(Part 2)
Let's talk about what Happened during the first days of the #counteroffensive in the #Verbove and #Robotyne Area in detail
Its split into 2 threads because I can't put over 25 tweets in a thread, this is Part 2
[Thread] 1/
After the failed assault on the eastern side the remaining vehicle relocated to the western side of the treeline
the 46ths convoy hadn't formed up yet
and the 33RD m113s went in alone and got entirely destroyed by artillery 2/
the 46th decided to go in as well after whatever remained from the 33rds convoy got atomized
it was a massacre the vehicles that survived were abandoned
really sad sight to see, all this happened because of disorganization and confusion 3/
the Last convoy is the smallest one its a reinforced armored Plt From the 118th:
4 T72M1s
1 YPR-765
1 MaxxPro
4/
this small convoy didn't achieve much either 2 T72M1s got hit by FPV strikes 1 managed to leave 1 MaxxPro got hit also the lead vehicles( 2 T72M1s 1 YPR) managed to break onto the highway 5/
the ones that escaped pushed up the highway and they met their fate by artillery where the leo2a4 got destroyed 6/
this was not a good start to the counter offensive
there were a lot of mistakes done
lack of AD
lack of EW
lack of artillery support
lack of Aviation Support
lack of Coordination
lack of Organization
etc
a lot of these still stand today
7/
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The first 3 days of the Ukrainian offensive into Kursk oblast, Case study.
I should mention the study is free for anyone on my Substacks and nobody has been asked to give money to me.
There are more details about it in the Thread🧵 lovelylad.substack.com/p/the-ukrainia…
The study took up around 8 months and 130 pages to complete.
10s if not more than 100 Ukrainian soldiers and officers who partook in the operation gave testimonies or agreed to interviews for the study. Other than that 100s of Russian POW interviews were analyzed.
Additionally the study used high res satellite imagery and 1000s of open source videos and images many of which I had to geolocate personally.
In the study many people from the community helped to throw a couple vital names out
A few thoughts about the "2nd Kursk Offensive" analyzing the operation through publicly available sources.
Thread🧵
This operation is obviously inspired by the 1st offensive in August and it tried to recreate its successful breach using similar tactics.
Starting with the deployment of EW jammers near the frontlines to disturb communications with the Russian defensive positions and the employment of certain UAV systems.
The Ukrainian Logistical and Engineering assets, their limitations and capabilities in Kursk
Logistical Analysis
Thread🧵
Logistics are a major factor in all operations and always have an effect in the outcome of an operation.
Certain units have been independently confirmed to be deployed but there are other units that work in the rear that wouldn't get many MIAs but still would most definitely be deployed in support of the Operation.
Why the Russian defense in Kursk Failed.
A talk about Conscripts, Defensive Works, readiness, minefields and more.
Thread🧵
On august 6th two Ukrainian Battalions crossed the border with practically no resistance, where was the Russian defense and what was it doing.
The FSB's Department of the Border Protection office "Suzhda" was in charge of protecting the border in that sector and on paper they had a very good defensive network to work with.
There won't be daily threads anymore, people who are following the situation can get what I provide pretty easily now that most of the chaos is gone but I do have some comments about the last couple days.
Quick Thread🧵
Over the last couple days reinforcements have moved into the Suzhda sector, most units of which have not been identified.
We only know that the subgroup of the 80th air assault is bigger including elements from the 82nd, 80th, 95th and 46th brigades.
The 82nd Brigade itself has been very quite and we believe the 24th Aidar Battalion has taken over most its operations.
Still other units have been spotted with Varta MRAPs, T72AVs, Otokar Cobras, M113s etc
We currently have no idea what they could be.
The 7th day(August 12th) of the Operation
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵
Addressing some ORBAT changes first, we believe the 82nd has not been involved in fighting since Day 5
Instead the 24th Aidar Battalion is believed to have conducted the operation towards Korenevo but for now we'll leave it on the map until further information comes out.
As it's customary we need to start from Martynovka which was secured by the Ukrainians the previous day.
On day 7 the Russian 810th Marine brigade was completely dislodged from the area including the village of Mykhailovka essentially ending the battle for Martynovka.