1/ The bitter feud between Yevgeny Prigozhin, Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov appears to have originated in Syria, as an interesting personal account by Prigozhin of the February 2018 Battle of Khasham illustrates. ⬇️
2/ The battle took place when Wagner attempted to seize a US-held oil refinery but was summarily wiped out by American air power. It's been discussed before by a Wagner soldier who was in the battle. Prigozhin explains what happened at higher levels.
3/ Prigozhin claims that the refinery was actually held by ISIS, with "Americans in their ranks" helping them. He says that there were periodic exchanges of fire between ISIS and Wagner, who were aiming to block the US/Kurdish advance into ISIS-held south-eastern Syria.
4/ Prigozhin says he proposed to capture the road leading along the Euphrates from Khsham to the Iraqi border. "On 2 February 2018, I discussed this plan with the Chief of General Staff and then with officers on the ground who were involved in the operation."
5/ "The operation to take control of southeast Syria was planned for the night of 7-8 February, with access to the Conoco plant and further along the road up to the border with Iraq. And once the security zone was established, Syrian army units could be launched from the south."
6/ Prigozhin was confident he had ground superiority over the US and ISIS, but he needed the Russian military to provide "air support and flawless air defences" to protect his ground force.
7/ He says "we were promised that two pairs of SU-35 fighters would be on duty at all times, flying in figures of eights over the Euphrates. So that if enemy aircraft came out, they could attack them and prevent them from hitting the moving infantry.
8/ "It was also promised that all means of air defense would be in operation: S-300, Pantsirs [air defence systems] and other available means of air defence and aviation, which at that time the Wagner PMC did not have."
9/ Prigozhin also says that the Russian MOD promised that they would warn Wagner if there was a threat of any "force majeure".
The operation was launched at 18:00 on 7 February, and at 23:45 the Wagner force attempted to storm the "ISIS" (US) positions.
10/ Then, as Prigozhin relates, the US unleashed the full range of its airpower – drones, attack helicopters, gunships and bombers, which devastated the attacking force and inflicted "a large number of dead and wounded". The attack was abandoned.
11/ Prigozhin says, without explaining why it happened, that he subsequently learned that just as the operation was being launched, Gerasimov ordered the Russian military to stand down, ground its aircraft and turn off the air defence systems.
12/ "According to information that I received from the dispatchers, it was ordered not to inform the Wagner PMC about these measures and subsequently not to contact them in any way."
13/ The Americans had seen Wagner begin advancing from 18:00 and had repeatedly challenged the Russian military to stand them down. When the Russian military disowned the Wagnerites, the US counter-attacked in full force. However, Prigozhin says, Wagner was never informed.
14/ "At 18:00, most of the military commanders left their workplace, went on vacation or even, more accurately, fled.
15/ "And when [Wagner tried to find them] after the shelling started, it turned out that some of them had locked themselves in their wagons, while others had changed their overnight location altogether, so that they could not be reached."
16/ "At 03:00 in the morning we finally managed to break into the RF Armed Forces headquarters to speak to the officer on duty.
17/ "There was a single colonel at the desk, who told us that he would try to resolve the issue so that the shelling would stop and the Wagner PMC fighters could remove the bodies of their slain comrades.
18/ "On 9 February I flew urgently to Moscow and tried to get an appointment with Shoigu to find out what really happened. I wanted to find out why all the agreements had fallen apart and why the tragedy of 8 February had occurred.
19/ "The Minister of Defence refused to receive me. I signed up on the 10th, the 11th and so on ad infinitum, but he had no time to talk to me. Then I caught him at a reception in the Kremlin, where I took advantage of my opportunity.
20/ "I approached him with a request: "Can I discuss with you the situation that occurred on 8 February near Deir ez-Zor?" He turned, calmly and arrogantly replied: “You wanted to be a hero? They were heroic. All the heroes are now here in this hall."
21/ "Here he gestured to those around him in expensive suits – "And you are just confused." That was the end of the conversation."
22/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel adds some additional context which also helps to explain the close relationship between Prigozhin and Russian Air Force chief Sergey Surovikin, who according to the Dossier Center was already an honorary Wagner member.
23/ According to a VChK-OGPU source, Prigozhin's plan of attack at Khsham was "actively lobbied for by Commander-in-Chief of the Air Force Surovikin."
24/ "But on 7 February it became known in the General Staff that this plan was a gamble of the Wagner PMC, aimed at obtaining access to the oil field in the interests of the business team of Gennady Timchenko, which by that time already included both Prigozhin and Surovikin.
25/ (Timchenko is an oil billionaire who was the sixth richest man in Russia as of March 2022. A long-time Putin ally, he has been sanctioned over the invasion of Ukraine. He is also reportedly one of the main backers of the Redut mercenary group, which is fighting in Ukraine.)
