How the Heritage Foundation became a pro-Russian force.
You may have seen their TV ad that supports cutting off US aid to Ukraine, a major objective of Putin and the only possible way Russia can even get a "draw" out of the war. So let's start with how phony the ad is./1
The aid starts the full 7 yr authorization figure for Ukraine to create a big number that is makes absurd comparisons to Hawaii initital FEMA aid. The annual number is small & declining each yr. It is mostly spent in US, creating jobs to replace & update the donated eqpt./2
Heritage shifted to a claim that the aid is not accounted for. A blatant lie which plays on low information voters' fears and bias. Totally crap and Heritage must know it!/3
The implication is often made by folks suckered by Russian propaganda or paid to promote it that the US weapons are not tracked. Another deliberate lie./4
Underneath this disinformation campaign is their effort to influence the GOP, @RonDeSantis "Playing a quiet but important role in shaping the governor's remarks was the Washington-based Heritage Foundation, America's top conservative think tank."/5 reuters.com/world/us/conse…
"Generra Peck, who would later serve as DeSantis' first campaign manager, thanked the Heritage officials for helping lay the groundwork for the governor's position on the conflict."/6 reuters.com/world/us/conse…
"Last week, the top defense expert at the influential conservative Heritage Foundation think tank left the organization after being blindsided by an op-ed written by the organization’s president, Kevin Roberts" [who has been a DeSantis adviser]./7 foreignpolicy.com/2023/08/24/rep…
The Heritage position raises questions over Roberts judgment, experience and, to me, possibly his loyalties. /8
"Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has tried to frame himself as a China hawk, mostly stayed silent during the back-and-forth on Ukraine, though he did say U.S. aid to Ukraine should be conditioned on European countries doing more to help."
Foreign Policy, supra./9
DeSantis' shift from his earlier Roberts' inspired remarks may reflect either factual, political push- back or both. Most Republicans support aid to Ukraine, as many arguing for more and faster aid than for cutting it./10 idahocapitalsun.com/2023/04/10/not…
Heritage itself seems to be trying to contain the damage, as DeSantis did in the debates, by shifting to a bogus claim that full aid accountability is needed. This, like DeSantis remark, is a false statement designed to appease aid skeptics w/o actually changing any policy./11
I tend to Roberts the benefit of the doubt: that he is merely totally uninformed and inexperienced in foreign policy and mliitary issues. This tenure at Heritage seems to support this conclusion./12
!realclearpolitics.com/articles/2021/…
Before Roberts torpedoed Heritage's conservative credentials, "several days after DeSantis' March comments on Ukraine, his top aides met privately with Heritage President Kevin Roberts and other officials of the think tank./13 reuters.com/world/us/conse…
Linkage between #HeritageFoundation and the DeSantis campaign grew with this recent appointment./14 heritage.org/press/david-de…
The connection has been strong and very much in the open. It is also behind Gaetz' frequent ridiculous statements./15 heritage.org/press/gov-ron-…
DeSantis as a Congressman was very much mainstream on the threat from Russia. The suggestion is that he is responding to a perceived shift in GOP voters with a significant number opposing aid./16 edition.cnn.com/2023/02/26/pol…
This purely political move appears to be already blowing up as the polls now show it alienates a majority of GOP voters & an overwhlemingly number of the non-Trump GOP voters./17
Reuters June 2023:
The fraility of the anti-aid arguments belies their sincerity and veracity, e.g. the accountabliity scam. The latest "Europe must do more" is equally disingenuous. Europe was nearing the US level in May and will even exceed it in new Setempber figures./18
The need to pivot to China is equally a bogus rationale to abandon Ukraine to Russia. Defeating Russia is a key to both deterring China & creating Europe with an ability to contain Russia on its own./19 threadreaderapp.com/thread/1683525…
The polling on Ukraine also suggets that as Ukraine shows progress on the battlefield and voters learn the actual facts about aid opposition fades to a small hardcore isolationist faction./20 thehill.com/homenews/40723…
"Large majorities of Americans - 67% and 73% - are more likely to support a candidate in next year's U.S. presidential election who will continue military aid to Ukraine and one who backs the NATO alliance."/21 ipsos.com/en-us/reuters-…
These numbers also will grow when folks start getting likely voter polls: the most likely voters are the most pro-Uraine aid./22
Another factor is the notion that the US can somehow reach a new rapproachment with Russia. Most experts say this was the underlying cause that enabled Putin's war. Voters now have very much soured on this old mantra./23
The policy reasons for support remain stronger than ever. The political calculation indicates opposition is suicide in the GE and a loser in the primaries. Also a very poor strategy to consolidate the non-Trump vote. Most Trump voters are anti-aid. /24 news.yahoo.com/poll-most-trum…
All of this explains the retreat from cutting aid by both Heritage and DeSantis. We will have to listen to empty phrases that are offered to appease aid skeptics. Relying on "unnamed" sources and crappy polls is not a smart move on the merits or politically./25
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Climate changes geographically over the earth's history take many decades. So an historical trend would be the best evidence, not one year's events. There is no global wild fire trend.
