Once upon a time, I was deputy convenor of the UK government's working group on tackling radicalisation & extremism. When I saw the initial report last week, it also struck me as utterly fanciful to imagine we could broaden the definition of 'extremism' in this way. But.. #Thread
First, it wouldn't be the first time we had a government attempt to draw up 'bad law'; law that is unworkable and utterly nonsensical; but which nevertheless achieves a political purpose. It would be a bad idea; and the Lords would probably manage to ameliorate; but still.
More than that, there's a broader issue here. @MishalHusain correctly focuses on the legislation part here. But simply the bringing up of this notion that it could be legislation by HMG achieves another purpose; it systematically degrades our public conversation around extremism.
When we declare that a thought police of this nature is actually part of mainstream, respectable conversation, it makes it that much more likely that in years to come, another, more sophisticated attempt to achieve the same goal, purely for populist reasons, becomes likely.
Hence, I'd caution not taking this seriously. It's an ugly and slippery slope, and all simply for the purpose of trying to get some votes from a reactionary right.

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More from @hahellyer

Nov 4
"Blinken tries to cajole wary Arabs on support for post-conflict Gaza" - I don't think colleagues in London or DC really understand why there is so little goodwill on *exactly* this point in the region, when it comes from DC. Just a few points: #thread apnews.com/article/blinke…
The region (and the UN and most of the world, and when I last checked, DC itself) sees Gaza as not some kind of wayward no-man's land, legally speaking. Rather, it sees Gaza as part and parcel of the territories Israel occupied in 1967. So, Israel has responsibilities.
Beyond Iran, there isn't a state in the wider region (and certainly not in the Arab world) that is overly keen about Hamas (to put it mildly). (Qatar also has relations with the PA, and the Hamas office in Doha was part of an arrangement with DC itself. )thehill.com/opinion/intern…
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Oct 19
Something that seems to be going undiscussed in many of our discussions at present: that Gaza is not Israeli-occupied Palestinian territory. Short (maybe) #thread.
Gaza was part of British mandate Palestine until the Israel-Arab war of 1947-1948. In the midst of the fighting, Gaza was taken by Egypt, and administered by it therein, while east Jerusalem and the West Bank was taken by Jordan and administered by it therein.
In 1967, Israel occupied Gaza, Sinai (Egypt), the Golan Heights (Syria), the West Bank & East Jerusalem. The United Nations and international law defined all these territories as occupied, and Security Council 242 rejected Israel adding territories by war.
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Oct 9
Vis-a-vis claims of critical Iranian support to Hamas in Saturday's attack. However, even the perception of Iranian support is going to have substantial effects on regional dynamics, at a time when the deescalation paradigm was in full force, including with Israel. #Thread
De-escalation has been the name of the game for a while now, and we have seen that with Iran-Saudi, Turkey-UAE, Egypt-Turkey, Israel-Turkey/UAE/Saudi, and so on. Saturday makes the continuation of those processes not impossible, but much more difficult.
The basic premise of the de-escalation paradigm was that escalation was tried; the environment internationally and regionally changed; it didn't get the main actors much; so let's try something new, which is to de-escalate.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 1
"Turkish-Syrian normalization put to the test by Erdogan's re-election" in @LOrientLeJour by @noura_doukhi - includes my thoughts. (Fr.)
lorientlejour.com/article/133906… My comments were: “Assad would no doubt have preferred that Erdogan had lost the Turkish election..." #thread
"...as Erdogan’s opposition were far more enthusiastic with returning Syrian refugees and reducing or ending Turkey’s role in Syria. Having said, Erdogan’s own approach on Assad appears to be softening over recent months and the recent moves at the Arab League to re-integrate..."
"Assad, even symbolically, opens up space for Erdogan to come to more of a normalised political relationship with Assad as well. Erdogan has been moving towards normalising with adversaries across the board in the wider Arab world..."
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May 20
The Arab League meeting yesterday was one of the more interesting, analytically speaking, in the last couple of decades. Mostly due to host Saudi Arabia's use of it for messaging on the West, Israel, Syria, and, by virtue of that, its own geopolitical pole position. #thread
Riyadh is on a geopolitical offensive, after dealing with the fallout from (brief) pariah status in the West. It ended the GCC spat (despite objections within its own camp); it has de-escalated with Iran (even though no change in Tehran's behaviour). This meeting is more of that.
1. Riyadh just declared it is Saudi Arabia that brought the West's most iconic military-geopolitical leader (no other Westerner involved in a military conflict with a competitor with the West on the global stage) into some kind of conversation with all Arab leaders.
Read 14 tweets
Dec 10, 2022
This whole "the US has withdrawn from MENA, hence China has now triumphantly entered MENA" narrative really needs serious correctives. The US didn't withdraw; it's still present, tremendously so, and MENA states have made understandable (if not the best choices). Short thread:
We keep seeing these pieces saying "the US withdrew from MENA". Well, I still see massive US business interests. I still see massive US military bases. It's not a withdrawal.
What is definitely true is that the MENA region has taken a much lower position in the Beltway's priority list; that's undeniable, and you can see it very simply by looking at how many staffers there are at different levels of the administration that focus on MENA. That's true.
Read 6 tweets

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