26/ According to the source, "Gerasimov was furious that the oligarchs were trying to make the armed forces into a servant of their business interests.
27/ "Surovikin's attempts to change Gerasimov's mind were unsuccessful and the only thing that the head of the armed forces was allowed to do was to allocate two planes to take deceased Wagner members to Russia.
28/ "Nevertheless, to this day, for his services in the Syrian campaign of the Russian Armed Forces, Sergey Surovikin receives dividends from the business projects in Syria of the Stroytransgaz joint stock company, controlled by Gennady Timchenko.
29/ "This passive income scheme is operated by Mikhail Khryapov, a friend of the Surovikin family and a member of the Stroytransgaz board of directors." /end
1/ Ryazan has become the latest Russian region to introduce bounties for citizens who find recruits to join the Russian army. The initiative has raised concerns that slaves and vulnerable people will be 'sold' to the army for profit, as has already happened in some cases. ⬇️
2/ The 7x7 news outlet reports that the Ryazan regional authorities have approved the introduction of payments to those who attract people to sign a military contract. Recruitment of a local resident will be rewarded with a bounty of 57,500 rubles ($718).
3/ A resident of another region is worth 344,800 rubles ($4,000) and a foreigner is worth 80,500 ($1,062). Government workers and those who are already employed as military recruiters are excluded from the bounty programme. Contracts must be signed by the end of 2025.
1/ An 'army mafia' has developed within Russia's invasion force in Ukraine, operating with near-impunity to smuggle commodities back into Russia and strip seized industries to sell for personal profit. A Russian commentary highlights the difficulties of tackling it. ⬇️
2/ Russian warblogger Svyatoslav Golikov writes (in carefully elliptical terms) writes of how military crime has developed in occupied Ukraine, following the Russian Army's December 2022 reintroduction of corps and divisions in response to the challenges of the war.
3/ He writes that "a stable symbiosis of local driven entrepreneurs and those same anonymous northerners was formed on the [occupied] territory, providing a very reliable protection [literally 'roof'] for entrepreneurial initiatives, …
1/ With drug use widespread on the Russian front lines, it's not surprising that soldiers are overdosing. In this video, a military medic is providing first aid to a man who has had a drug overdose, prior to sending him to a hospital. ⬇️
2/ There have been many accounts of the scale of drug use in the Russian army – "corruption, drugs, alcohol all around" as one ex-Wagner soldier has put it. At least one in ten Russian soldiers is reported to be using drugs.
3/ Drug use on the front line has been attributed to a variety of factors – boredom, stress from the continuous threat of drone attacks, disillusionment, lack of oversight by absent commanders, ready availability of drugs in the gangster-ridden occupied territories.
1/ Investigations into suspected crimes in the Russian 5th Brigade, including the recent disappearance and possible murder of two officers, are reportedly hampered by an unexpected problem: investigators themselves are disappearing and possibly being murdered. ⬇️
2/ Many accusations have been made against the brigade's senior officers, including "drug trafficking, robberies, looting, extortion, salary theft, trade in fuel and humanitarian aid", following the disappearance of battalion commander Yuri Burakov.
3/ An official investigation is said to have now been opened into Burakov's disappearance after he was summoned to meet his superiors, though previous attempts to investigate the 5th Brigade's affairs have apparently not produced any results. Anastasia Kashevarova writes:
1/ Donald Trump's reasons for his firing of the head of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics are an ominous echo of a notorious concept from Stalinist Russia and Nazi Germany: that of scapegoating individuals or groups as economic "wreckers" or "saboteurs". ⬇️
2/ A common theme in authoritarian societies is that systemic failures, politically inconvenient developments, or simply the desire to suppress dissent and eliminate rivals, are tackled by declaring individual workers and officials to be guilty of economic crimes.
3/ Trump's announcement yesterday that he was sacking BLS head Dr. Erika McEntarfer used language strongly reminiscent of Soviet-era denunciations of "wreckers" and "saboteurs". He claimed without evidence that she "manipulated" and "faked" statistics.
1/ Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine have to supply almost all of their own equipment, including drones, either at their own expense or through volunteer donations. A commentary on the state of logistics in an elite Airborne Forces unit depicts a dire situation. ⬇️
2/ Russian warblogger Svyatoslav Golikov has published an account from an Airborne Forces soldier of the logistical situation in his unit. While he doesn't explain why things are so bad, it's likely a combination of the exhaustion of Soviet-era stocks, bureaucracy and corruption.
3/ "1. Light vehicles - the company has two UAZ "loafs" [UAZ-452] and one UAZ-Patriot. Neither the Ministry of Defence nor the state provided any of the above. They were purchased by the company's personnel at their own expense or received from humanitarian workers.