What happens when voters see Labour politicians talking about climate change?
A short thread on an interesting new experiment I helped @LCEF_UK with - a great new organisation launching today. via @OpiniumResearch 🧵 #ukclimate
Firstly, why we did this: in short because there was a lot of snark from the usual places (‘sources’) on the electoral logic of Labour talking so much about green issues at conference.
We wanted to investigate if this was well founded - or if they are zombie takes.
Methodology: quite cool I think. We did a video RCT test.
We looked at the ‘outcome’ attitudes of those who saw a 60 sec vid of Starmer or Reeves talking climate compared to (a) a group who saw same politician talking about a different issue (b) control group who saw nothing
To start with, 70% of voters think the recent high temperatures are being caused at least in part by climate change.
68% think we should be taking recent high temperatures seriously, with only 24% buying "it's just summer! I remember 1976!"
This % is actually even higher among older voters, and carries across constituencies won and held by the Conservatives in 2019 (incl Red and Blue Walls)
New @Opinium polling shows UK public overwhelmingly fear the costs of inaction on climate change more than the costs of action.
Completely contrary to what a small number of MPs have been arguing recently. #ukclimate
Alternatively you can say that across all demographics - Remain, Leave, young, old - voters worry more about the #costofSteveBaker than they do the #CostOfNetZero …!
More seriously, I do think some SW1 thinking on climate is way behind the public. This is not a polarised culture war issue (at least right now). As with lockdowns, fear of the problem means people are willing to accept some inconvenience.