Alarmists tell us that global climate change will raise precipiation causing flooding but also lower precipitation causing droughts. Neither is actuallhy happening.
There are two Russian armies fighting in their invasion of Ukraine. There is the "second army" of the world with massive numbers of tanks and artillery pieces and soldiers that march with precision on Red Square and look like recruiting posters. This army is supported by a massive industrial base making "near peer" equipment at elevated rates.
Then there is another Russian army invading Ukraine. This one has lost 90% of its professional soldiers ("lifers" in US jargon). It is now filled with soldiers with 30 days or less training. Its officer corps depleted to a frction of the pre-war level. Never well-trained in manuever war or combined arms, this army uses clumsy tactics with little or no situational awareness. Vehicle drivers run over their own troops or into their own minefields. This army's generals order small unit attacks over and over again on the same avenues of approach that were dominated by the enemy the day before.
This second Russian army has blown through a massive amount of its first-line equipment. Older T62s from decades ago are seen in its formations and loss columns, because the first line T80/T72 modern versions are becoming scarce. This army's air defesne has proven far less capable than its published specifcations and has been pciked apart by droens and anti-radiation missiles. Self-propelled artillery seen in vast numbers on paper before the invasion are now repalced with ancvient D30 towed guins, vulnerable to counter-battery fire and drones.
The second army is the real one. The first army is the myth that Putin may still nourish, but - more importantly- the delusion that drives Western media to claim the war is a "stalemate" or that Russia can fight a long-war as it grows "stronger" deploying non-existent modern equipment and trained troops. The first zdrmy only appears in RedSquare films. The second one shows up in daily clips from the battlefield. THese clips seldom reported or published in Westgern popular media.
The same media - ignorant of the battlefield reality- dutifully reports the lines on the map and concludes there is a stalemate. It feeds a narrative that more "resistance is futile" (Russians are the Borg).
The scenario for the first army described is that Russia will never give up its occupied territories without a fight to the bitter end. The second army has lost effective control of Sevastapol and is losing its land bridge to Crimea due to long-range artillery fire and partisan warfare. In this real world scenario, Russia has lost much of its basic war objectives and is relying entirely on a political effort to break Western will to supply Ukraine.
The Russian losses, verified by third-parties, in the real world are staggering and accelrating. These have consumed the best Russian equipment and their best troops.
The comments below have links to multiple sources and information describing this "second Russian army" - the real one. It is clear that Russia's only hope is to break Western will, which cannot be allowed to happen. Ukraine does not need a piece of paper that crates "peace" (they alreayd got one of those in Budapest). Ukraine just needs ammo, as Presdient Zellensky famously said. #RussiaLosingBadly
#UkraineMustWin
Why are Republicans holding out for border securty before agreeing to fund Ukraine? This post will not try to justify that position, but will explain it. 1. GOP members of Congress have voted by wide margins for Ukraine aid in all "stand alone" votes. thehill.com/policy/defense…
2. Republican chairmen and ranking members of the key committees have urged faster and more effective aid as well as a clear policy goal of Ukraine winning. foxnews.com/politics/inter…
3. On the other hand, even with majorities in the past, they have not done enough to secure the border. Since President Biden entered the White House approximately 9.5 million migrants have illegally entered the United States.
Russian in Losing Badly Part 3
This is an update on all of the evience that Russian is losing badly right now.
Frantic efforts to try to get a ceasefire. The Russians are pushing for it, not Ukraine. /1 x.com/EmekaGift100/s…
Major advances pose breakthrough opportunity in the south. Russia loses operational effectiveness of Sevastapol. Russian artillery takes a poounding and is keeps getting worse./2 x.com/Tendar/status/…
NATO equipment crushes Russians. Bradleys. Go to minute 1:30/3
The DESCENT of Heritage Foundation To Become Russian Propaganda
Founded in the Reagan era, Heritage Foundation has been a major voice for his foreign policy and defense principles. This continued in the Ukraine war, until it changed dramatically./1
“Timidity, fear, & hesitancy incentivize aggression and worsen the consequences of war……half measures and tepid, delayed assistance lengthen the duration of conflict, increase the amount of destruction, add to suffering, & make war harder to end.” HF website, March 15, 2023./2
Heritage Foundation, website, February 14, 2023:/3
Colonel Douglas MacGregor: spreading lies on social media for people too lazy or biased to check.
He appears everywhere especially since his Tucker Carlson appearance. Everyone should know some facts before they get too excited about what he says./1
@DouglasMacGregor
His casualty numbers come straight from the Kremlin. They have been debunked by all NATO intelligence services. If his numbers were accurate, Ukrainians would not be so dedicated to continue fighting./2
Here is the major effort by third-parties to verify losses on both sides ion the war. It is quite different that MacGregor's Kremlin nonsense./3 lookerstudio.google.com/reporting/dfbc…