Aizenberg Profile picture
Dec 13, 2023 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
đź§µHAMAS FAKE CASUALTY UPDATE: Hamas now reports the opposite of last 6 week trend: only male deaths in last 4 days. Perhaps they read analysis showing women & children deaths kept rising in impossible ways. This only deepens dubiousness of Hamas numbers. Here are the details: 1/ Image
UN reports daily Hamas stats. Each day UN adds this note about total fatalities: “about 70 per cent of whom are said to be women and children.” It's another way of saying: we have no idea & neither does Hamas but we’ll report them anyway so media & NGOs can say “the UN says.” 2/ Image
As a recap, on many days in Oct Nov & early Dec of total fatalities added less than 5% were men. Women & children killed soared (see chart). For example: Oct 31 only 6 of 216 new fatalities were men; 4 of 306 on Nov 7; 44 of 929 on Dec 7. Many similar anomalies on other days. 3/ Image
Some critics claim Total Killed less women & children is NOT men but men+unidentified; then later sex & age is modified in totals. This idea fails. First, Hamas says bodies counted by health authorities. Are we to believe they can't say right away if man, woman or child? 4/
Second, on many days of new fatalities added to total less than 5% were men. Even if somehow there is a group of “unidentified” bodies that only later do the "health authorities" identify age & sex and add to total, it can’t be that so often it's 95% or more women & children. 5/
The fact that in the last few days it seems ONLY MEN are added makes numbers even LESS reliable. It seems like the cryptic UN note "of whom are said" to be 70% women & children is the guiding metric and the numbers are adjusted afterwards to fit that numerical mandate. 6/
On Dec 9 Israeli authority stated “minimal estimate” of 7,000 Hamas killed. That’s about 1,500 more than total men killed (which would also include many civilians) according to Hamas – who report no combatant deaths! Yet somehow the Hamas numbers still garner credibility. END Image
I'm getting "because there are unidentified bodies under the rubble" -- but that's a separate category as Hamas & UN say; it would be ADDITIVE to total fatality number. What's in total fatality number includes ALL "found" bodies by "health ministry" that have been identified. Image

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More from @Aizenberg55

Apr 7
🧵DID YOU KNOW? Gaza's population & birth rate have grown since 10/7. WHO vaccinated 603,000 kids under age 10—more than existed pre-war. UN reports 60,000+ births in Gaza in 2024—higher than pre-war. Palestinian authorities confirm data. Shatters "genocide" libel. Details: 1/Image
How many children under 10 lived in Gaza before and during the war? Using 10 years of actual birth data, we can estimate closely. Palestinian authorities report ~58,000 births/year in Gaza from 2007–2022. What about 2023 and 2024? Let’s break it down: 2/
pcbs.gov.ps/statisticsIndi…Image
UN and Save the Children report a rise to 60,000+ births in Gaza across 2023–2024—directly contradicting the UNHRC’s blood libel that Israel 'targeted female reproduction' in an alleged genocide. One of the most false and antisemitic UN reports in history. 3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
Apr 5
Hamas Ministry of Health official admits NATURAL DEATHS were included in fatality lists—a claim they always denied. There have been ~8,000 natural deaths since 10/7, or 16% of all fatalities. Admission further corroborates my Jan 2025 estimate of Gaza fatalities. Analysis: 1/2 Image
Here is my original estimate that included about 7,000 natural deaths. The many Hamas "list defenders" said no chance, Hamas has said there are no natural deaths. Turns out there are. And there still are. 2/2
And further corroborates the @HJS_Org by @Mr_Andrew_Fox that contended natural deaths were included. Every day we're finding more evidence that corroborates this Dec 2024 report. henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/q…
Read 5 tweets
Apr 2
🧵Recent @TheLancet study claimed 60,000 Gaza deaths using statistical analysis on 3 fatality lists, mainly Hamas’ June 2024 list. But 881 “confirmed” June deaths were REMOVED in Hamas' Oct 2024 & March 2025 lists—invalidating study's conclusions. Review & analysis: 1/Image
Data for Lancet study was anchored on June 2024 Hamas list of 22,347 “identified” fatalities recorded only by the hospital, excluding self reports. But a comparison of these supposedly 100% confirmed deaths to Hamas' later lists shows 881 “deaths” removed—they never happened. 2/ Image
Even if removing 4% of names yields similar results (I don't know), it’s irrelevant. The core assumption—that hospital-issued deaths by Hamas are reliable—has collapsed. June 2024 list is no longer a valid data source. The authors should retract (or at least redo) the study. 3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Mar 31
🧵BOMBSHELL: Hamas’ new March 2025 fatality list quietly drops 3,400 fully “identified” deaths listed in its Aug & Oct 2024 reports—including 1,080 children. These "deaths" never happened. The numbers were falsified—again. Examples, analysis and evidence: 1/Image
What happened? How did 1000s of supposedly confirmed, fully identified deaths just vanish? Were some actually missing persons? Sloppy records? Intentional deception? Hamas’ Ministry of Health was never reliable. Expect Hamas' many “list defenders” to come up with excuses. 2/
Fact is, from day one, Hamas has gamed the fatality data—from including 471 fake “deaths” at al-Ahli Hospital in the official count, to claiming 70% of fatalities were women & children (then quietly backing off). Managed fakery, dressed up as precision—just like in past wars. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 27
đź§µGAZA FATALITY UPDATE: Hamas issued new list of 50,021 fatalities. Findings: (a) Fatalities age 13-55 are 72% men (b) Teen soldiers confirmed; males=65% of deaths age 13-17 (c) Natural deaths are ~8,300 of total fatalities. (4) IDF targeted combatants; NO genocide. Analysis: 1/Image
As in prior lists, well known use by Hamas & PIJ of teen combatants as young as 13 is confirmed, with 65% of teen fatalities male. There are ~1,500 excess teen combatants recorded (Silence, of course, from so-called NGOs). Under age 10, fatalities close to 50-50 male/female. 2/ Image
At this point it is certain natural deaths & infant mortality are included in the Hamas fatality list. After 16 months, Hamas and its "Ministry of Health" does not have a hidden separate list of natural deaths. These are ~8,300 since 10/7, based on historical data for Gaza. 3/Image
Read 8 tweets
Mar 25
đź§µIDF's strike on Hamas leader Ismail Barhoum at Nasser hospital was legal, in compliance with Geneva Conventions regarding protection of hospitals, distinction, proportionality & warnings. Claims that strike was illegal willfully ignore evidence and int'l law. Full analysis: 1/Image
Barhoum was in Hamas' politburo, its main decision making body directing its policy & activities. It's not just Israel who said this; EU put him under individual sanctions for "financing" Hamas “enabling their violent actions,” corroborating Israeli claims. NOT a civilian. 2/ Image
The US has Barhoum listed as a terrorist under program SDGT which is “Global Terrorism Sanctions Regulations” – he is personally listed as part of Hamas, a US designated terror org. Again, corroborating Israeli claims. 3/ sanctionssearch.ofac.treas.gov/Details.aspx?i…Image
Read 11 tweets

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