It looks like among the many challenges the @IDF will face in a ground campaign into Gaza is one we feared on a daily basis in Iraq - the Iranian engineering Explosively formed penetrator (EFP) IED 🧵
When I saw the pictures of captured equipment from the Hamas terrorist massacre on October 7th I saw the distinctive concave disked improvised explosive device...
I was immediately taken back to Sadr City, Iraq 2008 where my unit and fellow soldiers faced and suffered EPF strikes everyday.
EFP were road-side improvised explosive devices but more deadly than anything U.S. forces faced in Iraq until Iranian Quds Force provided them to Iranian-backed Shiite militias across Iraq.
EFPs are made of machined cooper plates placed into everything from coffee cans to large pots, backed by plastic explosives then once exploded turn the copper plate into a molten slug that can rip through several inches of armor pulling fire and death into any space.
Counter-measures were fielded to protect U.S. soldiers from the horrible, faceless enemy devices. New vehicles like MRAPS were field, new tactics put in place, and new innovations spread. The vehicles helped, but really a tank was the best protector.
New innovations included a spark plug (heat source) on a stick called rhino to fool some of the devices were a low tech counter. Now on display in the US Army museum for the lives they saved.
The @IDF will face this threat and other IEDs with years of their own lessons learned/countermeasures (to included from EFPs used against IDF by Hezbollah in late 1990s in South Lebanon) and Coalition forces in Iraq/Afghanistan. But I still hate seeing them..
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How Hamas tunnels complicate Israel's military mission 🧵
Hamas tunnels in Gaza are not an unknown, but they are a massive challenge for the @IDF if they launch a ground campaign into Gaza. There are hundreds! of miles of tunnels in Gaza, especially in areas like Gaza City.
Hamas would (like during the 2014 IDF ground operations in Gaza) use their tunnels both defensively and offensively.
If (which I think they will) the IDF launches a ground invasion into Gaza, what is the right urban battle analogy to compare? 🧵
2004 Second Battle of Fallujah. The most modern example of full joint military power & combined arms maneuver using massive air, fires, engineer, armor, infantry. Context scale, limited enemy, 90% of civilians evacuation, 6 months of prep. @JaysonGeroux mwi.westpoint.edu/urban-warfare-…
2008 Battle of Sadr City. Achieving the mission of removing military capability (rocket launching) without entering the city of 2 million. Context, limited political objective, enemy capability. mwi.westpoint.edu/stealing-enemy…
Does Ukraine need to move to a maneuver warfare approach? A flawed question and misunderstanding/conflating of military tactics versus military theory. 🧵
Quoting/citing heavily from great work from my friend @AmosFox6 to clarify the noise between maneuver warfare doctrine and theory or hyperbole - there are really three main forms of warfare:
- Positional warfare
- Attritional warfare
- Maneuver warfare
Attritional warfare (often spoken about as the novice or negative form) is the methodical use of battle to erode/destroy a enemy’s equipment, personnel, & resources at a pace greater than they can replenish their losses. Achieve the goal by attriting the enemy capabilities.
What is a shaping operation? As we all eagerly await Ukraine's coming offensive I've heard different sources try to identify or call potential "shaping operations" signifying an early phase or beginning of the offensive. But let's agree on what are shaping operations. Short 🧵
There are two common military ways to use the term shaping operation. First in the context of operations such as battles. The US Army has a shaping, decisive, sustaining operations framework.
A shaping operation is any operation that creates and preserves conditions for success of the decisive operation through effects on the enemy, other actors, and the terrain. An example could be destroying enemy supplies ahead of an attack.
“Russia invaded the sovereign nation of Ukraine…no threat whatsoever to Russia…this is and remains a Russian frontal assault on the rules based international order that has been in place for 80 years" - General Milley today #RussiaUkraineWar
"their [Russia’s] military stocks rapidly depleting, their soldier are demoralized, untrained, unmotivated conscripts and convicts and their leadership is failing them..."
"Yet free people will not return to the shackles of tryanny. Ukrainians remains defiant with steel in their spine and courage in their veins & they have the broad support of the United States and the international community...Ukraine remains strong. They are capable and trianed"
A useful framework to evaluate Russia's military performance is the Principles of War (enduring principles from across the history of war). 🛢️
Objective: Direct every military operation toward a clearly defined, decisive, and achievable goal. In Feb 2022, Russia's objective was the seizure of Kyiv. It failed to allocate the necessary power to achieve that. Now, its objectives continues to change based on its means.
Offensive: Seize, retain, and exploit the initiative. Russia lost the initiative in the war in both April and September.