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A very interesting guest commentary by @UmlandAndreas in the @NZZ
The siren songs of the premature peacemakers - anyone who thinks Russia and Ukraine could soon
1/11
#BibisBlog
#RussiaIsATerroristState
#GenocideOfUkrainians
bibisukraineblog.blogspot.com/2023/06/wie-de…
Read more here 👇🏻👇🏻
The siren songs of the premature peacemakers - anyone who thinks Russia and Ukraine could soon
1/11
#BibisBlog
#RussiaIsATerroristState
#GenocideOfUkrainians
bibisukraineblog.blogspot.com/2023/06/wie-de…
Read more here 👇🏻👇🏻
find a compromise is ill-informed
Russia's aggression against Ukraine continues, and calls for a ceasefire between Moscow and Kiev are once again multiplying from "pacifists" or "pragmatists. " They include not only prominent political outsiders from Sahra Wagenknecht
2/11
Russia's aggression against Ukraine continues, and calls for a ceasefire between Moscow and Kiev are once again multiplying from "pacifists" or "pragmatists. " They include not only prominent political outsiders from Sahra Wagenknecht
2/11
on the far left to Donald Trump on the far right.
Established social scientists and political analysts are also pushing for negotiations. They all do not want to acknowledge or discuss some fundamental realities of this war.
The domestic political circumstance, for
3/11
Established social scientists and political analysts are also pushing for negotiations. They all do not want to acknowledge or discuss some fundamental realities of this war.
The domestic political circumstance, for
3/11
example, faced by both Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodimir Selensky seem either unknown or uninteresting to them.
As a result, their calls for a quick settlement between Moscow and Kiev are not useful at all,
4/11
As a result, their calls for a quick settlement between Moscow and Kiev are not useful at all,
4/11
but irresponsible interventions in the debate over how to proceed with the war.
The prospects for a positive outcome of hypothetical peace negotiations between Moscow and Kiev are vanishingly small - at least as long as the current Russian regime remains intact and the
5/11
The prospects for a positive outcome of hypothetical peace negotiations between Moscow and Kiev are vanishingly small - at least as long as the current Russian regime remains intact and the
5/11
military situation on the ground does not fundamentally change.
Statements to this effect - especially when they are repeatedly made and thus amplified in the echo chambers of influential media - raise false expectations about ongoing diplomatic efforts to contain
6/11
Statements to this effect - especially when they are repeatedly made and thus amplified in the echo chambers of influential media - raise false expectations about ongoing diplomatic efforts to contain
6/11
the war.
By stoking hopes for a quickly achievable and lasting negotiated peace, they create discursive impasses in the public debate over current and future Western support for Ukraine.
They also oppose national interests of Western states and principles of
7/11
By stoking hopes for a quickly achievable and lasting negotiated peace, they create discursive impasses in the public debate over current and future Western support for Ukraine.
They also oppose national interests of Western states and principles of
7/11
international law that apply worldwide.
The mirage of an imminent peaceful resolution of the conflict is capable of delaying, reducing or even preventing determined Western assistance to Kyiv.
With the active or passive destruction of the Kakhovka dam, Russia has once
8/11
The mirage of an imminent peaceful resolution of the conflict is capable of delaying, reducing or even preventing determined Western assistance to Kyiv.
With the active or passive destruction of the Kakhovka dam, Russia has once
8/11
again upped the ante. This new war crime is close to the use of a weapon of mass destruction.
An additional protocol to the Geneva Convention of 1949, which came into force in 1977, prohibits attacks on dams, among other things, because of the high risks to the civilian
9/11
An additional protocol to the Geneva Convention of 1949, which came into force in 1977, prohibits attacks on dams, among other things, because of the high risks to the civilian
9/11
population.
Not only the future of agriculture in the affected areas is called into question, but also the supply of fresh water to large parts of Ukraine as well as Crimea.
Once again, it has been shown that the Kremlin is concerned with retaliation and destruction and
10/11
Not only the future of agriculture in the affected areas is called into question, but also the supply of fresh water to large parts of Ukraine as well as Crimea.
Once again, it has been shown that the Kremlin is concerned with retaliation and destruction and
10/11
not at all with the interests of the people in the occupied territories.
Western politicians, scholars, and journalists would do well to keep all these factors in mind before calling for negotiations on border demarcations and touting an impractical "peace for land" deal.
11/11
Western politicians, scholars, and journalists would do well to keep all these factors in mind before calling for negotiations on border demarcations and touting an impractical "peace for land" deal.
11/11
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