Aizenberg Profile picture
Dec 13, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
🧵HAMAS FAKE CASUALTY UPDATE: Hamas now reports the opposite of last 6 week trend: only male deaths in last 4 days. Perhaps they read analysis showing women & children deaths kept rising in impossible ways. This only deepens dubiousness of Hamas numbers. Here are the details: 1/ Image
UN reports daily Hamas stats. Each day UN adds this note about total fatalities: “about 70 per cent of whom are said to be women and children.” It's another way of saying: we have no idea & neither does Hamas but we’ll report them anyway so media & NGOs can say “the UN says.” 2/ Image
As a recap, on many days in Oct Nov & early Dec of total fatalities added less than 5% were men. Women & children killed soared (see chart). For example: Oct 31 only 6 of 216 new fatalities were men; 4 of 306 on Nov 7; 44 of 929 on Dec 7. Many similar anomalies on other days. 3/ Image
Some critics claim Total Killed less women & children is NOT men but men+unidentified; then later sex & age is modified in totals. This idea fails. First, Hamas says bodies counted by health authorities. Are we to believe they can't say right away if man, woman or child? 4/
Second, on many days of new fatalities added to total less than 5% were men. Even if somehow there is a group of “unidentified” bodies that only later do the "health authorities" identify age & sex and add to total, it can’t be that so often it's 95% or more women & children. 5/
The fact that in the last few days it seems ONLY MEN are added makes numbers even LESS reliable. It seems like the cryptic UN note "of whom are said" to be 70% women & children is the guiding metric and the numbers are adjusted afterwards to fit that numerical mandate. 6/
On Dec 9 Israeli authority stated “minimal estimate” of 7,000 Hamas killed. That’s about 1,500 more than total men killed (which would also include many civilians) according to Hamas – who report no combatant deaths! Yet somehow the Hamas numbers still garner credibility. END Image
I'm getting "because there are unidentified bodies under the rubble" -- but that's a separate category as Hamas & UN say; it would be ADDITIVE to total fatality number. What's in total fatality number includes ALL "found" bodies by "health ministry" that have been identified. Image

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More from @Aizenberg55

May 19
🧵CRITICAL GAZA CASUALTY FINDINGS: UN published 24,686 “identified” Gaza fatalities based on Hamas list of names and IDs. However 4,063 (16%) persons have missing, false or duplicate IDs. Some were even listed as killed in 2014! Detailed analysis of fake "identified" deaths: 1/Image
On May 5 Hamas “Ministry of Health” released 498 page PDF with 24,682 names (not 24,686) supposedly each person rigorously identified with valid IDs based on actual bodies as opposed to “unidentified” deaths which actually means bodies are missing too. 2/
t.me/MOHMediaGaza/5…
1693 claimed fatalities, which are supposed to be fully identified by name and ID according to the UN, are missing an ID number (at center). Just blank. Here is one sample (see p. 428). Without an ID they should of course be considered "unidentified" based on UN criteria. 3/Image
Read 9 tweets
May 15
🧵CRITICAL UPDATE ON GAZA FATALITIES: 10,000 unidentified fatalities UN/Hamas claims are confirmed dead are not bodies collected & held, merely awaiting identification. They are reported dead but UN admits bodies are not in anyone’s possession and their location is unknown! 1/Image
See transcript of UN/WHO spox @chrislindmeier regarding 10,000 “unidentified” fatalities (video 26:48). The bodies are not merely awaiting identification they have yet to be found and collected! No one holds any of these bodies to confirm the death! 2/
webtv.un.org/en/asset/k1l/k…Image
To reiterate: UN admits no one knows where these 10,000 bodies are, they could be on side of a road or in an unknown grave. They have not been found or collected, there is no official confirmation of death. To classify them in official UN fatality count is thus preposterous. 3/
Read 12 tweets
May 13
🧵How does IDF know how many combatants it killed in Gaza but not civilians? Israel spox on @PiersUncensored fails to explain. This thread explains how armies count combatant deaths, how IDF knows it killed >14,000 combatants but not civilian numbers: 1/
Per @jconricus month ago, combatant casualties are derived from various sources: reports from soldiers in field, various intelligence gathering sources, info via interrogations from captured Hamas revealing casualties, etc. Why are civilians deaths not similarly known? 2/
Because combatants are the sole target of IDF; they are searched for by every means, located, targeted, killed, then counted. Civilian deaths are tragic collateral damage, never targeted by IDF, not searched for by drones, and numbers not similarly gathered by design. 3/
Read 12 tweets
May 10
🧵Major change in Gaza fatality report by UN: They now publish only identified fatalities admitting large number are made up by Hamas. Women & children half the “14,000 kids” killed often claim. Now 24,700 fatalities identified and >14,000 are combatants according to IDF. 1/3Image
For months UN & media claimed Gaza “health authorities” report numbers based on bodies counted, but as far back as April 7 Hamas admitted it was missing data on >11,000 claimed deaths. First time the UN finally stops parroting the 34,000 number that is literally made up. 2/ Image
The 34,000+ number now includes 10,000 "missing" or “under rubble” which means no one has any idea. This missing/rubble number comes from the "Government Media Office" not the “health authorities.” Media at this point cannot credibly report 34,000 “have been killed in Gaza.” END
Read 4 tweets
May 8
🧵Fake NGO @hrw accuses Israel of war crimes in Lebanon with no evidence. Supposed “proof”: terrorist group & locals said those killed were not terrorists; HRW says they did not see anything military. But wait until you see HRW's bombshell admission at end of their report: 1/Image
On March 27 IDF struck a compound which they said killed a significant operative and others of al-Jama'a al-Islamiyya who had been active in attacks against Israel. HRW claims the 7 killed were all innocent aid workers and thus U.S. should cut military aid. 2/ Image
al-Jama'a al-Islamiyya is a terrorist organization that has been active at firing rockets and other attacks at Israeli towns (e.g. on Jan 6, 2024 a volley of rockets at Kiryat Shemona). HRW relies on spokespersons from this terrorist group as core "evidence." 3/Image
Read 10 tweets
May 2
🧵Article by @LarryLewis_ is often cited to counter commentary by @SpencerGuard showing that Israel has done more than any army ever to mitigate civilian harm. Lewis' article is filled with many falsehoods, cherry-picked data & omissions. See analysis: 1/ justsecurity.org/93105/israeli-…
Lewis’ FIRST evidence that Israel does not properly lower civilian harm: IDF gave Gazans only 24 hrs to evacuate north. But Israel actually allowed Gazans 3 weeks to evacuate. The delayed ground entry by IDF is well documented. So already, the article grossly misrepresents. 2/Image
Lewis cites Spencer, even links to his article, but then falsifies with the 24 hr claim and ignores Spencer's comment that "No military has ever implemented any of these practices." Lewis' method of debunking here is to ignore the other person's argument. 3/ Image
Read 19 tweets

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