U.S., Britain, Russia, India, and China) who are questioning Pacific island nations' call for nuclear legacy help at UN Human Rights Council. See: reuters.com/world/major-un… cc @USUN @UnderSecT #nuclearban 1/
@USUN @UnderSecT From 1946 to 1958, the United States government tested 67 high-yield nuclear weapons in the atmosphere and under water in the Marshall Islands. This reckless and dangerous series of nuclear detonations caused incalculable harm to the land and people of the Marshall Islands. 2/
@USUN @UnderSecT As the 2012 report by the UN Special Rapporteur on the impact of the U.S. nuclear testing program on human rights in the Republic of the Marshall Island concluded: “The nuclear testing resulted in both immediate and continuing effects on the human rights of the Marshallese..." 3/
Read 8 tweets
May 7, 2022
Let's get real Anatoly #Antonov @RusEmbUSA It is @KremlinRussia_E who has issued threats of nuclear weapons use and started a war that raises the risk of nuclear annihilation. Russia cannot have it both ways and claim to be a "responsible" nuclear actor when it is clearly not. 1/
@RusEmbUSA @KremlinRussia_E It is #Putin who has issued nuclear threats to shield Russia's aggression against a nonnuclear, democratic, independent state, raised the alert levels of Russian forces, overseen an ICBM flight tests, and authorized Russian state TV to air simulations of attacks on Europe. 2/
@RusEmbUSA @KremlinRussia_E Fortunately, and so far, Biden and NATO have not matched Russia's nuclear taunts and have taken the threats seriously and have made it clear they do not want U.S. and NATO forces involved in the conflict in Ukraine, but will act to help Ukraine defend its people and territory. 3/
Read 8 tweets
May 5, 2022
Surprise! Misinfo from @SenTedCruz on benefits of restoring 2015 #IranDeal Yes, the admin. has an assessment, which finds there ARE significant benefits, namely increasing time it would take Iran to produce an SQ of fissile material from 2 wks today to approx. 9 mnths. 1/
@SenTedCruz In addition, restoring compliance with JCPOA would ensure enhanced IAEA inspections, which are essential to provide early warning in the event Iran tries to evade the JCPOA restrictions or violate its safeguards obligations. 2/
@SenTedCruz Trump's decision to exit JCPOA in 2018 not only failed to produce the promised results; it opened the way for Iran to take steps breach the JCPOA’s nuclear limits and accelerate its capacity to produce bomb-grade nuclear material. Pursuing the same failed strategy is lunacy. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Jul 9, 2020
Nuclear arms control is a serious business that requires serious ideas and serious diplomacy. Unfortunately @USArmsControl continues to demonstrate that @realDonaldTrump is unserious and lacks a real arms control strategy. Some comments 1/
@USArmsControl @realDonaldTrump First, it should be noted that China’s position has not changed even if Team Trump wants to say it is shifting regarding talks on things nuclear. What @FuCong17 said on July 7 is nearly identical to what China MFA said March 6 fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/xwfw_6… 2/
@USArmsControl @realDonaldTrump @FuCong17 Unfortunately, U.S. officials and Chinese officials are talking past one another. Rather than use existing P5 format for engage in necessary discussions on strategic stability and nuclear arms control, U.S. officials continue to insist on separate trilateral talks w/Russia. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Mar 1, 2020
What to make of Trump's support for Putin's proposal for summit of the leaders of Perm 5 members of the UNSC on n-arms control and security issues? What does this mean for #NewSTART, #NPT, and further action on disarmament? Some background & analysis. 1/
A P5 leaders summit on nuclear weapons is a potentially important development. There hasn't been such a mtg since Sept. 2009 when Obama convened UNSC for Resolution 1887. See armscontrol.org/pressroom/2009… This time around real progress is going to be difficult. Some background ... 2/
its important to note that the P5 heads of state summit idea is not a Trump initiative; the WH is responding to an invitation from President Putin sent to the leaders of the P5 members of the UNSC in late-January. Putin spoke about his concept in a speech a few days earlier. 3/
Read 15 tweets

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