Aizenberg Profile picture
Dec 22 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
🧵FAKE HAMAS CASUALTY UPDATE: Latest Hamas fatality count of ~20,000 claims at least 14,200 are women & children. If one accepts these numbers it means IDF has only killed ~840 Hamas versus latest IDF estimate of 8,000. Here is detailed analysis which shows Hamas is lying: 1/ Image
IDF yesterday said 8,000 Hamas killed which would mean only 12,000 civilians killed (assuming Hamas total number is accurate) which is 2,200 less than total women & children Hamas claims, forgetting any civilian men. Either Hamas or IDF is massively lying. 2/ Image
If one accepts Hamas women & children killed as accurate it NECESSARILY means that IDF has killed less than 1,000 combatants vs 19,000 civilians. This would mean IDF is inflating combatants killed by ~7,000 and the war is a complete failure! Do you believe this? See analysis: 3/
With 20,000 killed reported by Hamas, statistically, deaths of children women & men should roughly match population proportion of each group in Gaza. Particularly if claiming “indiscriminate bombing.” Chart below shows how many civilian men fatalities there should be: ~4,960. 4/ Image
Since Hamas is claiming 14,200 women & children killed, and civilian men killed should be ~4,960 based on proportion of civilian men in Gaza, this means what is left is only be about 840 combatants killed by IDF. The comment pasted below summarizes the conclusion. 5/ Image
Here are some of the male “civilians” of Hamas, caught on camera here planting an explosive device in a 1:31 minute video. Not a single Hamas member wears a uniform and it is certain Hamas counts them all as “civilian” while inflating women & children killed. 6/ Image
Hamas has inflated civilian deaths to absurd levels (even one is tragic but ALL for the account of Hamas). By not claiming any combatant deaths & not showing men killed separately, it takes statistical analysis to see through the lies. Why is media not doing basic analysis? END

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More from @Aizenberg55

Dec 19
🧵@hrw piece claiming Israel intends to starve Gazans for war is propaganda masking as scholarship but covered by NY Times. Like all HRW "reports" on Israel it is filled with lies, errors, misrepresentations & omissions. Here is a detailed breakdown: 1/

hrw.org/news/2023/12/1…
Image
The core lie is presented upfront claiming that for 2 months Israel has deprived Gaza with GOAL of starving Gaza incredibly omitting ANY detail on the many 1000s of trucks that have entered Gaza. Food & aid has been at ~90% of pre-war levels and FAR more recently. 2/ Image
From Oct 21-early Dec truckloads of aid were 3,499 or about 90% of pre-war 2022 levels. Israel opened Keren Shalom to move truckloads up further to ~190/day. HRW does not mention any of this in their “report” – not one number or statistic to evidence their claims! 3/ Image
Read 19 tweets
Dec 18
🧵IDF soldiers broke protocols tragically killing hostages with white flags. Key question is why soldiers may have thought they were a threat? Because of at least TEN Hamas war crimes which greatly impact IDF actions, especially in Shejaiya where this occurred. Here they are: 1/
ONE: Hamas dresses as civilians. If Hamas wore uniforms as required by international law, IDF would never have thought civilians might be combatants. The hostages would still be alive. Hamas violates Geneva Protocol I.44.3 2/ Image
TWO: Hamas regularly violates “Prohibition of perfidy” by feigning civilian status, a key factor in tragic hostage incident. Hamas acts like civilians, enters homes set up with arms, exits as civilian, enters another pre-set attack position. A core Hamas battle strategy 3/ Image
Read 12 tweets
Dec 13
🧵HAMAS FAKE CASUALTY UPDATE: Hamas now reports the opposite of last 6 week trend: only male deaths in last 4 days. Perhaps they read analysis showing women & children deaths kept rising in impossible ways. This only deepens dubiousness of Hamas numbers. Here are the details: 1/ Image
UN reports daily Hamas stats. Each day UN adds this note about total fatalities: “about 70 per cent of whom are said to be women and children.” It's another way of saying: we have no idea & neither does Hamas but we’ll report them anyway so media & NGOs can say “the UN says.” 2/ Image
As a recap, on many days in Oct Nov & early Dec of total fatalities added less than 5% were men. Women & children killed soared (see chart). For example: Oct 31 only 6 of 216 new fatalities were men; 4 of 306 on Nov 7; 44 of 929 on Dec 7. Many similar anomalies on other days. 3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 11
🧵Claims that Israel is "indiscriminately" bombing or causing disproportionate civilian deaths in Gaza can be easily proven false based on actions & statistics. Here are SEVEN items of evidence that debunk claims of war crimes, genocide, unprecedented civilian deaths, etc. 1/
ONE: Casualty ratios. Israel states 5,000-7,000 Hamas killed. Civilian combatant ratio is ~2:1. Battle of Mosul against ISIS was >3:1. Former Commander of UK forces in Afghanistan says ratio there 3:1-5:1. Israel is doing better than Western armies. 2/
TWO: Gaza has ~2.3mm people vs ~10,000 Civilians killed after 60+ days of what is described as massive bombing. If so incredibly massive & random (this is what indiscriminate means) in dense area how can it be only ~0.005 killed? Not even 1% after 2 months of random bombing? 3/ Image
Read 9 tweets
Dec 9
🧵Compilation #2 of evidence: Hamas using homes mosques schools for military. NGO industrial complex will soon issue reports blaming Israel for unjustified destruction of infrastructure but totally ignore how Hamas rigged Gaza for combat. See below for 20 documented examples: 1/ Image
Jebaliya, residential home: IDF filmed gun battle against two Hamas firing from residence. Video shows kitchen & rooms, ends with images of killed men. 2/ Image
School in Shejaya: Hamas cell in gun battle with IDF, filmed. Tunnel within school found leading to mosque. Best place to find Hamas assets: schools, mosques & hospitals. 3/ Image
Read 21 tweets
Dec 7
🧵IMPORTANT UPDATE to Hamas casualty count falsification thread. MORE falsifications proven based on review of December numbers with a massive jump in claimed percentage of women & children killed; Men killed DROPS dramatically! Also a response to a main criticism. 1/ Image
Hamas' recent Dec 5 casualty report vs Dec 2 shows +1,041 new fatalities. But remarkably, new women & children killed jump by +1,353 over this same period, 312 more than total new fatalities! Again, no men seem to have died in several days of fighting. (My math in blue). 2/ Image
We can look at it another way to show absurd numbers. According to Hamas and cited by the UN & media of course, men killed have DECLINED by 312 over these days. See detailed calculations below. Despite reports of many dozens to hundreds of Hamas killed in recent battles. 3/ Image
Read 10 tweets

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